Does Hertha grab the last minimal chance?

For Hertha, this game is about everything. The small minimal chance of staying in the league still exists, but seizing it will be extremely complicated. The hosts need to win both games and now face a VfL Bochum that has regained momentum

The Hertha vs Bochum prediction from the bookmakers leans a little in the direction of the hosts. The capitals may have slight advantages due to the home advantage, but at the same time they have their backs to the wall and showed recently under pressure that they have big problems.

Bochum have recently worked their way up to 15th place, in the last five years that was very often enough to keep them in the league before the last two matchdays. But especially this season, things are very tight. Anyway, our Hertha vs. Bochum tip is that both teams will score.

Hertha – Statistics & current form

Hertha BSC have tried almost everything this season to get the team on track. A more courageous orientation, later a more destructive style of play and in the end a new, old familiar, coach. The hosts also signed Pal Dardai, a hope, but the team seems to be much more broken than it appeared.

Especially in the head Hertha has huge problems. A setback causes the team to fall apart and the mistakes to string together. Especially offensively, there is room for improvement; apart from Lukebakio (eleven goals), no player has scored more than five goals. Considering the quality of players like Ejuke, Kanga, Richter and Jovetic, this reads like an indictment.

That the Hertha vs. Bochum betting odds nevertheless tend in the direction of the hosts may come as a bit of a surprise. However, the only win from the last ten games came at the Olympiastadion. In addition, five of the six wins this season have come at home. And: Hertha have conceded only 26 goals at home.

Hertha’s defensive statistics are a drama

That only refers to the overall balance in that case. The capital club conceded a total of 67 goals. In addition, Hertha scored only 39 of their own goals. Only Schalke have fewer goals on their account, and no one has lost more often than Dardai’s team. Only Bochum is on a par with 19 defeats.

Hertha do not simply concede a lot of unjustified goals, because these two teams have the highest values for expected goals against. The only thing in the statistics that gives Hertha encouragement is the 13 unbeaten home games against VfL Bochum. But many of those games are also very far back.

The Alte Dame has only one chance, the hosts have to play forward. Given the fragile defence on both sides, our prediction ahead of the Hertha vs Bochum game is that both teams will find a way to score.

Last matches played by Hertha:

Bundesliga

• 13/05/2023 – 1. FC Cologne 5 – 2 Hertha BSC
• 06/05/2023 – Hertha BSC 2 – 1 VfB Stuttgart
• 30/04/2023 – Bayern Munich 2 – 0 Hertha BSC
• 22/04/2023 – Hertha BSC 2 – 4 Werder Bremen
• 15/04/2023 – Schalke 04 5 – 2 Hertha BSC

Bochum – Statistics & current form

Thomas Letsch and VfL Bochum picked up an important 3-2 win against FC Augsburg last weekend. Now that they have reached 15th place, the Bochum side are also looking to cement their place in the relegation places in good time. Against Hertha, the visitors don’t have that much pressure, while the home side is in a much worse position. However, the relegation battle is currently in full bloom.

A look at the table makes that clear. Augsburg are on 34 points, Hoffenheim on 32, Bochum on 31. Behind them lurks Schalke with 30 points, Stuttgart have 29. This means that almost every goal in the last few games can have a significant impact on the table. For Bochum, however, the last few weeks have looked quite respectable.

Bochum only lost two of their last five games, and there was also the aforementioned win against Augsburg. This has improved their record a little, but there is still a lot of room for improvement, especially away from home. The visitors have lost twelve of their 19 games away from home this season, have only won two and have averaged just 0.5 points per game.

Bochum must find their way into the game by fighting

The visitors will have to put in a good performance, especially in terms of fighting, to ensure that the plug is pulled on Hertha quickly. If the Letsch eleven holds up well, they can play to their own strengths. Above all, the mixture of physicality and speed in the final third should be decisive. Even though Bochum did not score many goals, the team can always create danger.

On the positive side, Bochum’s biggest weaknesses are also the hosts’ biggest problem areas. This means that the team’s form on the day will make a big difference. Bochum would be quite happy with a draw. That doesn’t seem unrealistic, which is why our value tip before the Hertha vs. Bochum match is that the home side won’t lose and that more than 2.5 goals will be scored.

Last games of Bochum:

Bundesliga

• 13/05/2023 – VfL Bochum 3 – 2 Augsburg
• 06/05/2023 – Gladbach 2 – 0 VfL Bochum
• 29/04/2023 – VfL Bochum 1 – 1 Borussia Dortmund
• 22/04/2023 – VfL Bochum 1 – 5 VfL Wolfsburg
• 16/04/2023 – Union Berlin 1 – 1 VfL Bochum

Hertha – Bochum Direct comparison / H2H balance

54 matches between the two teams have been in direct comparison so far. Both teams have won 20 of these matches. The direct comparison is therefore completely balanced. Letsch’s team won the first leg in Bochum 3:1.

Hertha – Bochum Tip

Hertha have their backs to the wall and desperately need two wins. Even then, the Berliners still have to hope for a lot of support. As things stand, the train to stay in the league seems to have already left the station. In purely statistical terms, there are also only a few encouraging signs.

In this match, two of the weakest defensive lines in the league play against each other. That’s why, before the Hertha vs. Bochum match, our tip is that both teams will score.