Will Leganes still win the league title?

In the Segunda, it’s all about the last big corrections in the standings. The fixed promotion spots are already more or less fixed, but the question of who will be crowned champion is still open. According to the predictions of most observers, Leganes’ chances against Elche are quite good. For their opponents, nothing is at stake anymore

The style of play is quite similar on both sides. However, the result and therefore the position in the table is quite different. If the favorites prevail, it will be high-scoring, if the visitors can hold out, then probably a little less.

Neither club has survived the season’s finale without any scratches, but the role of the favorites is quite clear. In the last five matchdays, Leganes have picked up six points more than their upcoming opponents.

This also makes it clear why the betting odds are so clearly divided between Leganes and Elche and why the visitors will remain in the second division for another year.

Leganes – Statistics & current form

In the suburbs of Madrid, they are preparing for another season in the top flight. Will they even win the championship in the end? Although the Blue & Whites are currently in second place, their offense can only prove this to a limited extent. After 41 matchdays so far, they have “only” scored 54 goals. In comparison, Eibar (68) and Santander (63) have scored far more.

However, both clubs are several points and therefore ranks below the hosts. They therefore make a lot of the chances they are given. As such, they operate out of a solid 4-2-3-1. They are not overly aggressive, but mainly defend collectively.

When they win the ball, they usually go down the wings into the final third. Crosses are a popular means of finishing. Miguel de la Fuente and Diego Garcia (twelve goals each) are a classic attacking duo that can be used either alternately or, if necessary, in pairs. So they do score goals, just not always en masse

The best defense in the league doesn’t need many goals to win

What will ultimately lead Leganes to the top flight and possibly to the league title is their backline. With 27 goals conceded, the suburbs have the best record in the entire Segunda.

Here, too, the system can be brought into play. By tightening up the midfield, they often take away the opponent’s space to operate. The block in the center can only be overplayed high up and the back four is waiting for it.

As is so often the case, ball losses and counter-attacks are the classic gateways for the enemy. They are the best defense out of the game, but it looks a little different on the counterattack. This also explains why many predictions for Leganes against Elche assume a low-scoring game.

Predicted Leganes line-up:
Alcoado – Miramon, Saenz de Miera Colmeiro, Gonzalez Poirrier, Franquesa – Neyou, Brasanac – Cisse, Garcia, Portillo – de la Fuente

Elche – Statistics & current form

The dream of promotion has been dashed. Now it’s time to bring the season to a close. Can they do that seriously? For a long time, Elche had remained at the top of the Segunda with a realistic chance of returning to the top flight. But then came the final spurt of the season and the English weeks. The last five rounds were the nail in the coffin.

Just two points out of a possible 15 and a goal difference of 5:11 finally cemented the team’s continuation in the second tier. The defensive collapse was particularly noticeable. With a total of 44 goals conceded in 41 rounds, the problem is not so extreme, but without the performances of recent weeks, the figure would be different.

Above all, the individual mistakes increased noticeably, including the subsequent counter-attacking situations. These had already been stopped only inefficiently beforehand, but in the end all the dams broke. The question now is how they will deal with the setback.

According to many observers, Leganes v Elche could perhaps see a surprising revival in betting on goals, as the visitors simply no longer have the right attitude. If the last few rounds are any indicator, then it will ring a bell.

The offense carried them as long as the defense held

If there’s one constant in Elche, it’s the offense. It has consistently, if not massively, contributed to the dreams of promotion. With 43 strikes in 41 rounds, they just exceed 1.0 goals per game.

So the offense is solid and nothing more. The previously somewhat stronger defensive performance has repeatedly made counterattacks possible. This is also where the visitors show the best statistical values. Long balls to the wings and quick hooks inside allowed them to get into their preferred territory.

The greatest potential of the men from Elche lies in long-range shots. The problem? Due to the patchy defense, those situations were much rarer. With five goals in the last five rounds, they have maintained their average, but it was still not enough. Now the question of motivation is once again on the table. Do they still want to fight back?

Predicted line-up for Elche:
Dituro – Salinas, Bigas, Donald, Carreira – Puigmal, Castro, Mendez, Plano – Mercau, Boayar

Leganes – Elche Head-to-head comparison / H2H record

The history of this duel shows two things rather clearly. With a win distribution of 4:1 per Elche, there were more splits than wins. Add to that the 6:8 goals and it is difficult to argue, at least historically, why odds on goals make sense for Leganes against Elche. Other bets should rather be pushed

Leganes – Elche Spain betting tip

The game looks like entertainment, but only to a limited extent like goals. It will probably be a competitive match. There will be many skirmishes, especially in midfield.

However, judging by the stats for the season as a whole, it’s unlikely to be a festival of goals

If most betting providers have their way, Leganes vs. Elche will end with bet 1. The championship title could still follow in the end and something has to be done for that. With home advantage and an opponent without a goal, this should be possible. But it will be close and hardly extremely high-scoring