Nothing to gain for the Reds?

One time or another in recent years, the championship question has been decided between the Sky Blues and the Reds. LFC in particular, however, have had absolutely nothing to do with the race for the title in the context of a poor 2022/23 season. The Scousers are only sixth in the table, 27 points behind leaders Arsenal. The odds are therefore in favour of a home win for the Citizens in the Manchester City v Liverpool match.

After all, the Sky Blues have lost only one of their last 13 Premier League home games against the Reds, who were particularly out of sorts away from home in the 2022/23 season. Away from home, Jürgen Klopp’s side have picked up just 12 points from 13 games and have failed to score in six of those 13 matches. The forecast for a home win for the Citizens is therefore very clear for Manchester City against Liverpool

Because the oddsmakers also take into account the miserable away form of the Scousers, there is no value to be found in tip 1. Accordingly, it is coherent to switch to the bet that it will basically be a high-scoring affair between the two teams.

The Sky Blues are likely to be without their top scorer in Erling Haaland, while the Reds have sometimes found it unusually difficult to score goals this season. Nevertheless, they have scored more than 2.5 goals in five of their last six competitive matches. This tip is accordingly coherent.

Manchester City – Statistics & current form

Last summer, Manchester City secured the eighth national championship in the club’s history and the fourth league title within the last five years. Only in the 2019/20 season did the Sky Blues once have to give way to today’s guests Liverpool.

Even in the current season, the question of the championship is far from settled. The Citizens are currently eight points behind leaders Arsenal FC with one game less on their account. Accordingly, little should be left behind in the final spurt of the season.

Six consecutive competitive wins with 23:1 goals

Pep Guardiola’s men go into the home game with the Reds with a lot of momentum. Not only have Manchester City lost just one of their last 13 Premier League home games against Liverpool (seven wins, five draws), but the Sky Blues have also won all of their last six competitive games in a row, scoring 23 goals to 1.

In the Premier League, there have been three wins in a row for the Citizens, but they have never won four league games in a row in the 2022/23 season. The reigning champions have already lost the first leg against LFC (0:1).

Eleven of the 13 Premier League home games won

Despite this, the betting odds on Manchester City against Liverpool are clearly swinging in the direction of the Sky Blues, who continue to be a force at home. Guardiola’s side have taken 34 points from a possible 39 in the Premier League at the Etihad Stadium, and no team has scored anywhere near as many home goals as the Citizens (43).

However, the fact that goal-scorer Erling Haaland is now questionable with adductor problems and is most likely to miss out makes the task against the Reds a little more difficult. So far, the Norwegian has been the absolute measure of all things for Manchester City with 42 goals in 37 games.

Last Manchester City games:

FA Cup
19/03/2023 – Manchester City 6 – 0 Burnley

Champions League Final
15/03/2023 – Manchester City 7 – 0 RB Leipzig

Premier League
12/03/2023 – Crystal Palace 0 – 1 Manchester City

04/03/2023 – Manchester City 2 – 0 Newcastle

FA Cup
01/03/2023 – Bristol City 0 – 3 Manchester City

Liverpool – Statistics & current form

Liverpool FC were the last team to dethrone Manchester City in the Premier League. In 2019/20, the Reds celebrated their 19th league title, winning the title for the first time ever in the Premier League, which was founded in 1992.

However, after finishing third in 2020/21 and runners-up in 2021/22, the 2022/23 season has been full of trouble for the Merseyside side, who currently sit in sixth place with 42 points from 26 league matches.

Will it be enough for the top four in the end?

However, the Premier League table is still somewhat skewed, as current fourth-placed Tottenham, for example, already have 28 league games under their belt – two more than LFC. Consequently, qualification for the Champions League is still possible for Liverpool.

However, the Reds cannot afford to lose too many points to achieve this goal. After being thrashed 7-0 by arch-rivals Manchester United at the beginning of March, the Scousers suffered another curious defeat in their next away game, losing 1-0 at Bournemouth. They have lost seven of their 13 Premier League games away from home.

Only twelve points from 13 Premier League away games

It is also curious that Jürgen Klopp’s highly decorated attacking team has struggled to score goals, especially away from home. In six of their 13 Premier League outings, LFC have failed to score a goal of their own, as they did in their most recent Champions League exit against Real Madrid (0:1).

The forecast for Manchester City’s next away defeat against Liverpool is correspondingly clear for the Merseyside side, who have managed to pick up just 12 points in 13 Premier League away games so far in the 2022/23 season. That equates to an utterly sobering 13th place in the away table.

Last games played by Liverpool:

Champions League Finals
16/03/2023 – Real Madrid 1 – 0 Liverpool FC

Premier League
11/03/2023 – Bournemouth 1 – 0 Liverpool FC

05/03/2023 – Liverpool FC 7 – 0 Manchester United

02/03/2023 – Liverpool FC 2 – 0 Wolverhampton

26/02/2023 – Crystal Palace 0 – 0 Liverpool FC

Manchester City – Liverpool Direct comparison / H2H balance

Head to head: 59 – 56 – 108

There have been a total of 223 meetings between the two teams so far and with 108 wins, Liverpool lead the head-to-head comparison very clearly. The Reds, who already won 1-0 in the first leg, have also lost only one of their last six duels with the Sky Blues (three wins, two draws) – a 2:3 in the last EFL Cup clash so far in December 2022.

Manchester City – Liverpool Tip

The odds on Manchester City vs Liverpool are heavily in favour of the Sky Blues, who have lost just one of their last 13 Premier League home games against the Reds (seven wins, five draws) and are currently on 34 points from a possible 39 at the Etihad Stadium. This contrasts with the Scousers’ away woes, who have recorded a meagre 12 points in 13 Premier League away games this season and have failed to score in six of those 13 outings.

Never the less, LFC always have what it takes to take down a heavyweight, as Klopp’s side proved in their 7-0 thrashing of Manchester United. No team in the history of the Premier League has won more times against the reigning champions than the Reds (23 times).