Will the old lady manage the lead from the first leg?

Peter Bosz has been on the sidelines in a UEFA Champions League knockout match three times so far. However, the former BVB coach is still waiting in vain for his first victory. If the international season of his current club is to be extended by at least two matches, this dry spell must come to an end on Wednesday evening. Only if a tip that the Dutch team will win after 90 minutes proves to be true in the second leg of PSV Eindhoven against Juventus will it be possible to advance to the round of 16.

In the first leg last week, the teams met on equal terms with the Italians getting the better end. It took a goal from substitute Mbangula in the 82nd minute to make the final score 2-1. The Boeren left a decent impression in Turin and are therefore counting on themselves for the upcoming match at home in the Philips Stadium. Nevertheless, when it comes to predicting the outcome of the game between PSV Eindhoven and Juventus, betting on the home team is a risky business. In view of the different form curves, the advantages should lie more with the confident Motta team.

Meanwhile, the betting providers with Paysafecard consider the red and whites from the province of North Brabant to have a slightly better chance of winning after regular time. Before the kick-off of the second leg between PSV Eindhoven and Juventus, the odds on home success imply a probability of 41%. By comparison, Juve’s probability of winning is only 33%.

PSV Eindhoven vs. Juventus AI prediction

Despite a more or less even xG performance of 1.43 to 1.42, the AI prediction before the second leg of the tie between PSV Eindhoven and Juventus is therefore leaning towards the Italians.

PSV Eindhoven – statistics & current form

To a certain extent, PSV Eindhoven are facing a shambles this season. The reigning champions of the Netherlands have been in a crisis for weeks and have squandered a relatively comfortable cushion in the Eredivisie since the start of the year. Because only one of the last six league matches could be won, the Bosz team also only scored in injury time to make the final score 2:2 at home against Utrecht at the weekend, drawing for the third time in a row, and Ajax Amsterdam took the lead in the table. With two points behind and one game more played, the “Lamps” no longer have the title defense in their own hands.

How much is PSV’s strong home record worth?

On Wednesday evening, the team could be facing an early exit from the UEFA Champions League. After the 2-1 defeat in Turin a week ago, the Red & Whites are forced to win at home in the second leg. The belief is still there, because after all, Luuk de Jong and Co. recorded ten out of a possible twelve points in four home games in the league phase.

The only notable success on paper was the 3-2 win on Matchday 8 against Liverpool, although even this win must be put into perspective given that the Reds travelled to the Netherlands with an improved C-team. The remaining opponents are certainly at least one level lower than the old lady. Nevertheless, they have twelve unbeaten CL home games in a row (seven wins, five draws). If you believe that this positive run will continue in the playoff second leg, you can find odds of 2.40 between PSV Eindhoven and Juventus on the Interwetten app.

However, the starting position also harbors dangers. Especially against the Bianconeri, who usually defend well, PSV will have to find a good balance between controlled offense and a good defense. However, the longer the game goes on, the more the Dutch team will have to take risks, which in turn increases the likelihood of a PSV Eindhoven vs. The “Lamps” need a perfect evening for a home win, which I don’t really trust them to achieve in their current form.

Predicted PSV Eindhoven line-up:

Juventus – statistics & current form

When Juventus Turin won the first leg of a knockout round, the Italian record champions did not leave the Champions League or its predecessor for over 40 years. Since 1992 alone, the old lady has been able to qualify for the next round in eleven cases if the first leg was won. From a statistical point of view, everything points to the Bianconeri booking their place in the last 16 on Wednesday evening before the playoff second leg in the Philips Stadium.

Juventus have yet to lose away from home this CL season

The white and blacks remained unbeaten in four away games during the league phase. A 3-2 away win in Leipzig was followed by three draws. The last two CL away games even ended goalless. Only league rivals Inter Milan conceded fewer away goals than Thiago Motta’s team in the preliminary round of the Champions League, with just seven goals against and three clean sheets, making a decent impression defensively on the international stage.

Inter Milan is a good keyword, because the Turin team were able to narrowly win the Derby d’Italia 1-0 on Sunday evening. It was their fourth consecutive win across all competitions, so the fourth-placed team in the Serie A can be said to be in good form and have a great deal of self-confidence. It should be all the more interesting to bet on a good result for the Old Lady again in the second leg in Eindhoven. The top odds for an away win on the three-way market of 3.00 are provided by Betano and could thus result in a nice payout at Betano if you win.

The potential difference-makers for Wednesday are also quickly named. One would be Francisco Conceição, who recently caused a sensation with his speed dribbling and tight hooks. He also scored the winning goal against Inter. The other is Randal Kolo Muani, who moved from Paris to Italy in the winter and has made an excellent debut. The Frenchman has already scored five times for his new club. Another Kolo-Muani goal brings with it maximum odds of 3.10 between PSV Eindhoven and Juventus.

Predicted Juventus lineup:

PSV Eindhoven – Juventus head to head / H2H record

The clubs have only met each other twice in official competitive matches. Curiously, both duels date back to the current Champions League season. In the league phase, the Bianconeri won 3-1 at home. As mentioned, however, the first leg in the previous week went 2-1 to the Old Lady, who could thus become only the sixth team in CL history to beat one and the same opponent three times in one season.

PSV Eindhoven – Juventus Tipp

Everything is still open before the second leg between PSV Eindhoven and Juventus on Wednesday evening. Although the Bianconeri won the first leg 2-1 and therefore have the better chances of progressing, the Dutch team should not be underestimated under any circumstances. The Bosz team scored ten out of a possible twelve points in the league phase at home. They have not lost any of their last twelve CL home games. However, their form has been declining in recent weeks. In the league, they have only scored three times in their last six matches.
In addition, there are few teams in Europe this season that are harder to beat than the old lady from Turin. Added to this is their great form, which was further solidified by their narrow 1-0 win over Inter Milan on Sunday. The white and blacks will repeatedly create chances, especially when switching between defense and offense, which is why I have ultimately decided to go with the Juve win (-0.25 AH) for the playoff second leg between PSV Eindhoven and Juventus.

If Motta’s team wins in regulation time, the 2.43 is paid out in full with four units. If the match ends in a draw, half of the stake is returned.