The next stage win for the Gunners?
While Arsenal head into matchday 30 of the Premier League with a comfortable eight-point lead over Manchester City at the top of the table, Liverpool occupy only a sobering eighth place.
The Reds have picked up just one point from a possible nine in their last three league games. Accordingly, it is coherent to tip Liverpool against Arsenal for the Londoners to win a point, having won all of their last seven Premier League games.
However, LFC remain a force at home at Anfield Stadium in particular. Jürgen Klopp’s side have not lost any of their last six home games (five wins, one draw), have recently gone 446 minutes without conceding a goal at home and have won their last three home games alone by 11-0 goals. Impressive numbers to factor into Liverpool’s prediction against Arsenal.
The Reds have also won their last six Premier League home games against Arsenal in a row, always scoring at least three goals (22 goals in total). However, the Londoners have been much better on the road this season. Among other things, the Gunners travel as the strongest away team in the Premier League. No team has won more away from home (11 times), lost less away from home (only twice), scored more goals away from home (28) and conceded fewer goals away from home (only nine) than Arsenal.
On balance, it therefore makes the most sense in our eyes to bet on the Gunners with Double Chance X2. Moreover, because we expect a maximum of four goals, it is very coherent to go for the tip X2 & U4.5.
Liverpool – Statistics & current form
Liverpool FC not only recently suffered a very resounding 6-2 defeat on aggregate to Real Madrid in the last 16 of the Champions League, but also play no part whatsoever in the battle for the Premier League championship in the 2022/23 season.
With a whopping 29 points behind today’s guests Arsenal FC, the Reds are only in eighth place with ten league games still to play. This would have meant that the Merseyside outfit would have missed out on qualification for a European competition altogether.
Only lost one of 13 Premier League home games
In time, therefore, Jürgen Klopp’s team must get the switch flipped again. Time and again it looked as if the knot had finally broken for the Reds. However, the sensational 7-0 win at home against arch-rivals Manchester United was followed by a series of four consecutive games without a win (one draw, three defeats).
Only at home at Anfield Road is the Scousers’ record still masterful. At home, LFC have lost only one of their 13 league games so far (nine wins, three draws), scoring 34 goals and conceding just nine.
Haven’t scored a home goal in 446 minutes of play
Currently, the Reds are unbeaten in six Premier League home games (five wins, one draw), not conceding a goal at Anfield for 446 minutes of play, and have won all of their last three home games when scoring 11-0.
Despite this, Liverpool v Arsenal odds are slightly skewed towards the visitors, who have been the absolute standard away from home so far in the 2022/23 season. It will be correspondingly difficult for the Scousers to build on their recent series. LFC have won their last six Premier League home games against the Gunners, scoring 22 goals in total.
Last matches played by Liverpool:
Premier League
05/04/2023 – Chelsea FC 0 – 0 Liverpool FC
01/04/2023 – Manchester City 4 – 1 Liverpool FC
Champions League Final
16/03/2023 – Real Madrid 1 – 0 Liverpool FC
Premier League
11/03/2023 – Bournemouth 1 – 0 Liverpool FC
05/03/2023 – Liverpool FC 7 – 0 Manchester United
Arsenal – Statistics & current form
While Liverpool FC have only looked like title contenders at home, but have only managed three wins from 15 games away from home, Arsenal FC have been excellent both at home and away so far this season.
Under long-serving coach Mikel Arteta, something has come together in north London that works and harmonises at all levels in the 2022/23 season. The Gunners have won 23 of their first 29 league games, which means they are already eight points clear of Manchester City.
Recent seven wins in a row
There is therefore a lot to be said for the Londoners being able to secure the national championship again for the first time since 2004. After a brief period of weakness in February, when they not only lost their home game against rivals Manchester City 3-1, but also picked up only one of nine possible points from three consecutive league games, they finally got straight back on track.
Since the City defeat, the Gunners have won seven Premier League matches in a row, scoring at least three goals of their own in six of those seven victories. The odds on Liverpool against Arsenal are correspondingly favourable, with Arteta’s side also set to score at Anfield Stadium.
The best away team in the Premier League
In particular, the North Londoners performed much better than the competition on away grounds. No other team won more often away from home (eleven times), was defeated less often on foreign grounds (only twice), scored more goals away from home (28) and conceded fewer goals away from home (only nine) than Arsenal.
As the strongest team in the league away from home, the Gunners travel to Merseyside with a very broad chest, where an away win would be tantamount to another small stage victory on the way to the championship title.
Last Arsenal games:
Premier League
01/04/2023 – Arsenal FC 4 – 1 Leeds
19/03/2023 – Arsenal FC 4 – 1 Crystal Palace
Europa League Final Stage
17/03/2023 – Arsenal FC (3)1 – 1(5) Sporting CP
Premier League
12/03/2023 – Fulham 0 – 3 Arsenal FC
Europa League Final Stage
10/03/2023 – Sporting CP 2 – 2 FC Arsenal
Liverpool – Arsenal Direct Comparison / H2H Balance
Head to head: 82 – 62 – 94
There have been a total of 238 meetings between the two sides so far and the Gunners lead the head-to-head with 94 wins. After a drought of eight consecutive games without a win against the Reds (three draws, five defeats), Arsenal beat Liverpool 3-2 for the first time in the first leg.
Liverpool – Arsenal Tip
For Liverpool vs Arsenal, our prediction goes for the Londoners to win the point despite the Reds’ home strength. The Gunners have won all of their last seven Premier League games and have not only been in much better form, but have also been worlds more consistent than Jürgen Klopp’s side, who have been without another win for four competitive games (one draw, three defeats).
While both teams know where the opposing goal is. However, because the second-best home defence in the league clashes with the best away defence by far, it is unlikely to be as high-scoring as in the last few encounters. We therefore recommend the combined bet on the Gunners to win the point (double chance X2) with a maximum of four goals.
