Do the Tricky Treasures remain pale away from home?
For the first time since February 1999, there is a must-win match between the traditional clubs Manchester United and Nottingham Forest. However, the Tricky Treasures do not have good memories of the English record champions. The last six games in a row all went to the Red Devils. Today, too, the betting on Manchester United against Nottingham is clearly better on the home team.
United finally turned Old Trafford into a fortress again. Erik ten Hag’s side have won four of their last five Premier League home games (one draw) and have kept a clean sheet at home three times in a row. Consequently, the prediction for Manchester United against Nottingham is a clear or unchallenged home victory for the Red Devils.
Even the away goal of the promoted team is not considered too likely. After all, Nottingham Forest travel with the worst away record in the entire Premier League. The Garbibaldi Reds have just two points and only one goal in seven Premier League away games, in which they have conceded 19 goals.
We see a lot of value in betting on the Red Devils to win the last home game of the calendar year. By the way, if you want to play this bet at Bet365, you can currently secure up to 100 euros in betting credits as a new or existing customer.
Manchester United – Statistics & current form
With 20 national championships, Manchester United are still the country’s record champions. However, next summer will be the tenth anniversary of their last title win. The longing for another overall victory in the Premier League is correspondingly great.
However, the Red Devils are already eleven points behind leaders Arsenal, which is why United have long since ceased to play a major role in the Premier League Champions 2023 forecast. Erik ten Hag’s team lost too much in the first two months of the 2022/23 season in particular.
Three points behind a Champions League starting place
Recently, however, the English record champions got their act together. Manchester United not only reached the intermediate round of the Europa League, where they will play Barcelona in February for a place in the last 16, but also climbed back up to fifth place in the Premier League.
They are only three points off a Champions League spot, with the Red Devils having played one game less. This upturn in fortunes has also come about as a result of United’s recent strong run, which has seen them lose just one of their last 13 competitive games (ten wins, two draws).
Only lost one of last 15 Premier League home games
In particular, Old Trafford has been transformed back into a fortress as the recovery continues. United have won four of their last five Premier League home games (one draw) and have gone without conceding a goal in their last three games at home. Consequently, the odds on Manchester United against Nottingham are clearly in favour of the Red Devils.
No other team has conceded as few goals at home as the Red Devils (four goals from six home games). In fact, there has only been one defeat in the last 15 Premier League home games (nine wins, five draws).
Predicted line-up of Manchester United:
De Gea – Shaw – Varane – Lindelöf – Malacia – Eriksen – Casemiro – Rashford – Fernandes – Elanga – Martial
Last matches played by Manchester United:
Carabao Cup
22/12/2022 – Manchester United 2 – 0 Burnley
Club Friendlies
10/12/2022 – Real Betis 1 – 0 Manchester United
08/12/2022 – Cadiz 4 – 2 Manchester United
Premier League
13/11/2022 – Fulham 1 – 2 Manchester United
Carabao Cup
11/11/2022 – Manchester United 4 – 2 Aston Villa
Nottingham – Statistics & current form
Nottingham Forest remain one of the big names in English football, despite the fact that the team from England’s East Midlands has most recently been conspicuous by its absence from the country’s top flight for 23 years.
Nevertheless, the Tricky Treasures not only have one national championship to their name, but also, curiously, two overall victories in the European Champions Cup. The Garibaldi Red were allowed to return to the national champions’ circle as defending champions after their overall victory in 1979 and promptly won again in 1980, making them the only team to win the Champions League more often than the national championship.
Only one defeat in their last seven competitive matches
At the moment, the East Midlands are baking smaller rolls. However, the Tricky Treasures still want to force their way into the league. After 15 games, however, they are one point off the first non-relegation place, although there was certainly a peak in form just before the World Cup break.
Before the winter World Cup put national football on hold, Nottingham took seven out of a possible 12 points from four consecutive Premier League games. In fact, across competitions, they have just one defeat in their last seven competitive games (four wins, two draws).
The weakest away team in the Premier League
The Garibaldi Red’s disastrous away record could be their undoing in the end. No team in the Premier League has scored fewer away points (only two), scored fewer goals away from home (only one) and conceded so many goals (already 19).
Most recently, the Tricky Treasures have failed to score in five successive Premier League away games, their longest drought since a period between September and November 1970 (seven games). Consequently, for Manchester United against Nottingham, the forecast clearly favours a first point at Old Trafford since December 1994.
Predicted line-up of Nottingham:
Henderson – Lodi – Boly – Worrall – Aurier – Freuler – Mangala – Yates – Lingard – Johnson – Gibbs-White
Last matches played by Nottingham:
Carabao Cup
22/12/2022 – Blackburn 1 – 4 Nottingham Forest
Club friendlies
17/12/2022 – Valencia 1 – 2 Nottingham Forest
10/12/2022 – Olympiakos Piraeus 1 – 0 Nottingham Forest
06/12/2022 – Atromitos 3 – 2 Nottingham Forest
03/12/2022 – Stoke 2 – 1 Nottingham Forest
Manchester United – Nottingham Direct comparison / H2H record
Head to head: 48 – 23 – 33
There have been a total of 104 meetings between the two teams so far and with 48 victories Manchester United clearly lead the direct comparison. The Red Devils are currently unbeaten in seven competitive matches against the Tricky Treasures and have won all of their last six games, scoring 26 goals to 3.
Manchester United – Nottingham Tip
In all clarity, the bookmakers’ odds on Manchester United against Nottingham swing in the direction of the Red Devils, who have picked up 13 of a possible 15 points from their last five Premier League home games and have gone without conceding a goal in their last three league games at Old Trafford. That compares with Tricky Treas’s away woes, who have been without another goal in five Premier League away games.
Even with United having won their last six competitive games against the Garibaldi Red, the case for Manchester United vs Nottingham is all in favour of tip 1. The big question is how to play this bet to add some value to the ticket.
