Which team can stop the negative trend?
Can Everton finally win again without a coach? The odds of the best bookmakers point to an even duel between Everton and Aston Villa, the odds for a bet on the home and away win are around 2.70. The odds for the home win are also around 2.70. The fact that Everton FC have only 19 points after 19 games should have surprised all Premier League experts after a decent season last season (points average 1.55) and only a few notable departures, apart from James Rodriguez.
Also, during the winter break, Lucas Digne was released to upcoming opponents Aston Villa, who are just slightly above them in the table with 23 points with one more game played.
When it comes to Everton vs Aston Villa, it’s hard to predict the outcome of the game, as the odds highlight. Betting on the 3-way market is rather inadvisable. Which bets nevertheless promise value for Everton against Aston Villa, as well as the relevant statistics and predictions for the game, we reveal to you in the following.
Everton – Statistics & Current Form
Everton FC have had a very mixed season so far. From 19 games, only 5 wins could be achieved, 4 of them at home in Goodison Park. The biggest shortcoming is certainly the lack of consistency, which has been a common thread throughout the season so far. Strong performances and point wins against top Premier League teams such as Arsenal and Chelsea London and Tottenham are contrasted by inexplicable fluctuations in performance and defeats, such as against the two promoted teams Norwich City and Watford FC. Especially last weekend’s defeat against the previous bottom team Norwich, who thus could celebrate only their third win of the season, can definitely be seen as the low point of a disappointing season so far.
Defiant reaction or another defeat?
Following disappointing performances last weekend and in recent weeks, coach Rafael Benitez has been sacked. Duncan Ferguson from the current coaching staff takes over as interim coach for the time being. Everton FC must show a reaction in order not to slip further into the bottom of the table. However, it is doubtful whether this will result in a three-point win, as only one of the last 10 Premier League games has been won and major changes are not to be expected within a few days anyway. It also remains to be seen whether Aston Villa will be the right opponents to build on this venture. The bookmakers are quite sceptical in the run-up to the game, which is also shown by the high odds on a home win. However, Everton FC should not be written off in the run-up to the game against Aston Villa. If the existing potential in the squad is brought to the pitch, Everton FC is quite capable on good days to pose problems to any opponent in the Premier League.
All or Nothing
The aforementioned lack of consistency this season and the erratic performances make predicting a match outcome in the three-way market quite a difficult proposition. The only consistency that can be deduced for Everton FC this season is that the games are either decided for or against Everton FC. In the 9 home games so far this season, only 1 draw has been recorded. We assume that Everton FC will certainly not play for a point on Saturday, but will try to keep the 3 points at Goodison Park. Anything else would be too little in the current situation. Interim coach Ferguson will have almost the entire squad at his disposal for the targeted home win.
Predicted Everton line-up: Pickford, Mykolenko, Keane, Godfrey, Coleman, Gray, Gomes, Doucure, Gordon, Calvert-Lewin, Richarlison
Last games played by Everton:
Premier League
01/15 2022 – Norwich 2 – 1 Everton
FA Cup
01/08 2022 – Hull 2 – 3 Everton
Premier League
01/02 2022 – Everton 2 – 3 Brighton
12/16 2021 – Chelsea London 1 – 1 Everton
12/12 2021 – Crystal Palace 3 – 1 Everton
Aston Villa – Statistics & current form
Since the signing of Steven Gerrard as their new coach, there has certainly been some upward trend at Aston Villa. 2 of the only 3 away wins so far this season have come in the Steven Gerrard era. In total, 4 victories were achieved under Steven Gerrard, even if the initial euphoria has already faded and only one of the last 5 league games could be won.
Following the turnaround against Everton?
Aston Villa haven’t lost the last 2 comparisons at Everton in 2020 and 2021 (1 win – 1 loss). In the 3 games before that at Everton, Aston Villa walked off the pitch as losers in all of them. However, due to relegation, these duels took place 6 and 7 years ago respectively. From this, no conclusions can be drawn for the forecast of the upcoming match against Everton FC. Nakamba and Bailey will definitely be absent due to injury, as well as Traore and Trezeguet, who are away at the Africa Cup.
Rare points splits
Similarly to Everton FC, Aston Villa are coming off even draws in away games so far this season. We expect this trend to continue this coming Saturday, as Aston Villa are also not a team that will be playing to win a point. Aston Villa’s away games also almost always feature a winner and a loser. Hopes on Aston Villa’s side will once again rest on winter newcomer Coutinho, who put in a gala performance last weekend, scoring a goal and assisting a goal to at least rescue a point for the Villans after being 2-0 down against Manchester United.
Predicted Aston Villa line-up: Martinez, Cash, Konsa, Mings, Digne, Coutinho, Luiz, Ramsey, Watkins, Ings, Buendia
Last matches played by Aston Villa:
Premier League
01/15 2022 – Aston Villa 2 – 2 Manchester United
FA Cup
01/10 2022 – Manchester United 1 – 0 Aston Villa
Premier League
01/02 2022 – Brentford 2 – 1 Aston Villa
12/26 2021 – Aston Villa 1 – 3 Chelsea London
12/14 2021 – Norwich 0 – 2 Aston Villa
Everton – Aston Villa Direct comparison / H2H record
The two teams have faced each other in a total of 206 matches before this Saturday’s game. The overall balance is about as even as the bookmakers’ odds before this game. 77 Everton wins are offset by 76 Aston Villa wins, with 55 draws. The goal difference is also slightly in favour of Everton FC with 326:319. Everton’s last win against Aston Villa dates back to 2016.
Everton – Aston Villa Tip
On Everton – Aston Villa, our tip goes Everton or Aston Villa will leave the pitch as winners as both teams will be playing to win. Also, the Over 1.5 goal mark has been consistently reached in the last few games between the two teams. Our Everton vs Aston Villa prediction for Saturday’s first game is therefore: Double chance 12 & Over 1.5 goals, for which we are betting 4 Units.
