Will the cloverleaf’s slump continue at the BayArena?
Promoted Greuther Fürth picked up just one point out of a possible 39 in their first 13 league games. Never before has a Bundesliga club ever started so badly and never before has a German first division club lost eleven league games in a row within a single season. Now these negative streaks could continue at the BayArena.
Finally, the Werkself are very much in form going into matchday 14 after a small dry spell in October. Gerardo Seoane’s side are unbeaten in five competitive matches (four wins, one draw). Consequently, the odds in the run-up to the match between Leverkusen and Fürth are clearly in favour of the home side.
This could well be another bitter time for the Franconians, who have conceded goals in all 13 league games and have already reached 39 after the recent 3:6 against TSG Hoffenheim. For 35 years (Düsseldorf 1986/87), no Bundesliga side had been as defensively vulnerable as the Kleeblatt.
Accordingly, a good bet for Leverkusen against Fürth is a home win for the Werkself with a three-goal difference.
Leverkusen – Statistics & current form
Bayer Leverkusen were promoted to the Bundesliga in 1979 and have been part of the top flight of German football ever since. The Werkself has been involved in the battle for the championship on many occasions, but has never won it.
Nevertheless, it is hard to imagine the top flight of Germany’s highest division without the red-white-black team. Only once in the past twelve years have the 2002 Champions League finalists missed out on qualification for an international competition.
Third again after important away win in Leipzig
All in all, things are also going very well for Leverkusen at the moment, who are already group winners in the Europa League one matchday before the end of the group stage and thus have a firm place in the last 16.
Meanwhile, Gerardo Seoane’s side have not been thrown off course by the odd setback in league action and returned to third in the table after a 3-1 away win at the reigning runners-up last weekend.
Recent two home wins in a row
There have already been three defeats among the six home games so far in the Bundesliga. However, the Werkself have won at least the last two games in a row in their own stadium, which means they can approach the task against the current bottom team in the Bundesliga with a broad chest.
With a view to the fact that Bayer’s record against promoted teams is also good – they have won eight of their last nine home games against Bundesliga promotion contenders – betting on the next three points for Leverkusen against Fürth is very good.
Predicted Leverkusen line-up:
Hradecky – Hincapie – Tapsoba – Tah – Frimpong – Andrich – Palacios – Adli – Wirtz – Diaby – Schick
Last matches played by Leverkusen:
1st Bundesliga
11/28 2021 – RB Leipzig 1 – 3 Bayer Leverkusen
Europa League Grp. G
11/25 2021 – Bayer Leverkusen 3 – 2 Celtic Glasgow
1st Bundesliga
11/20 2021 – Bayer Leverkusen 1 – 0 Vfl Bochum
11/07 2021 – Hertha Berlin 1 – 1 Bayer Leverkusen
Europa League Grp. G
11/04 2021 – Bayer Leverkusen 4 – 0 Real Betis
Fürth – Statistics & current form
SpVgg Greuther Fürth were promoted to the Beletage of German football this summer, quite surprisingly, as runners-up in the 2. Bundesliga. In the 2012/13 season, the three-time German champions once again spent a season in the first division, in which they finished bottom of the league with just four wins and 18 points.
Even at the second attempt, the cloverleaf does not seem to be able to establish itself in the Bundesliga. Because only one point was scored, the team is already twelve points behind the relegation place.
The historically worst Bundesliga start of all time
By contrast, the numbers with which Stefan Leitl’s team has already immortalised itself in the history books so far are frightening by rule.
Only one point from 13 league games equals the historically worst start ever made by a team in the Bundesliga.
The recent 3:6 home defeat against TSG Hoffenheim even added another negative record: for the first time in the history of the Bundesliga, a club has lost eleven consecutive league games within a single season. Before that, only arch-rivals Nuremberg, of all teams, had ever suffered eleven defeats in a row.
Averaging three goals conceded per league match
Last, but not least, there are already 39 goals conceded by the cloverleaf. That corresponds to an average of three goals conceded per game. No Bundesliga team has conceded so many goals in the first 13 matchdays in 35 years.
The underdog role with which the Spielvereinigung comes to the BayArena is correspondingly glaring.
Predicted line-up of Fürth:
Funk – Willems – Bauer – Sarpei – Meyerhöfer – Christiansen – Nielsen – Tillman – Itten – Leweling – Hrgota
Last matches played by Fürth:
1st Bundesliga
11/27 2021 – Greuther Fürth 3 – 6 Hoffenheim
11/20 2021 – Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 – 0 Greuther Fürth
11/07 2021 – Greuther Fürth 1 – 2 Eintracht Frankfurt
10/30 2021 – SC Freiburg 3 – 1 Greuther Fürth
10/23 2021 – RB Leipzig 4 – 1 Greuther Fürth
Leverkusen – Fürth Direct comparison / H2H balance
Head to head: 1 – 1 – 0
The two duels from their only Bundesliga year together so far in 2012/13 were the only two competitive matches between the two teams. Leverkusen won 2-0 at home in the first leg before the two teams parted 0-0 in Fürth. The Werkself is thus still unbeaten against the Franconians and without conceding a goal.
Leverkusen – Fürth Tip
For Leverkusen against Fürth, our prediction is shaped by the Franconians’ slump, who became the first team ever to suffer eleven defeats in a row in a single season. Defensively, the cloverleaf is extremely open, conceding an average of three goals per game, which really puts everything in this clash in favour of the in-form Werkself, who have won four of their last five competitive matches (one draw).
Accordingly, the only question is really how the bet on the Werkself can be played as profitably as possible. Also because of the lack of defensive stability at the Franconian side, we see the greatest value in betting on a home win with a three-goal difference.
