Does Leeds celebrate their first competitive match win in ages?

Early in the season the EFL Cup starts. For Leeds, this could be an important moment in the new season, because after relegation, things didn’t go quite right in the league at the start either. A sense of achievement now could change a lot of things.

The Leeds vs. Shrewsbury prediction of the bookmakers shows that the home side are favoured. After all, Leeds also play one league higher than their opponents, who have also not been able to put in the best performances on the pitch season in and season out. Nevertheless, the visitors from Shrewsbury fancy their chances.

Despite a new coach and some new players, Leeds look vulnerable. A game in the cup at such an early stage of the season can often be entertaining too. Therefore, our Leeds vs. Shrewsbury tip is that more than 2.5 goals will be scored.

Leeds – Statistics & current form

A lot has changed for Leeds United following their relegation. Ten players were released, three were added, and players from the club’s own junior squad were also moved up. The club also installed a new coach, Daniel Farke. The squad is still not quite finished, it is still relatively bloated. A certain breadth is not bad in the tough Championship, but one example is that there are two skilled centre-backs in the squad, but seven wing-backs.

So the work of restructuring in the summer is probably not yet complete. The preparation was mixed, which also applied to the first game in the Championship. They drew 2-2 against Cardiff City, and Leeds even looked like the losers for a long time. However, the quality is high for a team in the 2nd division, players like Struijk, Ampadu, Sinisterra or Gnonto can definitely make the difference.

A win in the cup would be very important for Leeds, as they have not won any of their last ten matches. The extremely poor final phase of last season contributed significantly to the team’s relegation. A sense of achievement would boost confidence again and the Leeds vs. Shrewsbury odds show that this is quite realistic.

Leeds must learn from mistakes

The home side must learn from their mistakes. From the ones that happened early on this season and especially from the ones from pre-season. There, the defence was an essential factor, with Leeds conceding 78 goals. The offensive, on the other hand, was even okay, even if it was often not enough to bring in a positive result.

The balance could be decisive in the new season. Farke, who was not really happy with Gladbach in 22/23 either and often played moderately entertaining football there, has to get back to the roots with which he caused a sensation during his time at Norwich City. With a few clever adjustments, this could also be implemented at Leeds.

In any case, the hosts are favoured and have an individual advantage in their ranks. Because a cup match is always something special and both may try to set offensive accents, our prediction before the Leeds vs. Shrewsbury match is that more than 2.5 goals will be scored.

Predicted Leeds line-up:
Meslier – Ayling, Cooper, Struijk, Firpo – Ampadu, Gyabi, Greenwood, Harrison, Summerville – Gnonto

Shrewsbury – Statistics & current form

Shrewsbury Town play in the third division of England and are currently coached by Matthew Taylor. The team celebrated a narrow 1-0 win against Cheltenham at the start of the season and will now try to somehow annoy the higher-class opponents from Leeds. They want to do this with a few pinpricks, especially by involving the striker duo.

But it won’t be easy, because the team is clearly lacking individually compared to the hosts. Leeds should dominate the game and Shrewsbury should create their own goal chances mainly through counterattacks and standards. There are no real stars in the squad, but the composition looks a bit more homogeneous than that of the hosts.

The Leeds vs. Shrewsbury betting odds clearly show that the bookmakers do not trust the visitors to progress due to the high individual differences and the fact that the team has to play away from home. The fact that they have lost eight of their eleven games all season also plays a role in this.

Shrewsbury must improve away from home

The visitors had their problems last season, especially away from home in League One. Shrewsbury lost twelve games away from home, which is clearly too many. The points average away from home was only exactly one point per game, at home it was 1.57. Also, the own offensive was much weaker away from home.

The visiting team will definitely have to push their own limits in this match if progress is to be an option. Defensively, it needs dedication and compactness, offensively, ideas. However, it is more likely that the higher class club will also get its qualities on the pitch. That’s why, in the run-up to the Leeds v Shrewsbury game, our value tip is also that the hosts will win and already lead at the break.

Predicted line-up of Shrewsbury:
Marosi – Flanagan, Anderson, Feeney – Winchester, Perry, Bayliss, Thorpe, Shipley – Bowman, Udoh

Leeds – Shrewsbury Direct comparison / H2H record

16 times both teams played against each other so far, nine of those games were won by Leeds, who consequently lead the direct comparison. With 29:18 goals, the hosts are also ahead in this statistic. Shrewsbury have only won three times in direct duels.

Leeds – Shrewsbury Tip

Leeds are looking for a win after ten games without a win and are favourites to do so. Home advantage and the fact that the team is clearly superior to the opponent give hope that it will finally work with a win.

Due to the difference in quality and the statistical circumstances, our tip before the match Leeds vs Shrewsbury is that more than 2.5 goals will be scored.