Is Las Palmas still able to make a comeback?
Las Palmas lost the first leg of the semi-final of the promotion play-offs. Nevertheless, there are still realistic chances for head coach Pimienta’s team to reach the final of the playoffs. Even a narrow 1-0 win in the second leg is enough to force extra time against their Canary neighbours from Tenerife.
The bookmakers see Las Palmas vs Tenerife as favourites according to betting odds. A bet on the hosts is quite obvious after the strong performance in the first leg, where UD Las Palmas had far more game shares than CD Tenerife. Especially as Las Palmas have won their last two home derbies against Tenerife at home anyway.
Before the recent derby defeat against CD Tenerife, Las Palmas had gone six matches in a row unbeaten against their Canary neighbours. Las Palmas have already beaten CD Tenerife in both the first and second legs of the regular season, including a 1-0 coup away from home.
Las Palmas – Statistics & current form
Over the last few months, Las Palmas have been one of the most in-form teams in the Spanish second division. Head coach Pimienta’s side even fought their way into the play-offs after an impressive season-ending run, setting the stage for a return to the Spanish top flight.
The last time UD Las Palmas appeared in La Liga was in the 2017/18 season, and since then the tradition-rich club from the Canary Islands has floundered in the second division. Year after year, Las Palmas had also missed the playoffs. Ninth place was the best result since their relegation from the Spanish top flight until this season.
After eleven matches in a row in which Las Palmas did not concede a defeat, Las Palmas suffered their first defeat in a must-win match since March 2022 in the semi-final of the promotion play-offs. The chance to make amends now comes on Saturday evening.
Does Las Palmas use home advantage against Tenerife?
Encouragingly, ahead of the semi-final second leg against their Canary neighbours, the recent record at the Estadio de Gran Canaria. Las Palmas have won their last five home games at their own stadium, scoring a total of ten goals – an average of two goals per home win. In addition, Las Palmas have won their last two home derbies against Tenerife.
If the next derby win follows, betting odds of up to 1.90 are paid on Las Palmas vs Tenerife for tip 1. Las Palmas have not lost a derby against Tenerife in their own stadium since November 2008.
As in the first leg during the week, head coach Pimienta will have almost all options in the squad for the second leg. Only Loiodice will miss the Canary Islands derby against CD Tenerife due to injury. There are no other absentees for the hosts from Las Palmas.
Predicted line-up of Las Palmas:
Valles; Lemos, Navas, Curbelo, Cardona; Rodriguez, Mfulu, Viera, Moleiro; Mujica, Jese
Last matches played by Las Palmas:
LaLiga2 Playoff
02/06/2022 – Tenerife 1 – 0 Las Palmas
LaLiga2
30/05/2022 – Sporting Gijon 0 – 1 Las Palmas
22/05/2022 – Las Palmas 2 – 1 Real Oviedo
15/05/2022 – Alcorcon 0 – 2 Las Palmas
07/05/2022 – Las Palmas 1 – 0 CD Mirandes
Tenerife – Statistics & current form
CD Tenerife are just one step away from a place in the final. Head coach Luis Miguel Ramis’ side won the first derby against Las Palmas and even kept their clean sheet. Tenerife are therefore no longer under pressure to win the second leg and can look for counter-attacking opportunities.
Just one goal from Tenerife means that Las Palmas need at least three goals to reach the final of the promotion play-offs. The “Tete” will therefore approach Saturday’s derby with a broad chest. In the first leg, Tenerife’s defensive bulwark was already able to keep the opponent’s offensive in check.
After a disastrous season-ending run in La Liga 2, in which CD Tenerife conceded three defeats in a row, the result in the semi-final first leg of the promotion play-offs was definitely an act of defiance by the Ramis eleven. Nevertheless, betting on another Tenerife win in the away derby in Las Palmas will be risky.
Strongest away team in the second division
Tenerife have not won any of their last seven away derbies at UD Las Palmas, after all. During the regular season, the “Tete” already lost the Canarian derby in Las Palmas. Betting fans who still want to bet on Las Palmas vs. Tenerife can pick up betting odds of up to 4.20.
Just like Saturday’s opponents, Tenerife will also be starting with their best line-up. The “Tete” will only have to do without Pablo Larrea for the derby against Las Palmas. CD Tenerife have no other absentees. Compared to the starting eleven that mastered the home match against Las Palmas during the week, no changes are expected.
Away from home, Tenerife were the strongest away team in La Liga 2 during the regular season, with the “Tete” picking up a total of 37 points in 21 away games. In that period, there were only six defeats away from home for the Canarian representative – a good omen before Saturday’s match?
Predicted Tenerife line-up:
Soriano; Moore, Ruiz, Leon, Mellot; Mollejo, Corredera, Sanz, Bermejo; Gonzalez, Gallego
Last matches played by Tenerife:
LaLiga2 Playoff
02/06/2022 – Tenerife 1 – 0 Las Palmas
LaLiga2
30/05/2022 – Tenerife 1 – 2 Cartagena
22/05/2022 – Eibar 2 – 0 Tenerife
16/05/2022 – Tenerife 0 – 2 Malaga
10/05/2022 – Girona 0 – 1 Tenerife
Las Palmas – Tenerife Direct comparison / H2H balance
In the last 29 competitive matches between the two clubs, the direct comparison is even with a record of 9-11-9. As expected, Las Palmas have recorded the most wins against Tenerife at home. The most defeats, on the other hand, have been away from home, including the semi-final first leg in the ongoing promotion play-offs.
Before the recent defeat against the “Tete”, Las Palmas had not lost any of the last six derbies against Tenerife. In the regular season, Las Palmas prevailed 2-1 in the first leg and 1-0 in the second leg in Tenerife.
Las Palmas – Tenerife tip
With the 1-0 from the first leg, the final of the promotion play-offs is within reach for CD Tenerife. The “Tete” just have to manage the good result in the second leg. Just one goal in the second leg will ensure that Las Palmas need to score at least three goals to reach the final after all.
The visitors will nevertheless not take any major risks and will be on the lookout for counter-attacking opportunities. In the first leg, Tenerife were already inferior to their Canary neighbours. The “Tete” only had 28% of the ball in the recent derby against Las Palmas, but they had the better chance to score.
As in the first leg during the week, we expect a derby on equal terms. Like the bookmakers, we see the hosts from Las Palmas as favourites. The team of head coach Pimienta had already dominated the first leg. The only thing Las Palmas will have to work on to master the match against Tenerife is their ability to make the most of their chances.
With a stake of five units, we place our bet on Las Palmas vs. Tenerife at reasonable odds on the hosts.
