Will Frankfurt get their first three-pointer of the season against TSG?
Together with FC St. Pauli, Eintracht Frankfurt are currently bottom of the Bundesliga table. The last time the eagle bearers held the sole red lantern was eleven years ago in the 2013/14 season. In order to avoid this scenario, the Hessians will need their first real sense of achievement on Saturday afternoon in their first home game of the new season. The odds are good in this respect, as there is much to suggest that betting on a three-pointer between Frankfurt and Hoffenheim will pay off for the hosts
For example, the Black & Red & Whites have won nine of the last twelve direct BL duels against TSG. Eintracht have also remained unbeaten in eight consecutive home BL matches against the Kraichgauers. For this reason, among others, and in view of the ongoing unrest in Sinsheim, it would be a bit of a surprise if a prediction of double chance X2 came true in the Frankfurt v Hoffenheim match. And this despite the fact that Matarazzo’s team started the new season with a win the previous week
Looking at the Frankfurt vs Hoffenheim betting odds on the three-way market, the bookmakers with Apple Pay deposit options agree that the 2022 Europa League champions are the favorites. In the Bet-at-Home app available for download, top odds of up to 1.80 can be dusted off on a home win. This corresponds to a probability of victory of 54%. At the same time, these odds fulfill the Bet-at-Home bonus conditions. As a new customer, you will receive up to 100 euros bonus credit on your first deposit with the welcome bonus
Frankfurt vs. Hoffenheim prediction KI
To filter out the AI prediction between Frankfurt and Hoffenheim, it is worth taking a look at the predicted goals of both teams, as always. After detailed data analysis, BETSiE has calculated a value of 1.91 for SGE and 1.34 for TSG. If we add these figures together, we arrive at 3.25 goals. However, since the under 3.5 is surprisingly high with a 1.70 at the top, the AI decides in favor of this bet.
Frankfurt – Statistics & current form
For the third time in the last four seasons, Eintracht Frankfurt lost their opening game last weekend. The Hessians lost 2-0 away to Borussia Dortmund and were annoyed with the result afterwards, which could have gone either way with more efficiency in the final third. Despite an xG value of 1.4, SGE was one of only three teams not to score on the first matchday
Frankfurter Eintracht builds on home advantage
As in the previous season, when the Black & Red & Whites often looked too harmless and had problems in some games to show the necessary penetrating power, the lack of creativity in the game with the ball remains a major shortcoming. There is also the fact that, just before the transfer deadline, it is still not clear whether top scorer Omar Marmoush will stay or leave the club for England. Those in charge want to keep the Egyptian with all their might and are of course aware of the gap that a potential departure of the lightning-quick attacker would create.
Regardless of who will be on the pitch on Saturday afternoon, it is fair to say that SGE are traditionally much stronger at home than away. This is also proven by the record from the previous season, when Eintracht lost only two home games, but – with seven wins – also drew eight times
Because we think a three-pointer from coach Dino Toppmöller’s team, whose personnel would probably be discussed again in the event of another defeat, is extremely likely, we are counting on the odds for a win for the home side between Frankfurt and Hoffenheim. Anyone who even believes that Ekitiké will expose Hoffenheim’s defensive weaknesses at least once in the form of an own goal in both halves can play a whopping 2.37 in the offense.
Predicted Frankfurt line-up:
Hoffenheim – Statistics & current form
Although the Ultras of TSG Hoffenheim currently have a lot to criticize about the club’s policy and especially condemn the personnel quake with the surprising dismissal of long-time sporting director Alexander Rosen in the strongest terms, the active fan scene cannot accuse the club management of a lack of activity on the transfer market. Almost 50 million has already been invested in new players this transfer window. With the two upcoming signings of youngsters Yardimci (22) and Diao (18), the club’s previous record of 55 million euros in transfers in one summer would definitely be topped
Hoffenheim need to shift up two gears in defense
Despite the many and predominantly highly qualified additions, only two new players, Prass and Hlozek, were in the starting eleven in the previous week. Nevertheless, they still managed a 3:2 win in front of their home crowd against the sensational promoted team from Kiel. The outstanding man on the pitch was the eternal Andrej Kramaric, who scored all three goals. The Croatian has now scored a total of 15 (!) goals in his last eight Bundesliga games (ten goals, five assists). Since the beginning of April, Kramaric, who scored a hat-trick for the fourth time in the German top flight, has been the top scorer in Germany’s top division.
Despite all the justified praise for Kramaric and in view of the TSG squad, which is now of a very high quality, it must be borne in mind when looking at the Frankfurt v Hoffenheim prediction that there is still plenty of room for improvement, especially defensively. Pellegrino Matarazzo’s team already conceded two goals in the DFB Cup against the regional league team from Würzburg and also invited the Kiel Storks to score several times. A different caliber awaits on Saturday afternoon in the form of SGE, who will presumably know how to exploit these obvious defensive deficiencies even better.
If you also consider that the Kraichgauers have lost eight of their last twelve home league games and have only managed to start a new season with two wins once in 13 first division seasons, our tendency is clearly towards the home team. If you don’t share this assessment, you can also consider the over 2.5 after 90 minutes – possibly using a free bet without deposit. Goals seem inevitable, probably on both sides
Predicted Hoffenheim line-up:
Frankfurt – Hoffenheim head-to-head comparison / H2H record
The H2H record of these teams in the Bundesliga reads very well for Eintracht. Sinsheim have been a particularly welcome guest in the Main metropolis of late. Frankfurt have not lost any of their last eight home games in the Bundesliga against TSG (5-3-0). Looking back at the last twelve meetings in Germany’s top flight, SGE have won a total of nine (9-1-2). In the previous season, the holders won both the first and second legs 3-1.
Frankfurt – Hoffenheim betting tip
Only around 125 kilometers lie between Frankfurt and Sinsheim. The TSG bus will therefore need around an hour and a half to travel to the German financial capital. It remains to be seen whether the Kraichgauers will ultimately return with points in their luggage. The Frankfurt vs Hoffenheim odds suggest that the home side will keep all three points at home. We generally agree with this assessment.
Although TSG, who started last weekend with a 3-2 win against Kiel, should not be underestimated – also due to the good new signings – we still believe that the Hessians are definitely capable of landing their first win of the new Bundesliga season. Home advantage is a particularly strong argument. In 2023/24, SGE only lost two of their 17 home games in the top flight. In addition, the eagle bearers have also won nine of the past twelve direct duels against Hoffenheim.
We therefore recommend betting on a home win between Frankfurt and Hoffenheim. This is currently being offered at Bet-at-Home with a top price of 1.80. We choose six units as the stake. Unlike the AI, we also believe in a few goals during the game, four goals are definitely within the realms of possibility.
