Will the Norwegians defend their lead?
The Italian-Norwegian quarter-final second leg of the Europa League is coming up! Which Lazio Rome vs. Bodö/Glimt tip looks promising? The first match last week ended in a 2-0 win for the underdogs from the far north!
The two-time Italian champions therefore have their backs to the wall and will inevitably have to play very offensively to make up this deficit. The hosts can take heart from the fact that the Norwegians have never won in Italy, with five of their visits ending in defeat.
On top of that, the home side have not lost in 13 home games in the Europa League (6-7-0). For the second duel on the Tiber between Lazio Rome and Bodö/Glimt, however, the forecast includes a goal by Kasper Hogh for the visitors.
Lazio Rome vs. Bodö/Glimt AI prediction
Looking at the matchup, our artificial intelligence has identified value in the odds for the hosts. BETSiE has calculated a 1.17 advantage for the Italians in terms of expected goals. In view of this, the Lazio Rome vs. Bodö/Glimt AI prediction is for a win for the Romans in the Asian handicap variant (-1.0).
Lazio Rome – Statistics & current form
The kickers from the “Eternal City” prevailed against the Czechs from Pilsen in the previous round, but advancing was hard work. After a 2-1 away win, they only managed a home draw in the second leg.
However, the Romans were severely weakened in the latter match after receiving two red cards in the first leg against the Czechs. From a playing perspective, coach Marco Baroni’s team is now once again the clear favorite, as the squad is better staffed.
However, the home side’s form has been mixed, and not just because of the defeat in the first leg against Bodö/Glimt. This is particularly true of the defense, which has not kept a clean sheet in twelve competitive games at home.
Will there be goals at both ends again?
In light of this, the betting odds for both teams to score in the match between Lazio Rome and Bodö/Glimt are also recommended. This has been the case in the Romans’ last ten home games across all competitions! You can bet on them at Bet365, and the bookmaker from the island also has a US license.
In attack, the seventh-placed team in last season’s Serie A is relying primarily on Pedro. The Spaniard is the Biancocelesti’s top scorer in the Europa League with four goals and three assists. He is particularly important at the moment, as Taty Castellanos, the best Serie A goalscorer for the seven-time Italian cup winners, is not fully fit.
Lazio’s defense is working part-time
Another weakness of the home side is that they often drop off defensively in the second half: only two of Lazio’s nine goals conceded in the competition have come before the break! On the other hand, the Italians are very good at managing a lead. This is evident from the fact that they have scored the first goal seven times and have always gone on to win the game.
Bodö/Glimt – Statistics & current form
The Norwegians are the reigning champions of their country and have made a successful start to the new season in the domestic Eliteserien. The club from Bodø won all of their first three league games.
In the Europa League, coach Kjetil Knutsen’s team finished the preliminary round in ninth place, narrowly missing out on a direct ticket to the round of 16. However, “Superlaget” went on to defeat Twente from the Dutch Eredivisie and, in the last round, even knocked out Olympiakos, the last winner of the Conference League.
Norwegians don’t like to travel
The quarter-final berth was therefore well deserved, even though the visitors did not impress away from home. They lost both of their last two away games. In light of this and given the hosts’ fundamentally stronger squad, the odds on a home win in the match between Lazio Rome and Bodö/Glimt are also worth considering and can be taken advantage of at Betano.
However, the visitors have the advantage of having already achieved a major success by reaching the quarter-finals of the Europa League and can play without pressure. The Norwegians have only reached this stage of the competition once before, when they finished among the top eight teams in the Conference League in the 2021/22 season.
On the other hand, it is a bit of a good omen for the club from Aspmyra Stadium that they were defeated by a club from Rome at that time. The Eliteserien champions had to bow to Roma, who, incidentally, went on to win the inaugural edition of the Conference League.
Bodö/Glimt doesn’t need many chances
One of the visitors’ strengths is their excellent conversion rate: the Norwegians are in first place in terms of shot conversion with 24.1 percent. In addition, the visitors will be fresher. Unlike their opponents, who played the “Derby della Capitale” against AS, they did not have to play in the national league last weekend. Fatigue could therefore also be a factor.
Lazio Rome – Bodö/Glimt Head-to-head record / H2H record
The teams met for the first time last week, with the Norwegians winning 2-0. For the second match between Lazio Rome and Bodö/Glimt, however, the odds now clearly favor the home team.
Lazio Rome – Bodö/Glimt Tip
In the quarterfinal second leg between Lazio Rome and Bodö/Glimt, the prediction includes a goal from Kasper Hogh for the visitors. With seven goals, the Norwegian striker is currently joint top of the Europa League scoring charts alongside El Kaabi of Piraeus. He is also in good form, having scored at least once in five of the visitors’ last six competitive games!
Another goal from the Dane is also likely for Lazio Rome against Bodö/Glimt, as the hosts are the favorites but have looked shaky in defense recently. Hogh should therefore have no shortage of chances against “Le Aquile.”
On top of that, conceding goals in the home games of the hosts in this edition of the Europa League is almost the rule: only in one of Lazio’s five home EL games was this not the case, and Hogh is undoubtedly the hottest candidate among the visitors to take advantage of any defensive deficiencies that may arise again for the Italians!
