Will the Magpies put a damper on the struggling Blues?

Although they have won five of their last nine Premier League games (one draw, three defeats), Everton FC are still stuck in a direct relegation spot in the basement. The Blues continue to suffer from their ten-point deduction, but have recently been able to close the gap to the drop to two points. Nevertheless, our tip for Everton against Newcastle leans towards the visitors

The Magpies were not only able to gain a lot of sympathy in the Champions League with their two spirited performances against Paris Saint-Germain, but even beat Manchester United 1-0 last weekend despite a full sick bay. However, since only one of the six Premier League away games in the 2023/24 season has been victorious, it would still be a bit too risky to log in the prediction for the Magpies’ away win at Everton against Newcastle.

Nevertheless, it must be said that Newcastle United are not only extremely dangerous in terms of goals, but are also very difficult to beat with only four defeats in their first 14 league games. Ultimately, it therefore makes a lot of sense to bet on the double chance X2. To increase the value a little, we recommend combining it with a bet on under 3.5 goals, which takes into account the defensive stability of the Blues, who have kept a clean sheet in four of their last eight competitive matches.

If, on the other hand, you prefer to bet directly on the Magpies, you should consider using a free bet to take out the risk.

Everton – Statistics & current form

Everton FC also has a glittering history thanks to nine national championship titles. As a founding member of the Football League and the Premier League, the Blues have only spent four years of their club history in the second tier and have therefore been in the top flight longer than any other club in the motherland of soccer.

However, that did not protect the Toffees from getting into long-term difficulties in the recent past. In 2022/23, they only just managed to avoid relegation in 17th place in the final table. Now, a hefty ten-point deduction has been imposed due to breaches of the Premier League’s financial rules

Only won two of the last twelve Premier League home games

This makes it clear that Sean Dyche’s team will once again have to work hard to remain in England’s top flight. However, because they have won five of their last nine Premier League games (one draw, three defeats), they are currently just two points off the safety of the drop zone with ten points already deducted.

If Everton’s home win against Newcastle goes their way, that could be enough to overtake promoted Luton Town. However, the fact that the Toffees have only won two of their last twelve Premier League home games (two draws, eight defeats) speaks against them

The weakest home attack in the Premier League

Another problem is the fact that no other team in the Premier League has failed to score at home as often as the Blues this season (four times already). This is also due to the fact that there is no striker up front. All eight home goals in the 2023/24 season (five in the Premier League and three in the EFL Cup) were scored by eight different marksmen.

However, if the Toffees have taken a 1-0 lead, they have never lost in 14 Premier League games under Sean Dyche (ten wins, four draws). The fact that Everton have scored the first goal in four of their last five league games could therefore be an indication that this home game could be a good one.

Predicted Everton line-up:

Newcastle – Statistics & current form

Newcastle United has been owned by the Saudi Arabian sovereign wealth fund Public Investment Fund since 2021. The associated funds have helped the traditional club from the north-east of England, which has already won the national championship four times (most recently in 1927), return to Europe remarkably quickly.

In the Champions League, the Magpies famously found themselves in a group of death. However, the Black & Whites earned a great deal of respect, particularly in the two duels with Paris Saint-Germain, from which they picked up four points out of a possible six.

Strong results, especially against the big names in the league

A look at the results of the 2023/24 season shows that Eddie Howe’s squad has no need to hide from the big names. Since the beginning of November alone, the Magpies have celebrated victories over Arsenal (1:0), Chelsea (4:1) and most recently even Manchester United (1:0).

This makes results such as the most recent 2-0 away defeat at Bournemouth on 11 November 2023 all the more incomprehensible, as it shows that they sometimes lack the consistency and the determination to win reliably against deep-defending opponents

Only one win in the last eight Premier League away games

Overall, the north-east side’s away record is also less than stellar. NUFC have won just one of their six Premier League away games in the 2023/24 season (two draws, three defeats), despite conceding just ten goals away from home – the seventh-best tally in the Premier League.

According to the bookmakers, Everton v Newcastle is nevertheless a very good bet for an away win for the Magpies. After all, only Manchester City (36) and Aston Villa (33) have scored more Premier League goals than Newcastle United (32) so far in the 2023/24 season.

Predicted line-up for Newcastle:

Everton – Newcastle Direct comparison / H2H balance

Head to head: 75 – 36 – 71

There have been a total of 182 meetings between the two teams so far and the resulting head-to-head comparison reads quite balanced overall. Everton FC are only just in the lead with 75 wins. Recently, however, the game has increasingly been in the hands of Newcastle United. The Magpies have won five of their last six Premier League clashes with the Blues (one defeat).

Everton – Newcastle betting tip

Basically, our prediction for Everton v Newcastle is that the visiting team will win, as they not only sold themselves very expensively in the Champions League, but are also in sixth place in the Premier League, just three points behind fourth place. The Magpies have also won five of their last six Premier League clashes with the Blues and have the third-best attack in England’s top flight with 32 goals

The Toffees have looked much more solid of late and have managed to close to within two points of the first non-relegation spot despite the ten-point deduction. Nevertheless, we still recommend betting on the double chance X2 at under 3.5 goals.

For the Magpies to score and a maximum of three goals to be scored, betting odds of 1.90 are available for Everton against Newcastle, which we play at Betano with five units.