A clear win for the Gunners?

After their 3-0 victory over Real Madrid, Arsenal FC also held off Madrid’s hoped-for comeback on Wednesday evening at the Santiago Bernabéu, even recording a 2-1 away win against Los Blancos. However, the fun is now over and it’s back to business. The Gunners have failed to win any of their last three Premier League away games. However, there are many reasons to believe that the Londoners will win away at Ipswich.

The Tractor Boys are as good as relegated. There are 18 points left to play for and Ipswich are 14 points adrift of safety. Accordingly, our prediction for Ipswich against Arsenal is a home defeat for the Blues, who have lost nine of their last ten Premier League home games (one win) and have never won in eleven Premier League encounters with the Gunners (two draws, nine defeats).

The Londoners’ away record is very impressive. The Gunners have lost only two of their last 25 Premier League games on the road (15 wins, eight draws). With a full squad on the pitch in Madrid on Wednesday, some rotation is to be expected. However, the quality is there across the board, which is why we see no value in any underdog bets.

Ipswich – Statistics & current form

Ipswich Town have been waiting in vain for a win against Arsenal for eleven Premier League games (two draws, nine defeats). No other team has failed to win against the Gunners as often in the English top flight. Ipswich have lost their last four league games without scoring a goal, and their last league win against the Gunners came almost 41 years ago: a 2-1 home victory in September 1984. Now the Tractor Boys are facing a historic low: another defeat would be their 20th of the current season – a figure the Blues have only achieved in the 1994/95 (29) and 2001/02 (20) seasons.

Their home form also offers little cause for hope. The last six Premier League games at Portman Road have all been lost – as many as in the previous two years combined. The last time the club suffered such a run of home defeats was between September and November 1963. Overall, the East Anglians have lost nine of their last ten home games (one win). What’s more, no team has squandered more leads in 2024/25 than Ipswich – they have already dropped 27 points after taking the lead, which is why relegation is all but sealed with a 14-point gap to safety.

Ipswich are too lackluster going forward

In six league games in 2025 in which Ipswich took the lead, they only managed one win (three draws, two defeats). What makes this particularly bitter is that this game will now be the first league game in the club’s history on Easter Sunday. The premiere could end with another setback, as the Blues are the clear underdogs. In the Bet365 app, odds of 8.50 are being offered for Ipswich to win against Arsenal.

Julio Enciso remains the hope for the future, having been directly involved in four goals in his eight league games for Ipswich (one goal, three assists). His latest goal against Chelsea (final score: 2-2) ended a streak of 32 games without a goal. Nevertheless, the overall offensive performance is too weak to seriously threaten a team like Arsenal. They have not even scored a goal in their last four Premier League matches against the North London club…

Arsenal – Statistics & current form

The second-placed team is 13 points behind Liverpool, but with a four-point lead over third place, they don’t really have to worry about being relegated.

The Gunners have been particularly solid away from home: since losing 1-0 at Newcastle in November, they have gone unbeaten in 11 Premier League away games (six wins, five draws). Overall, Arsenal have won 20 of their last 21 league games against promoted teams, including the last ten in a row. Their last defeat against a newly promoted team came in May 2023 (0-1 against Nottingham Forest). They have won their last ten games against teams in the relegation zone, with an incredible goal difference of 30-2.

Arsenal with a short dry spell on Easter Sundays

With the stars aligned in their favor, the tip for Ipswich against Arsenal is that the Gunners will be able to pick up an away win again after three consecutive draws on the road. Bukayo Saka could play a key role here, as he has usually excelled against promoted teams: in his last 16 Premier League games against teams that played in the Championship the previous season, he has been directly involved in 15 goals (seven goals, eight assists). He has also scored three goals and provided five assists in his last six appearances against the Tractor Boys.

Collectively, however, Arsenal remain vulnerable when in the lead – they have already dropped 16 points despite taking the lead, just one less than in the previous two seasons combined. There is also a small statistical blip: the Gunners have not won any of their last three league games on Easter Sunday (one draw, two defeats). The last competitive game in Ipswich was also lost – in 2011, the North Londoners lost 1-0 in the League Cup. Since then, however, the Gunners have been dominant again. Everything points to a repeat of their brilliant performance at the Santiago Bernabéu on Easter Sunday.

Ipswich – Arsenal Head-to-head record / H2H record

Head to head: 18 – 11 – 31

A total of 60 competitive matches have been played between the two teams so far, with Arsenal FC leading the head-to-head record by a clear margin with 31 wins. The Gunners also won the first leg 1-0, remaining unbeaten in their eleventh Premier League clash with the Tractor Boys (nine wins, two draws). At home at Portman Road, Ipswich have won only one of their last eight competitive games against the Londoners (one draw, six defeats).

Ipswich – Arsenal Tip

The betting odds from the best bookmakers are clearly in favor of the visitors from north London, who have not only won 20 of their last 21 Premier League games against promoted teams (one defeat), but are now the second-best away team in the league and are visiting the second-weakest home team. The Tractor Boys have lost nine of their last ten Premier League home games (one win).

Accordingly, the prediction for Ipswich vs. Arsenal is that the Gunners will secure an unchallenged and possibly even clear away win at Portman Road. We therefore recommend the handicap bet and are putting -1 on the visitors, who we believe will win by at least two goals. Bet-at-home offers odds of 1.90 for this bet. We are investing four out of ten units in this tip.