The final matches of the Club World Cup group stage are just around the corner, and this clash between Porto and Al Ahly is a do-or-die affair for both sides. A win is needed to keep their hopes of advancing to the knockout stage alive, but there is little room for error. Let’s analyze the most interesting odds, our experts’ predictions, and the betting markets to focus on.
Porto and Al Ahly face each other on the final day of Group A of the Club World Cup. Both have collected just one point and come into this match with only one goal: to win and hope for a favorable result in the other match in the group.
After drawing against Palmeiras and then losing to Inter Miami, Porto need to win this last game and hope that Palmeiras lose. In addition, to go through, they will need to make up at least a three-goal difference against the Brazilians.
The situation is similar for Al Ahly, who drew with Miami and lost to Palmeiras: to qualify, they need a win, Miami to lose, and to overturn a goal difference of at least three goals. We are therefore facing a high-tension challenge, in which both teams have everything to play for. Such an open match can offer interesting betting opportunities: let’s take a look at the statistics, odds, and markets to identify the most interesting options.
Tips for Porto – Al Ahly, Tuesday, June 24, at 3:00 a.m.
Under 2.5 goals – odds of 2.8 on bet365, 2.00 on Sisal, 2.10 on GoldBet
Porto to win without conceding – odds of 3.25 on bet365, 3.20 on Sisal and 3.10 on GoldBet
Rodrigo Mora to score or assist – odds of 1.91 on bet365, 2.30 on Sisal, not available on GoldBet
Odds courtesy of bet365, Sisal, and GoldBet. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
A low-scoring match
So far, neither Porto nor Al Ahly have made their mark in the tournament. Both are stuck on one point and neither has managed to score from open play. Porto found their only goal from the penalty spot, wasting several chances. Al Ahly, on the other hand, have only scored an own goal against Palmeiras.
Everything points to another tight game with few goals, if any. For this reason, we suggest considering the option of Under 2.5 goals, priced at 2.15 on bet365, 2.00 on Sisal, and 2.10 on GoldBet.
Tip: Under 2.5 goals – priced at 2.15 on bet365, 2.00 on Sisal, 2.10 on GoldBet
Explanation of the bet: this bet wins if a maximum of two goals are scored.
Porto can win by a narrow margin
With two teams struggling to find the back of the net, it cannot be ruled out that the match will once again be low-scoring. The match could go in two directions: an open game, with both teams attacking in search of victory, or a tight contest, where the fear of losing prevails over the desire to win.
In our opinion, the most likely scenario is a tactical, low-scoring game. It is possible that at least one of the two teams will fail to score. Al Ahly recorded an xG (expected goals) of just 0.29 against Palmeiras, confirming their difficulties in creating chances against organized opponents. Against Inter Miami, they produced an xG of 1.98, but failed to convert.
Porto also had a similar performance: 0.78 xG against Palmeiras and 1.65 against Miami. Adding up the data from the first two matchdays, Al Ahly has 2.27 xG, while Porto has 2.43.
Analyzing these numbers, our prediction is a narrow victory for Porto, with the possibility that one of the two teams will fail to score. A combination bet on “Porto to win + at least one team to score no goals” could be an interesting option.
Tip: Porto to win without conceding a goal – odds of 3.25 at bet365, 3.20 at Sisal and 3.10 at Goldbet
Explanation of the bet: this bet wins if Porto wins without conceding a goal.
Rodrigo Mora will have his say
Despite a below-par performance so far, Porto can still count on some special talents. One of these is Rodrigo Mora, born in 2006, a promising attacking midfielder. In the 2-1 defeat against Inter Miami, he stood out for a cleverly constructed chance that was only stopped by an excellent defensive intervention.
Beyond that single action, Mora impressed with his vision and ability to open up defenses with a touch. It is no coincidence that PSG has already shown interest in the young talent, who could prove decisive against Al Ahly.
Bet365 has Mora at 1.91 for a goal or assist, while Sisal raises the stakes to 2.30: an option to keep an eye on for those looking for value in their bets.
Tip: Rodrigo Mora to score or provide an assist – 1.91 on bet365, 2.30 on Sisal, not available on GoldBet
Porto – Al Ahly odds
Porto to win – 1.75 on bet365, 1.75 on Sisal and 1.73 on Goldbet
Draw – 3.80 on bet365, 3.75 on Sisal and 3.90 on Goldbet
Al Ahly to win – odds of 4.50 on bet365, 4.50 on Sisal and 4.25 on Goldbet
Odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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