Will Eintracht find their way back to success against Kiel?

While it initially looked as if Eintracht Frankfurt would be able to compensate relatively well for the Marmoush departure in the winter, the momentum has been lost somewhat in recent weeks. After three consecutive draws, the team is finally looking for a complete sense of achievement again on Sunday. On paper, a more than manageable task awaits the Hessians. Almost everything points to a tip for coach Dino Toppmöller’s team on Sunday afternoon between Frankfurt and Kiel.

The storks are still waiting for their first away win in Bundesliga history and are still in the bottom two in the relegation battle. Nevertheless, their performances in recent weeks give cause for hope, because KSV Holstein have always been able to cause problems for their opponents, especially in offense.

The first leg at the Ostsee Stadium also saw six goals. Eintracht came out on top 4-2 at the Holstein Stadium, once again relying on Omar Marmoush, who scored two goals and provided two assists to emerge as the match winner. This weekend, other attackers will definitely have to carry the load at the third-place team. If you want to find attractive odds on Ekitike, Wahi or Batshuayi as goal scorers in the run-up to the Frankfurt v Kiel game, you will find them in the handy NEO.bet app. What’s more, as a new customer, you can take advantage of the shared NEO.bet welcome bonus.

Frankfurt v Kiel Prediction AI

According to the AI, no club has a higher probability of winning than Eintracht Frankfurt in the upcoming Bundesliga matchday. According to the artificial intelligence, the SGE has a 78% chance of winning at home against Kiel. With a total xG value of 3.7, it is therefore a profitable approach to follow the AI forecast of at least four goals in 90 minutes between Frankfurt and Kiel.

Frankfurt – Statistics & current form

With 39 points after 21 matchdays, Eintracht Frankfurt are currently playing the second-best Bundesliga season in the club’s history. Third place in the interim ranking is the deserved consequence of a strong season so far, which definitely not everyone would have believed the black and red and whites capable of in the summer. In the calendar year 2025, the SGE has not yet lost a single league game. However, the three wins in the first three games were followed by just three draws. In Hoffenheim (2:2), at home against Wolfsburg (1:1) and in Gladbach (1:1), Toppmöller’s players fell short of expectations in terms of results.

Will Ekitike and Co. cause a goal fest in the Deutsche Bank Park?

What the Eintracht fans can always rely on this season, however, are their own goals. In 20 consecutive Bundesliga matches, the players from the Main metropolis have always scored at least one goal. It was only in the opening defeat on matchday 1 in Dortmund that the 2022 Europa League champions were not allowed to celebrate.

The 46 goals scored in total is the third-best result in the German top flight. Since the winter break alone, 14 goals have been scored – only Bayern Munich have scored more (18). Considering that Hugo Ekitike and Co. are now facing the league’s most vulnerable defense, there is a lot to suggest that the odds of several SGE goals will go through between Frankfurt and Kiel. Ultimately, you could also consider the over 3.5, especially since the guests are also capable of doing well offensively. The top odds for at least four goals after 90 minutes are 2.02 and can be found at Betano.

Another approach could be to bet on the double result HT1/FT1, since Frankfurt was only once behind at half-time on the previous 21 matchdays (11-9-1), whereas KSV went into the dressing rooms behind in 16 (!) cases. The Frankfurt v Kiel home win prediction is also helped by SGE’s impressive record against promoted sides. Eintracht have not lost to newcomers in any of their last 13 Bundesliga matches (10-3-0). Both matches against promoted sides were won in 2024/25.

Predicted Frankfurt lineup:

Kiel – statistics & current form

Since the beginning of the 1990s, SpVgg Greuther Fürth are the only Bundesliga newcomers to have amassed fewer points than Holstein Kiel after 21 matchdays. Despite only having 13 points after more than half of all the matches to be played, the mood on the fjord is positive. On the one hand, because it was clear to those in charge from the start that, as the most blatant underdog in the league, they would have to fear relegation until the end. On the other hand, because of the thoroughly hopeful performances in recent weeks.

Kiel has scored in all Bundesliga away games so far

Only two of the last five matches in the German top flight have been lost. Three defeats have been suffered in the last seven matches. Last week, they would have got a win at home against VfL Bochum, but for reasons that are still not clear, Lewis Holtby’s winning goal was disallowed by the VAR shortly before time. Nevertheless, the 2-2 draw against the bottom-of-the-league side from the Ruhr area once again showed that the Storks have nothing to fear from anyone in terms of offense.

The promoted team from the Baltic Sea have only gone without scoring in four of 21 games this season. Curiously, all of their goalless games at home have been, meaning that, in other words, the team managed by Marcel Rapp has scored at least one goal in all of their away matches. In the three away games in the 2025 calendar year, they have even scored two or three goals of their own. Nevertheless, they only managed to get one point out of them.

Apart from that, only Werder Bremen (34) and Borussia Dortmund (37) have scored more goals than KSV Holstein (33) in the lower half of the table. Eight times in a row, both teams scored in games involving the Störche, which prompted me to take a closer look at the betting odds for a home win between Frankfurt and Kiel, including the goals scored by both teams.

Expected line-up for Kiel:

Frankfurt – Kiel head-to-head record

The head-to-head between these clubs is quickly worked out. In 1996/97 there was a meeting in the first main round of the DFB Cup, which ended 4-2 for Eintracht Frankfurt. The same result ultimately brought about the Bundesliga premiere in the first leg. In the meantime, however, the score was 2:2 and the Störche were able to sniff out a point.

Frankfurt vs. Kiel tip

With five goals in five games, Hugo Ekitike is the second-best scorer in the Bundesliga in 2025, behind Harry Kane. On Sunday, the Frenchman would like to improve this statistic at best. There is a good chance that he will succeed, because after all, the SGE is facing the second-last team in the table, which has conceded by far the most goals this season. In the last six BL games, the Störche have always conceded at least two goals. Although Eintracht have only drawn three times recently, Toppmöller’s players should be able to create many scoring chances at the weekend.

In general, I firmly believe that the Hessians will fulfill their duty and win the game. However, I would not bet on a clean sheet for the home side, who will continue to be without their regular defensive leader Robin Koch. KSV Holstein has scored in all Bundesliga away games so far, and has even scored twice in each of its last three away games in 2025.

That is precisely why, before the Frankfurt vs. Kiel clash, I prefer the tip on the combination of a home win with goals from both teams.