Will Mainz jump over the line on Sunday evening?
It is not yet clear whether SC Freiburg will be represented internationally again next season. From missing out on the European Cup completely to possibly taking part in the UEFA Champions League, anything is still possible – with some help from the club. Nevertheless, those responsible are already at an advanced stage of planning for the coming season. With Julian Schuster, Streich’s successor has long since been confirmed, while Patrick Osterhage and Eren Dinkci, two talented players who have played key roles in the current season in Bochum and at 1. FC Heidenheim, have also been signed
In order for these players to recommend themselves on the European stage and possibly for even higher tasks, the Breisgauers need a good end to the season. In view of the feasible remaining program, this seems absolutely possible. A home win on Sunday evening should be the start.
Freiburg and Mainz will face each other at 7:30 pm to conclude the 30th matchday in the Bundesliga. A bet on a home win for the Bundesliga leaders will bring roughly the same odds as a potential bet on an away win. This assessment by the bookmakers alone underlines the fact that the visitors from Rheinhessen are one of the teams of the moment in the German top flight.
Despite the Nullfünfer’s recent good form, it should not be forgotten that FSV are the only team in the current Bundesliga season who have yet to record a single three-pointer away from home. In view of this, there is certainly a certain risk involved in making a prediction on the away coup ahead of the Freiburg v Mainz clash. If you would rather place a bet on the number of goals instead, you will find an extensive portfolio of over/under markets in the Happybet app. As a new customer, you can also benefit from the 150% bonus at Happybet. Up to 100 additional euros await you on your first deposit
Freiburg – Statistics & current form
SC Freiburg have had a below-average second half of the season so far. In twelve games, the Sport-Club have only managed four wins. Two draws and six defeats round off the record. Only bottom-placed Darmstadt have conceded more defeats since matchday 18 than the Breisgauers, who only occupy tenth place in the separate table for the second half of the season and were also knocked out in the round of 16 of the Europa League against West Ham United in London.
Nevertheless, they are currently eighth in the interim standings. Coach Christian Streich’s side are level on points with seventh-placed Augsburg, while sixth-placed Eintracht Frankfurt have three points more to their name. As the two direct rivals face each other on Friday evening, SCF could be one of the big winners of the matchday. Provided Freiburg and Mainz win at home, the prediction goes through
Freiburg have been waiting for a home win in the Bundesliga for over three months
Admittedly, however, this is not under the best of stars, as the southern Germans have struggled surprisingly at home of late. Freiburg have not won any of their last five matches in their own stadium. In total, only two of a possible 15 points have been secured (0-2-3). Particularly dramatic in this context was the fact that keeper Atubolu had to make 15 saves in these home games. By comparison, only eleven goals were conceded in the first nine BL home games of the season.
The defense therefore remains the biggest weakness for the Breisgauers, who have not yet managed two wins in a row in the entire 2024 soccer year. The performance shown in the flattering 1:0 win in Darmstadt the previous week should not necessarily be seen as a source of encouragement either. Had the bottom team from southern Hesse made better use of their own chances, a defeat at Böllenfalltor would even have been possible.
Sport-Club lacked consistency, made too many individual mistakes and were still without key players. The regular central defenders Ginter/Lienhart are out, as is Rolland Salai, who is suspended due to a yellow card. The omens could definitely be better on Sunday evening. Under these circumstances, however, we are not even considering the Freiburg vs Mainz odds for a home win. Instead, we prefer a combined bet on the X2 & Over 1.5, which is offered at Betano, for example, at maximum odds of 1.91.
Predicted Freiburg line-up:
Mainz – Statistics & current form
After the crushing 1:8 defeat at FC Bayern in the Allianz Arena at the beginning of December, FSV Mainz 05 seemed to be staggering towards the 2nd Bundesliga with big steps and as if paralyzed. Less than two months later, there is something akin to euphoria in the carnival stronghold. Thanks to Bo Henriksen! The Danish coach has brought the Nullfünfer back to life and is currently on course with his charges to leave at least three teams behind in the final standings.
The Red & Whites still occupy the relegation spot, but the positive results in recent weeks have narrowed the gap to the safety zone to just one point. Even 13th-placed Union Berlin have just three points more than Mainz, who could jump over the ominous line with a win or possibly even a draw at the weekend. In any case, the Rheinhessen side will not be lacking in confidence, having picked up an impressive ten points from their last four games. The only points lost in this period came in the impressive 0-0 draw at RB Leipzig
Mainz are one of the hottest teams in the German top flight
Both the offense and the defense have improved considerably over the course of this second half of the season. Led by Jonny Burkardt, who has been involved in five goals in his last four Bundesliga games (three goals, two assists), Mainz have scored a whopping eight goals in the last two matchdays alone. The total of 16 different goalscorers over the entire season is even the best in the league. If you want to bet on the aforementioned Burkardt scoring on Sunday, you can get attractive odds on Freiburg and Mainz at AdmiralBet:
In view of the significantly improved output of the attacking department and the fact that Henriksen’s team are aiming to take all three points at Europa-Park-Stadion, we can well imagine that a match with at least three goals in the course of the game awaits us on Sunday evening.
If you want to take even more of a risk, the odds for an away win for the Nullfünfer in Breisgau are 2.70 at the top. However, a corresponding bet on the three-way market would certainly be risky because, as already mentioned in the introduction, Mainz are the only team that have not yet been able to celebrate a single away win. Over the course of the season, they have now gone 18 league games without a win (0-9-9). However, having conceded just one goal in their last four matches and having gathered confidence following their two recent victories, Sunday evening would be the perfect time to finally put an end to this ongoing drought.
Predicted Mainz line-up:
Freiburg – Mainz head-to-head comparison / H2H result
29 meetings between these teams in the Bundesliga. Mainz have won almost half of all matches. The Nullfünfer have not celebrated as many victories against any other Bundesliga team as they have against Sport-Club (14). Recently, however, the pendulum has swung more in Freiburg’s favor, who have gone five consecutive matches against FSV without defeat. The first leg of the current season ended 1-0 in favor of coach Christian Streich’s team. The winning goal was scored by Michael Gregoritsch in the 70th minute.
Freiburg – Mainz betting tip
The 30th matchday in the Bundesliga will end on Sunday evening at 19:30 with the clash between Freiburg and Mainz. The betting odds suggest a balanced match. On the three-way market, the odds for the outcome of the match are so close that a clear favorite cannot be named.
However, based on recent impressions, we are leaning more towards the visitors, who have picked up ten points from their last four games, scored four goals twice in a row and have not beaten any other club in the Bundesliga more than Freiburg. To make matters worse for the home side, they have not won a home game in the Bundesliga for over three months, have conceded a total of 15 goals in their last five home games and coach Streich is also without key players. Especially in defense
In addition to a potential bet on the double chance X2, we will try our luck between Freiburg and Mainz with the bet that there will be at least three goals in the course of the match. The visitors are brimming with confidence, while the Breisgauers are always capable of scoring goals, especially in front of a home crowd. The Over 2.5 is attractively priced at 1.73 at Happybet. We select six units as the stake!
