How Bayern will perform in the CL dress rehearsal

After the 0:2 in the classic against Borussia Dortmund, FC Bayern Munich have officially written off the German championship. With 21 points still up for grabs and 13 points behind Bayer Leverkusen, it’s no wonder. Nevertheless, the Reds still have one big goal left: the UEFA Champions League, which takes them to London in the quarter-finals on Tuesday. In this article, we show how this match will influence our Heidenheim vs Bayern betting tip

It is clear that Munich are the heavy favorites in their first Bundesliga match on the Ostalb. However, results such as the 2:3 defeat at VfL Bochum, the 2:2 in Freiburg and the 0:2 in the classic show that the Reds are not overly consistent and are susceptible to conceding goals. However, FCH are also without a win in six Bundesliga games (three draws, three defeats), which must of course be taken into account in the prediction for Heidenheim v Bayern

The cheeky promoted side from the Brenz have won just one of their eleven league games in the 2024 calendar year (seven draws, three defeats). However, given the high number of draws, FCH were not too easy to beat. Moreover, all three defeats – including the 2-1 loss to league leaders Leverkusen – were defeats with a difference of just one goal. It is therefore interesting to bet on precisely this, which is why we have set an Asian handicap of +2.0 on the Swabians.

This not only covers any points won by the Davids, but also any victory by the Goliaths with just a one-goal lead. Should Bayern win with a two-goal difference, the bet would at least be returned. In the search for a coherent alternative, Happybet’s bet on under 1.5 goals in the first half of the match catches our eye

Heidenheim – Statistics & current form

1. FC Heidenheim continue to sell themselves very expensively overall in the first Bundesliga season in the club’s history. After all, the team from the Ostalb has absolutely nothing to do with the relegation battle. Their haul of 30 points from 27 league games is enough for eleventh place in the table.

They are a comfortable ten points clear of the relegation places. Nevertheless, it seems as if the Swabians have lost some of the momentum and light-heartedness of the first half of the season. After all, the footballers from Brenz have now gone six games without another win (three draws, three defeats)

Despite everything, Heidenheim remain difficult to beat

In fact, FCH have won just one of their eleven league games in the 2024 calendar year (seven draws, three draws). Only bottom-placed Darmstadt 98 have picked up fewer points (two) than long-serving coach Frank Schmidt’s side (three) over the last six matchdays.

And yet the Red & Blues remain very tough, as evidenced by the high number of draws. Most recently, the footballers from the Ostalb even secured a 3:3 draw in the derby at Champions League contender VfB Stuttgart. Moreover, the three defeats in 2024 were all narrow defeats with just one goal difference

Heidenheim feel comfortable playing against the ball

The betting tip for Heidenheim against Bayern is that the Swabians will also lose this home game against the German record champions by a maximum of one goal difference, although another point for the perennial underdogs should not be categorically ruled out.

After all, FCH have shown great courage, especially at home in the Voith-Arena, scoring 21 home goals and scoring in nine of their 13 Bundesliga home games to date (five wins, four draws). Plus: The team from Brenz is used to giving the ball to the opposition and is by no means uncomfortable with this. No other Bundesliga team has a lower possession percentage in the 2023/24 season than Heidenheim (41.4 percent).

Predicted line-up of Heidenheim:

Bayern – Statistics & current form

FC Bayern Munich not only had to watch Borussia Dortmund celebrate a 2-0 away win with their own supporters in the classic last weekend, which probably saw the German record champions finally bow out of the title race and drop significantly in the German Champions 2024 forecast.

But the Reds also had to watch on TV during the week as their new main rivals Leverkusen booked their place in the final of the DFB Cup. The faces on the Isar are correspondingly long at the moment. After all, the season at national level is over. But the Champions League still remains

Is Bayern already in London?

It is clear that Munich, who are currently so vulnerable, will have a very tough time against Arsenal FC next Tuesday. But it is also clear that the premier class represents a huge opportunity to salvage a completely botched season. Thomas Tuchel also knows how the Champions League works, as the coach proved by reaching the final with PSG and winning the title with Chelsea FC.

This means that the visit to the Thames casts a very long shadow. A resounding victory on the Ostalb would be both an exclamation mark and a challenge. However, it would also be conceivable to rest a number of key players so that they can draw from the full squad on Tuesday

Bayern haven’t played with a clean sheet since January

The range of possible outcomes on the scoreboard at the Voith Arena on Saturday afternoon is correspondingly wide. Because the odds for Heidenheim v Bayern are clearly in favor of the visitors, there is no value to be found in betting on FCB, who have won both of their previous competitive matches against FCH.

It’s also worth noting that of all 18 Bundesliga clubs, only TSG Hoffenheim are currently waiting longer for a clean sheet (22 games) than the German record champions, who have not conceded a goal in any of their last nine Bundesliga games. That also shows that Munich’s visit to Brenz is by no means a foregone conclusion.

Predicted Bayern line-up:

Heidenheim – Bayern Direct comparison / H2H result

Head to head: 0 – 0 – 2

The two clubs have only crossed paths twice so far. On the one hand, FC Bayern Munich beat the Swabians 4:2 in the first leg of the 2023/24 Bundesliga season. On the other hand, the Reds once celebrated a 5-4 victory over the then second-division club in the quarter-finals of the DFB Cup in front of a home crowd in the 2018/19 season, when Munich were outnumbered for 75 minutes due to an early sending-off

Heidenheim – Bayern betting tip

The betting odds for Heidenheim v Bayern are very much in favor of the visitors, who will travel to the Brenz with a chip on their shoulder. There have certainly been moments in the 2023/24 season when Munich have vented their pent-up anger in the form of a festival of goals. At times, however, there was no defiant reaction at all. For example, the 0:3 in Leverkusen was followed by two further defeats at Lazio Rome (0:1) and Bochum (2:3), which is why there is really no value to be found in the favorites bet for this match

It is striking that FCH have only lost three of their eleven league games in 2024 (one win, seven draws) and in all three cases only lost with a goal difference. This is the basis for our Heidenheim vs Bayern prediction, in which we apply an Asian handicap of +2.0 to the hosts.

This covers every point win and every Munich victory with a one-goal difference, while a Bayern win with a two-goal difference would at least result in a refund of the stake. At Intertops, we play this tip at odds of 1.53 with four out of ten units