Low-scoring first leg at the Giuseppe Meazza?
Inter Milan and Atletico Madrid already had to play Italian-Spanish duels in their preliminary round groups. While last year’s finalists from Lombardy only finished second in Group D behind Real Sociedad, the Rojiblancos won Group E ahead of Lazio Roma. The Colchoneros will now be looking to build on their good record against Serie A representatives in the knockout rounds. Five of the six games so far have gone to the Madrilenians. Nevertheless, the betting on an away win in the first leg of Inter Milan v Atletico Madrid is not under a good star
If Diego Simeone’s side were ultimately vulnerable, it was away from home. While the Rojiblancos picked up 37 out of a possible 39 points at home in La Liga, they lost six of their twelve away league games. The Colchoneros also failed to win in either Rome (1-1) or Glasgow (2-2) in the Champions League preliminary round. Accordingly, the predictions for Inter Milan v Atletico Madrid lean towards the home side
We expect the visitors from the Spanish capital to be very compact defensively. After all, Simeone’s team will probably be looking to secure as good a starting position as possible for the second leg in Lombardy, where they will then use their home strength to secure a place in the quarter-finals. However, Inter Milan’s approach is also very defensive. The Nerazzurri have kept a clean sheet in eight of their last 13 Champions League games.
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Inter Milan – Statistics & current form
Inter Milan have not only already won 19 Scudettos and are currently heading for their 20th league title in the club’s history with giant strides and a nine-point lead, but have also won the Champions League and the European Cup three times.
Biscione almost added handle pot number four to their trophy collection last summer. However, the Nerazzurri were defeated by Manchester City in the 2023 Champions League final. It was the Beneamata’s only loss in their last 13 matches in the top flight (seven wins, five draws)
Inter Milan are incredibly solid defensively
The fact that hardly any other team has managed to beat the Nerazzurri in a competitive international match is primarily due to the incredible compactness of Simone Inzaghi’s squad.
The Lombards have kept a clean sheet in no fewer than eight of their last 13 Champions League games. They have conceded a total of just nine goals in these 13 games. The picture is similar in Serie A, where they have conceded just 12 goals after 24 league games – an average of just 0.5 goals per game
Inter Milan’s favor is their concentrated home strength
The Biscione have lost their only competitive match against the Rojiblancos so far. Nevertheless, the odds are now clearly in favor of Inzaghi’s side for Inter Milan against Atletico Madrid, who are also extremely strong at home.
At the Giuseppe Meazza, the Nerazzurri not only picked up seven out of a possible nine points from the three matches in the Champions League preliminary round, but also 31 out of a possible 36 points from twelve Serie A home games. No team in Italy’s top flight scored more home goals (30) or conceded fewer home goals (six) than FC Internazionale.
Predicted Inter Milan line-up:
Atletico Madrid – Statistics & current form
Atletico Madrid have not yet won the Champions League, but have already won the Europa League three times and the European Cup Winners’ Cup and the World Cup once each. They have also won eleven national championships and ten Copa del Rey titles.
This year, however, it looks as if the Rojiblancos will once again come away empty-handed. They lost the first leg of the Copa del Rey semi-final at home to Bilbao 0:1. Meanwhile, the current fourth-placed team are already eleven points behind city rivals Real in La Liga
Atletico Madrid and the discrepancy between home and away games
In the first leg of this round of 16 tie between Inter Milan and Atletico Madrid, the odds are not in favor of a Madrid victory. After all, if Diego Simeone’s side were vulnerable, it was away from home.
While no team in La Liga is as strong at home as the Colchoneros, who have picked up 37 of a possible 39 points at home, they have already suffered six defeats from twelve away games. The Rojiblancos’ two point losses in the group stage in the top flight were also due to away games at Lazio Roma (1:1) and Celtic Glasgow (2:2).
Atletico Madrid were goal-happy in the group stage
On a positive note, however, the team from the Spanish capital not only knows how to defend venomously, but also travels to Lombardy with unusual penetration. The Rojiblancos scored no fewer than 17 goals in the Champions League preliminary round.
Atletico have only ever scored more goals in the 2013/14 season, when they reached the final and played a total of 13 games (26 goals in total). In view of the fact that Álvaro Morata has also scored five times for the Colchoneros in the preliminary round, an away goal in San Siro is not categorically out of the question.
Predicted Atletico Madrid line-up:
Inter Milan – Atletico Madrid head-to-head comparison / H2H result
Head to head: 0 – 0 – 1
In the summer of 2010, Inter Milan won the Champions League and Atletico Madrid the Europa League. Both teams therefore clashed in the 2010/11 season in the UEFA Super Cup on neutral ground in Monaco. The Spanish club won 2-0 at the Stade Louis II after goals from José Antonio Reyes and Sergio Agüero. It was the only competitive match between the two teams to date.
Inter Milan – Atletico Madrid betting tip
The betting odds for Inter Milan v Atletico Madrid are tipped in favor of the home side, who picked up 31 points out of a possible 36 at home in Serie A and also took seven points out of a possible nine at the Giuseppe Meazza in the preliminary round of the Premier League. However, the Nerazzurri were held to a 0-0 draw against a very defensive-minded Basque side from San Sebastián in their final group game
The Rojiblancos, who are traditionally known for their defensive strength, are also capable of securing a 0-0 draw in San Siro, which would put Atletico in an excellent position for the second leg. The prediction of a low-scoring first leg between Inter Milan and Atletico Madrid is therefore very consistent
