Relegation thriller in Nottingham

In England, the relegation battle is gradually coming to a head, with Nottingham and Southampton still playing a major role. The Nottingham vs. Southampton prediction of the bookmakers is in favor of the home side, but the Saints are also under pressure and do not want to admit defeat yet.

The favorite role for Nottingham is all well and good, but this alone certainly does not help the team. Points need to be here, a win against the bottom team is seen as a matter of course by the home side.

The hosts have not changed the coach compared to other relegation candidates, which is also to be classified as unusual in a season with a lot of relegation fight. However, something goes against the Saints, which is why our Nottingham vs. Southampton tip is that the hosts will not lose and more than 1.5 goals will fall in the process.

Nottingham – Statistics & current form

Nottingham Forest has been in the thick of the relegation battle virtually since the start of the season. For a promoted team, this is not surprising, but there were many phases in which things went quite well, before then again followed by the next setbacks. Steve Cooper, the team’s coach, has remained in charge until today, and unlike other teams in the relegation battle, the hosts have yet to change coaches.

Most recently, Forest suffered a 2-1 defeat to Brentford, one of the better teams in the league. In that game, it was once again evident that the problem lies largely in the offense. No player scored more than eight goals, and the second best scorer stands at four goals. There have also been far too many defeats in recent weeks, with five of the last six games lost.

Nevertheless, Nottingham vs Southampton odds show that the home side will go into the match as favorites. This could be due to the weak opponent, but also to Nottingham’s home record. Here it looks very decent, six of the seven wins in the entire season could bring the hosts at home. They have also scored 22 of their 30 goals here.

Nottingham: Defensively too often with problems

But it’s not just the offense that has Nottingham worried. In defense, the hosts also have problems. For 13 games in a row, the hosts failed to keep the “0”. More than 60 goals have been conceded all season, and Nottingham has conceded ten goals in its last five games. This average ensures that the home side have one of the worst defenses.

Overall, the hosts have also recorded too few victories. There have only been two “threes” in the last 15 games. As a result, Nottingham has not been able to provide a liberation blow. That’s why the team was in a relegation spot after three of the last four matchdays. Ahead of Monday’s game, the table also shows an exciting situation, with the two teams directly ahead of Nottingham (18th) tied on points, and Everton in 19th place with one point less.

Nottingham could make a step forward with a win, the remaining program still holds Chelsea and Arsenal, among others. Due to the omens, our prediction before the match Nottingham vs Southampton is that the hosts will not lose, scoring more than 1.5 goals.

Last matches played by Nottingham:

Premier League

• 09/05/2023 – Nottingham Forest 4 – 3 Southampton
• 29/04/2023 – Brentford 2 – 1 Nottingham Forest
• 27/04/2023 – Nottingham Forest 3 – 1 Brighton
• 22/04/2023 – Liverpool FC 3 – 2 Nottingham Forest
• 16/04/2023 – Nottingham Forest 0 – 2 Manchester United

Southampton – statistics & current form

There are currently few teams in the Premier League that show a weaker form curve than Nottingham. One of them is, of all things, opponent Southampton. Since the change of coach to Ruben Selles, not too much has changed. There was an initial improvement, but in recent weeks the journey has gone in the wrong direction again. The Saints also lost five of their last six games.

Most recently, there was a 1:3 at Newcastle United, nine games in a row the visitors could not win. Since the 27th matchday, the visitors have been in last place in the table without interruption. Offensively, the Saints are even worse off than Nottingham, scoring just 28 goals in 34 games. Defensively, the statistics are similarly bad, with Selles’ eleven conceding 60 goals.

The offensive problems become even clearer when the more advanced statistics are looked at. No team creates as few expected goals as the guests. Nevertheless, five goals have been scored in the last five games. Therefore, the Nottingham vs. Southampton betting odds also indicate that there could well be some goals scored.

Southampton with more wins away from home

22 Defeats the Saints have conceded so far all season. Eleven of them at home, eleven away. The difference in the record can be seen in the victories, as four of the six wins this season have come away from home for the visitors. However, the last away win was in February, when they won 1-0 against Chelsea.

Not only Nottingham lacks a classic goal scorer, but Southampton does as well. Apart from standards specialist Ward-Prowse (seven goals), there is no player who has scored more than five times. Che Adams, with five goals so far, has the best haul of center-forwards for the Saints.

Because the visitors made a small step forward in recent weeks, at least in terms of offense, our value tip before the match Nottingham vs Southampton is that both teams will score in this match.

Last games of Southampton:

Premier League

• 09/05/2023 – Nottingham Forest 4 – 3 Southampton
• 30/04/2023 – Newcastle 3 – 1 Southampton
• 28/04/2023 – Southampton 0 – 1 Bournemouth
• 22/04/2023 – Arsenal FC 3 – 3 Southampton
• 15/04/2023 – Southampton 0 – 2 Crystal Palace

Nottingham – Southampton Direct comparison / H2H balance

Nottingham and Southampton have faced each other in 116 direct duels so far. 50 of them were won by Nottingham, 39 were won by Southampton. The first leg was a 1-0 win for Nottingham, Forest’s only away win this season. Nottingham did not lose the last three games against the Saints.

Nottingham – Southampton Tip

Nottingham will be looking to stay in the league, hoping for a win against bottom side Southampton. The hosts have the role of favorites, but recently it hailed negative results.

It will be important for Nottingham to have a good structure, especially in defense. Anyway, based on all the statistics, before the match Nottingham vs Southampton our tip is that the hosts will not lose, scoring over 1.5 goals.