Does the inefficient VfB have to be demolished in the race for Europe?

A real debate about the goalkeeper has recently flared up at Eintracht Frankfurt. The reason for this is the convincing performances that Brazilian youngster Kaua Santos has shown so far in the absence of Kevin Trapp. Because the former German national goalkeeper has also not been free of mistakes this season, some SGE supporters are already longing for a generational change between the posts. Incidentally, on Saturday evening, Kaua Santos will once again have the opportunity to distinguish himself and positively influence the Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart tip.

Both teams have a lot at stake in this encounter. The Hessians are desperate to return to winning ways at home after two consecutive defeats and to defend their Champions League place, while VfB are fighting to avoid losing touch with the European places. There are currently eight points between the fourth-placed team from the Main metropolis and the tenth-placed team, but German betting providers are still finding it difficult to predict the outcome of the match between Frankfurt and VfB Stuttgart.
The Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart odds on the three-way market also underline this, as they are relatively close together. The highest odds for an away win are 2.85, while the SGE’s home win is priced at 2.45 at Winamax.

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Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart prediction AI

The artificial intelligence has calculated xG values of 2.04 for the SGE and 1.45 for the guest, which on the one hand allows us to play on Over 3.5 at a high rate and on the other hand shows a clear favorite role in favor of the Hessians. In fact, the estimated probability of victory of the “BETSiE” exceeds the betting odds-based probability of a home win by 11%, so that between Frankfurt and VfB Stuttgart, the AI forecast of a win for Toppmöller’s team undoubtedly adds value.

Frankfurt – Statistics & current form

After three defeats in a row, Eintracht Frankfurt were able to secure an important away win just before the international break. The SGE won 3-1 in Bochum and thus maintained fourth place, which they continue to hold eight matchdays before the end of the season. However, the gap to Leipzig in fifth place has shrunk to three points. Two wins from the last eight games have ensured that the topic of Champions League participation in 25/26 is now being approached much more defensively again.

Frankfurt’s strong offense is facing a recently vulnerable defense

Especially defensively, coach Dino Toppmöller’s team has not always made the best impression in recent weeks. For example, there have been eleven goals against in the last four Bundesliga games. Across all competitions, they have not kept a clean sheet in any of the last eleven (!) competitive games. Since January 23, they have always conceded at least one goal per game. However, the eagle-wearing team also has to be credited with the fact that they scored on 25 of 27 Bundesliga matchdays over the entire season and, behind Bayern and Leverkusen, have the third-best offense in the German top flight.

Nevertheless, a certain amount of courage and willingness to take risks is required when it comes to making a prediction between Frankfurt and VfB Stuttgart. For the first time ever under Dino Toppmöller, the black-and-red-whites recently conceded two home defeats in a row. In general, the flow from the first half of the season has been lost, but that doesn’t change the fact that the SGE definitely wants to make amends at home on Saturday evening. The last home game against Union Berlin was surprisingly lost 1-2 despite a 1-0 half-time lead.

Overall, in the last five Bundesliga games involving Eintracht, Over 2.5 would have been accepted. At home, a bet on at least three goals in the game would have come true in nine out of 13 cases. The fact that the two teams facing each other after Bayern have created the most big chances in the Bundesliga underlines why the betting odds for a relatively goal-filled 90 minutes at Frankfurt against VfB Stuttgart make perfect sense. At Betano, a 1.44 is offered for both teams to score. Betano also impresses with many different betting markets and the attractive Betano welcome bonus.

VfB Stuttgart – statistics & current form

VfB Stuttgart’s return on investment this season is not in good proportion to the effort expended. While the Swabians, despite a weaker squad quality compared to last year, still stand for a well-thought-out, possession-based and enterprising style of play, the relatively high risk in the opening of play repeatedly leads to individual mistakes that cost points. Even Deniz Undav and Co. are currently unable to efficiently exploit the opportunities that arise. Basically good, remarkable performances are therefore not rewarded with points with unsightly regularity.

Contract extension as a sign – will VfB start a final spurt with Hoeneß?

Apart from that, another problem has crept in. For the first time in the club’s history, the carmakers have lost a Bundesliga lead five times in a row. Instead of five wins and 15 points, they only managed two draws, or two points. Just eight points would have been enough to go into this 27th matchday of the Bundesliga tied on points with Mainz 05 (3rd) and Eintracht Frankfurt (4th).

The way in which Sebastian Hoeneß, who extended his contract until 2028 without a release clause to the delight of all VfB fans during the international break, plays football is perfect for betting on matches with lots of goals. In eight of the Swabians’ last ten Bundesliga matches, for example, Over 2.5 would have been crowned with success. Both teams scored in each of the seven consecutive matches. There is much to suggest that there will be plenty of excitement on offer again on Saturday evening, especially as the reigning runners-up, currently in tenth place, are in need of points and – like the hosts – will be desperate to play for victory.

One of the biggest sources of encouragement in this regard is Nick Woltemade. The shooting star not only scored three goals and provided one assist in his last five league appearances, but also scored all three goals for the German U21 national team in their 3-1 win against Spain. The 23-year-old lanky striker, who was recently even linked to FC Bayern, is in outstanding form, so it is worth checking out the odds on a Woltemade goal before the kick-off of the Frankfurt v VfB Stuttgart game. The Bet365 app offers odds of 3.60.

Frankfurt – VfB Stuttgart direct comparison / H2H record

Eintracht can point to a good record against VfB in recent years. The SGE has only lost two of the last eleven league duels. This is offset by five wins and four draws. Incidentally, it is only for the second time in the club’s history that the Hessians could now manage to win both home and away games against the Swabians in one season. The first leg in Stuttgart ended 3-2 in favor of the Adlerträger, who were still led by Omar Marmoush at the time. At home, however, Frankfurt have not scored a goal against Stuttgart in four Bundesliga encounters.

Frankfurt – VfB Stuttgart Tip

If the second leg of Eintracht Frankfurt against VfB Stuttgart is anywhere near as hot as the first leg in mid-November, then we can look forward to a real treat on Saturday evening. Two offensive teams, who nevertheless have different approaches, will face each other. On the one hand, the transition monsters from Frankfurt, who favor vertical attacking with a lot of speed and straightforwardness. On the other hand, the aesthetes from Stuttgart, who define themselves through good positional play and ball control.

I don’t dare to assign a clear favorite in advance of this encounter. Both clubs have had too many setbacks and weaker results to contend with in recent weeks for that. However, I am pretty sure that goals will be scored. As a result, I am advocating a bet on over 2.5 goals between Frankfurt and VfB Stuttgart.