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All those who, without in-depth research or detailed consideration of the statistics, have vowed to bet on a points split in the Premier League match between Manchester United and Tottenham on Sunday afternoon should definitely think again. Why? Because none of the last 17 consecutive league matches between these two clubs in the English top flight have ended in a draw. Spurs have won four and the Red Devils 13 in that period. Who has the edge this weekend?

On paper, Erik ten Hag’s side are the favorites. In view of the fact that Bruno Fernandes and Co. are much stronger at Old Trafford this season than away from home, this assessment seems understandable, but it should not be forgotten that the teams are currently separated by eight points and that the Lily Whites have already scored at Manchester City and Arsenal this season. In our eyes, caution must therefore be exercised with regard to the Manchester United vs Tottenham prediction on the three-way market

Manchester United – Statistics & current form

More and more, Manchester United’s season is turning into a disaster. The English record champions finished bottom of their Champions League group with Bayern, Copenhagen and Galatasaray, thus missing out on a place in the Europa League. In the EFL Cup, they missed out on a realistic chance of silverware in the round of 16 against Newcastle United (0:3) and in the Premier League, too, the relationship between ambition and reality is far from satisfactory. At least the Red Devils escaped embarrassment in the FA Cup last Monday thanks to a deserved 2:0 win at third division side Wigan.

This victory at the former FA Cup winners, which should have been significantly higher if the numerous high-caliber goals had been exploited more consistently and in view of an xG value of well over 4.00, was – strictly speaking – just a drop in the ocean. This weekend, the ten Hag team will return to the dreary league routine and fight to stay in touch with the European places. Currently eighth in the interim rankings, eight (!) points behind their fifth-placed opponents from London, international business in 2024/25 would once again take place without the global club from the industrial city in north-west England

Manchester United want to build on their last home win

The reasons for the United team’s sobering performance to date are obvious. MUFC have already conceded nine defeats in this Premier League season (10-1-9). By comparison, Manchester had the same number of defeats after 38 matchdays in 2022/23. In only four PL seasons in the club’s history have United conceded a double-digit total number of defeats. Only once has the manager not been sacked during the course of the season… That’s not the only reason why we are predicting that the Dutch head coach of the home side will not see the end of the season on the Old Trafford touchline ahead of Manchester United’s game against Tottenham.

Speaking of Old Trafford: the magic of the Theater of Dreams has not yet been completely lost. In the first 20 matchdays, Man Utd celebrated more victories at home (6) than away (4) and also scored significantly more goals. United proved what they are capable of on a good day in their last home game to date. On Boxing Day, the hosts, led by Alejandro Garnacho, turned around a 2-0 deficit against Aston Villa and ultimately won 3-2.

In five of the last six PL home games, a bet on the over 2.5 would have gone through. However, an over bet could be worthwhile again against the understrength Spurs, especially as the “Red Devils” absolutely have to play for victory given the constellation in the table and will certainly get a few chances. For at least three goals in the match between Manchester United and Tottenham, the odds are 1.50 at the top. If you go for the over 3.5, the maximum odds rise to 2.18. Finally, particularly risk-averse bettors can also consider the 2.55 at Interwetten, which aims for the record champions to score in both halves.

Predicted Manchester United line-up:

Tottenham – Statistics & current form

Ange Postecoglou has been coaching in the Premier League for a good six months now. However, the term “Ange-Ball” has long been firmly anchored in the vocabulary of all commentators. The soccer coach, who has been successful and left a lasting impression at all his stations, whether in Japan, Australia or Scotland, has brought Tottenham Hotspur Football Club out of obscurity with his very own idea of the game and courageous principles in various phases of the game and has completely forgotten the painful departure of Harry Kane within a few weeks.

The 58-year-old Greek-born manager is currently facing the next complications, as Postecoglou will have to do without a number of key players due to the compulsory secondments of internationals. Above all, captain Heung-Min Son, who has had an outstanding Premier League season to date with twelve goals and five assists

Where Tottenham play, spectacle is usually the order of the day

However, anyone who believes that head coach Postecoglou will abandon his basic idea of “Ange Ball” and make adjustments due to the lack of personnel is mistaken. Other players are being asked to take on responsibility. The Brazilian Richarlison, who has scored as often in his last five Premier League games (five times) as he did in the 45 league games before that, has done this particularly well of late. Perhaps even new signing Timo Werner can play a good role in the very brash attacking system. But probably not at the weekend. The ex-Leipzig man is unlikely to get more than a place on the bench.

Finally, to underline once again why the odds for several goals in the match between Manchester United and Tottenham look very promising, just take a look at various statistics. For example, the Lily Whites have always scored at least once in 32 (!) consecutive PL matches. In addition, they have scored four or more goals in eight out of 20 Spurs league games. Manchester City drew 3-3 after 90 intense and exciting minutes, while the current fifth-placed Arsenal also managed a 2-2 draw in the city derby. Despite the aforementioned absences, we think the visitors are capable of scoring two or more goals on Sunday.

Predicted Tottenham line-up:

Manchester United – Tottenham head-to-head comparison / H2H record

With 165 meetings in the English top flight to date, Manchester United v Tottenham can certainly be described as a classic. The Red Devils have more than twice as many wins (84) as Spurs (40). In Premier League history, no other team has celebrated more home wins against a single opponent than MUFC against THFC. However, the first leg of the current season ended 2-0 in favor of the Lily Whites, who could win the first and second leg against the record champions in the same season for the first time since 1989/1990.

Manchester United – Tottenham betting tip

The first part of matchday 21 in the Premier League concludes on Sunday afternoon with Manchester United and Tottenham. The odds on the three-way market leave plenty of room for interpretation. There is no doubt that it is risky to bet on a home win for ten Hag’s team, especially as they have not necessarily covered themselves in glory in recent weeks and months. Just two wins from the last seven PL matches are far too few for the record champions’ high standards.

Nevertheless, the Red Devils must always be respected in their own stadium. The individual quality is there and Rashford, Fernandes and Co. could land a small liberating blow at league level, especially against an opponent that plays along and is vulnerable defensively. However, as MUFC have already disappointed us several times this season, a double chance of 1X in conjunction with goals from both teams would be the maximum of emotions for a tendency on the outcome of the match

In our opinion, however, it makes more sense to bet on at least four goals in the match between Manchester United and Tottenham. Despite the painful absence of Son, Spurs continue to play their extremely risky and offensive attacking style. This goes hand in hand with conceding goals as well as creating plenty of scoring chances. A high-scoring game is therefore obvious. The Over 3.5 is attractively priced at 2.18 and is therefore worth a stake of five units