Will the Fuggerstadt team confirm their upward trend?
1. FSV Mainz 05 is still in sixth place in the table and can therefore still hope to qualify for a European competition. However, the Rhinehessians have lost three of their last four league games (one win). Nevertheless, the tip for the home game against Augsburg is for the red and whites to win at home under favorable omens. After all, the Nullfünfer have won five Bundesliga home games in a row in their home Mewa Arena.
However, the visitors from Augsburg have recently shaken off their away weakness impressively. The FCA is unbeaten in three Bundesliga away games (two wins, one draw) and has also already scored seven out of a possible nine points in the second half of the season, which only league leaders Bayern Munich have surpassed (nine). Thus, the prognosis for the game between Mainz and Augsburg is by no means as clear-cut as it might appear at first glance when a home-strong sixth in the table hosts the twelfth, who are not particularly strong away from home.
However, FC Augsburg suffered a setback in the DFB Cup during the week. After four Bundesliga games without defeat (three wins, one draw), the Fuggerstädter had to admit defeat to VfB Stuttgart in the quarter-finals with 0:1. Nevertheless, they only conceded one goal at most in the new year, which has now happened in all six competitive games. In total, the FCA have conceded only four goals, showing a clear improvement defensively.
Mainz vs. Augsburg prediction AI
In principle, the BETSiE does not quite agree with our betting recommendation, because the supercomputer calculates an expected goals value of 1.5 for 1. FSV Mainz 05 and could therefore well imagine that the red and whites will score a second goal. However, the calculated chances of victory for the two teams are much more interesting.
Mainz – Statistics & current form
Under Bo Henriksen, 1. FSV Mainz 05 not only managed to avoid relegation with ease last summer, but also continued their upward trend in the new season. The 31 points from 20 league games attest to the “zero-fivers” having their second-best Bundesliga season ever. Only in 2010/11 under Thomas Tuchel were they better (36).
Nevertheless, it should be noted that even more than the current sixth place would have been possible if they had not lost three of the last four league games (one win). The Rhine Hessians no longer have the greatest momentum, but they remain difficult to overcome in games. The red-and-whites have conceded only 13 goals in the current campaign – the lowest tally in the league.
Mainz is extremely strong at home
The FSV also has a certain home strength to throw into the balance. Although they may have lost three of their last four league games, these were exclusively away games. They have, however, won their last five Bundesliga home games, and could now celebrate six Bundesliga home wins in a row for the first time in their history.
Therefore, the odds for Mainz against Augsburg are also in the direction of the home side. LeoVegas offers 1.86 for Tip 1 and also offers a 100% bonus up to €100 with the LeoVegas bonus.
Finally, the home record against Augsburg is also good. The Rhine Hessians have won more Bundesliga home games against no other club than against the Fuggerstadters (nine). Most recently, there were even three Bundesliga home wins in a row against the Bavarian Swabians.
Augsburg – statistics & current form
FC Augsburg were repeatedly stuck in a prolonged relegation battle due to a series of setbacks. However, FCA have left the relegation zone thanks to another unbeaten streak, in which they earned ten out of a possible twelve points from the last four league games.
With 26 points, the Fuggerstadt team is in twelfth place and is looking at a much smaller gap to sixth place (only five points) than their lead over the relegation place (twelve points). Only FC Bayern Munich scored more points (nine) than the Bavarian Swabians (seven) in the second half of the season.
Augsburg with a strong improvement on the road
That upward trend also meant that Jess Thorup’s team were finally able to shake off their stubborn away weakness. After only two out of a possible 21 points were earned from the first seven Bundesliga away games in the 2024/25 season, the FCA have also remained unbeaten on foreign soil three times in a row (two wins, one draw).
Against this background, it is quite conceivable that the Mainz vs. Augsburg tip provided with value by the AI BETSiE will come true and that the Bavarian Swabians, who have not conceded more than one goal per game in any of their six competitive matches in the 2025 calendar year, will also achieve a good result in the Mewa Arena.
Predicted Augsburg line-up:
Mainz – Augsburg Head to head record
Head to head: 15 – 6 – 16
A total of 37 encounters have taken place between the two clubs so far and the direct comparison is very even. Most recently, however, the game was primarily in the hands of the Rhine Hessians, who have won four of the last five Bundesliga games against FC Augsburg (one defeat). In the last three Bundesliga home games against Augsburg, Mainz has always kept the full three points in Rhineland-Palatinate.
The fact that the betting odds of the betting providers without tax speak so clearly against FCA at Mainz against Augsburg does ensure that any outsider bets could at least be considered. While the FCA has not lost any of the last four league games (three wins, one draw), the FSV has finally suffered three defeats (one win) in the same period. But: the Rhine Hessians have won five Bundesliga games in a row at home, which is why betting on the Fuggerstadt team to get a point seems too risky to us.
Nevertheless, the defensive compactness of the Bavarian Swabians is striking, having not conceded more than one goal in any of their six competitive games in 2025. It is therefore very interesting to predict that even the Nullfünfer will only score a maximum of one goal against FCA.
