Another close call for the Zebras?
With seven out of a possible nine points, Juventus Turin made a comeback under Motta’s successor Igor Tudor and regained fourth place last weekend. However, the performances of the record champions were not really convincing, as they still lack excessive punch. This makes it interesting to bet on Parma against Juventus, as the Zebre are likely to struggle in Emilia-Romagna.
The Gialloblu have been waiting for another three points in Serie A for six games, but they have drawn five times in a row, including a 2-2 draw with Inter Milan and a 0-0 draw with Fiorentina. However, the Emiliani have failed to score in four of their last eight league games, which is why the prediction for Parma against Juventus is that this match will not be particularly high-scoring.
While the new coach has not made much of an impact in terms of attacking play, defensive stability remains Juventus Turin’s greatest asset. With only 30 goals conceded, the Bianconeri have the second-best defense in Serie A, which is why it will be very difficult for the not overly potent hosts to score at all.
Parma – Statistics & current form
Parma Calcio 1913 returned to the top flight of Italian football last summer as Serie B champions. The Emilia-Romagna side, which enjoyed such success in the 1990s, has set itself the ambitious goal of staying up. To achieve this, the coaching staff was reshuffled two months ago. Under Cristian Chivu, the team managed just one win in seven league games. However, because the last five games all ended in draws, there was only one further defeat.
With eight points out of a possible 21, the Gialloblu have even achieved a small milestone: with six matchdays remaining, they have a four-point cushion above the relegation zone. Of course, the Crociati cannot afford to rest on their laurels. However, the Emiliani would not immediately slip back below the line if Parma were to lose to Juventus in the Vecchia Signora’s away game. And after all, they have scored points in nine of their 16 Serie A home games in the 2024/25 season (four wins, five draws).
Parma are much more organized defensively under Chivu
At times, the newly promoted side have lacked cutting edge in attack. As a result, the Gialloblu have failed to score in four of their last eight Serie A games. However, their defensive performance has been impressive. Under Cristian Chivu, they have kept three clean sheets in seven Serie A games and conceded only six goals in total – an average of less than one goal per league game.
Juventus Turin are now coming to the Stadio Ennio Tardini, a team they have not beaten in their last seven competitive games (two draws, five defeats). At least in the first leg, however, the Emiliani held the Zebre to a 2-2 draw. If the defense is solid again, another point at home is certainly possible, although the personnel situation could be much better. Cristian Chivu has to do without six injured players and one suspended player.
Juventus – Statistics & current form
Juventus Turin had nothing to do with the Scudetto battle last season, but at least secured overall victory in the Coppa Italia and qualified for the Champions League. Hopes of playing a bigger role again were correspondingly high after Thiago Motta, a promising coach, was brought to Piedmont.
In the spring, however, the Bianconeri were on the verge of throwing it all away. Their Coppa Italia campaign came to an end against Empoli. In the Champions League, they were knocked out by PSV Eindhoven. When the Champions League spot was lost in Serie A following two crushing defeats against Atalanta Bergamo (0-4) and Fiorentina (0-3), Thiago Motta’s time was up. Igor Tudor took over and managed to regain fourth place with seven points out of a possible nine.
Juventus has dropped a lot of points away from home
Qualifying for the Champions League is the absolute minimum goal expected by the club’s management. The focus is now primarily on points, although Tudor’s first three results have not been particularly impressive: two narrow home wins against Genoa (1-0) and Lecce (2-1), both of which can be classified as hard-fought victories, and a 1-1 draw away to AS Roma. At least there is something to build on, although the Bianconeri have dropped a lot of points, especially away from home. They have won just six of their 15 Serie A away games in 2024/25 (seven draws, two defeats).
It is therefore critical to note that the odds are so clearly in favor of the Vecchia Signora in the match between Parma and Juventus. Considering that the Zebre, who are not always particularly dangerous in attack and have scored only four goals in three games under Tudor, missed out on victory against the Emiliani in the first leg, the risk inherent in the three-way system is actually unacceptable.
Parma – Juventus Head-to-head / H2H record
Head to head: 13 – 19 – 38
A total of 70 matches have been played between the two teams so far, with Juventus Turin leading the head-to-head record with 38 wins. Although the Bianconeri could not manage more than a 2-2 draw against Parma Calcio in the first leg at home, the Zebre have not lost any of their last seven competitive matches against the Gialloblu (five wins, two draws).
Parma – Juventus betting tip
In our opinion, the betting odds from the top bookmakers are leaning a little too heavily towards Juventus in Parma, who have won only six of their 16 Serie A away games in the 2024/25 season (seven draws, two defeats) and, under Igor Tudor, have not managed more than a 1-1 draw at AS Roma in their only away game so far. Considering that the Gialloblu have drawn five times in a row and already managed to hold the Zebre to a draw in the first leg, the possibility of another draw should definitely not be ruled out.
We therefore advise avoiding the three-way system. Instead, the prediction that Parma will concede a maximum of two goals against Juventus covers a wide range of possible outcomes, especially given the defensive stability of the Zebre and the occasional lack of punch from both offenses, which means that a goal fest is not really to be expected.
