Who will end the negative streak in the basement duel?
With Leeds and Norwich, two very in-form teams face each other in the relegation battle. The Whites have been waiting for another treble for eight league games in a row and have suffered six straight defeats recently. The Canaries, on the other hand, are winless in six league games and have lost all of their last five.
Although overall, the Peacocks picked up six more points than Norwich. However, given that the effect of the coaching change at the Whites has completely fizzled out recently, it is still somewhat surprising that the bookmakers’ odds are swinging so clearly in the direction of the home side in the run-up to the clash between Leeds and Norwich.
A lot of value can be found in the bet on the division of points, which would at least slow down the losing streak for both teams and provide a positive signal. However, as both teams have struggled to score goals, it makes the most sense to bet on a maximum of one team scoring in the Leeds vs Norwich match.
Leeds – Statistics & current form
Since promotion to the Premier League, Leeds United have been synonymous with unconditional attacking soccer under Marcelo Bielsa. Although the Whites always conceded a lot of goals in this context, they scored reliably and finished last season in a remarkable ninth place in the table as a promoted team.
However, because the offensive engine faltered time and again in the new season, the promotion coach recently had to pack his bags. Jesse Marsch took over in West Yorkshire but has not yet been able to turn things around.
Haven’t scored in 396 minutes
The first two league games under the American were not only lost. To make matters worse, LUFC went without scoring a goal of their own in both games. The Peacocks have now gone 396 minutes without a goal.
It would be important for the former Leipzig coach not only to make further adjustments defensively, but also to get to grips with the Whites’ offensive drought, which has seen them pick up just one of a possible 24 points from their last eight league games.
Six straight losses while conceding 21 goals
Despite the offensive drought and recent six straight defeats with a total of 21 goals conceded, however, the odds are swinging in the direction of the home side ahead of the match between Leeds and Norwich.
This can be explained by the Whites’ good record against struggling clubs. Ten of the last 13 Premier League games against teams that were in a relegation place at the time of the match were won (two draws, one defeat).
Predicted Leeds lineup:
Meslier – Firpo – Struijk – Ayling – Dallas – Koch – Forshaw – Harrison – Rodrigo – Raphinha – James
Last matches played by Leeds:
Premier League
03/13 2022 – Leeds 2 – 1 Norwich
03/10 2022 – Leeds 0 – 3 Aston Villa
03/05 2022 – Leicester 1 – 0 Leeds
02/26 2022 – Leeds 0 – 4 Tottenham
02/23 2022 – Liverpool FC 6 – 0 Leeds
Norwich – Statistics & current form
As champions of the EFL Championship, Norwich City returned to the country’s top division just a year after relegation from the Premier League. Once again, the Canaries’ big goal now is to finally re-establish themselves in the top flight of English soccer.
After the last two promotions, the Canaries immediately dropped down a level the following year, and everything currently looks as if Dean Smith’s team will not be able to hold its own in the Premier League. After 28 out of 38 games, the Yellows have the red lantern in their hands.
Five points off the first non-relegation spot
However, the situation is not completely hopeless with only five points behind the saving shore.
Without a win in a direct duel against an opponent who is also in danger of relegation, it will be extremely difficult.
With the pressure on, the bottom of the Premier League travels to Yorkshire, where the Canaries have enjoyed playing recently. The Yellows have won six of their last nine away league games in Yorkshire (two draws, one defeat).
The worst away attack in the Premier League
However, Dean Smith’s eleven bring a desolate away record to Elland Road alongside a recent negative run of five straight defeats. The Canaries have lost nine of their 13 away games in the 2021/22 season, scoring just seven goals in total away from home.
With this in mind, it also makes a lot of sense to bet on Leeds against Norwich that a maximum of one team will score in this basement duel. After all, the Yellows are averaging just 0.54 goals per away game. No other team has been even remotely as tame away from home.
Predicted Norwich lineup:
Krul – Williams – Kabak – Hanley – Zimmermann – Aarons – McLean – Normann – Melou – Pukki – Sargent
Last games played by Norwich:
Premier League
03/13 2022 – Leeds 2 – 1 Norwich
03/10 2022 – Norwich 1 – 3 Chelsea London
03/05 2022 – Norwich 1 – 3 Brentford
FA Cup
03/02 2022 – Liverpool FC 2 – 1 Norwich
Premier League
02/25 2022 – Southampton 2 – 0 Norwich
Leeds – Norwich Direct comparison / H2H balance
Head to head: 24 – 16 – 20
There have been a total of 60 meetings between the two teams so far and the Whites lead the head-to-head comparison with 24 wins. In the first leg, Leeds celebrated a 2-1 win at Norwich. The Peacocks could now pick up six points in league action against the Canaries for the first time since 1980/81.
Leeds – Norwich Tip
With Leeds against Norwich, the forecast must take into account that here are two heavily ticked teams face each other, for which there was absolutely nothing to get in recent weeks. That’s why the Whites changed coaches recently. However, with two defeats and 0:4 goals from the first two games under Jesse Marsch, there was no discernible effect. The Peacocks have now gone 396 minutes without scoring a goal of their own.
The Yellows have also struggled to score goals and have only managed seven in 13 Premier League away games – a negative figure in the league. We therefore see a lot of value in betting that a maximum of one team will score in this basement duel
