Crisis duel at the Böllenfalltor
In the last home game of the year, the hosts want to collect points against relegation. Darmstadt will face Wolfsburg – you can read the betting tip and odds here!
The home side are currently the “red lantern” in the German top flight, which is why points are urgently needed. The visitors are more comfortably placed in eleventh place in the table, but naturally also have greater expectations. However, they have only lived up to them at the start of this season and Niko Kovac’s coaching chair is increasingly shaky
The Wolves’ performances away from home have been particularly poor: The past six guest matches have all been lost and another defeat away from home would see VfL set their negative record in the Bundesliga.
Furthermore, Darmstadt coach Torsten Lieberknecht has fond memories of the club from Lower Saxony. On October 5, 2013, while still in charge of Braunschweig, he celebrated his first win in the Bundesliga in this role against VfL.
For Saturday afternoon’s match between Darmstadt and Wolfsburg, the prediction is that more goals will be scored in the second half than before the break.
Darmstadt – Statistics & current form
The “Lilies” got themselves into last place in the table first and foremost through a weak defense. No other team in the Bundesliga has conceded more goals than Darmstadt. This also applies to home games, in which the Hessians concede more than two goals on average – once again the weakest figure in a league-wide comparison of home games.
It’s no wonder that they have just five points after seven home games. Darmstadt had never started a Bundesliga season so poorly at home before. The last few weeks have also been particularly disappointing. With the exception of Freiburg, the last five Bundesliga games have always been against direct rivals in the relegation battle, but Darmstadt have not managed a three-pointer
No team in the Bundesliga is waiting longer for the next three-pointer
Coach Torsten Lieberknecht’s side have now gone seven Bundesliga games without a win (0-2-5), making it the longest such drought in the top flight of German soccer. On top of that, SV’s home games are high-scoring: 3.6 goals are scored on average and the visitors show a similar pattern in their away games with an identical figure!
With this in mind, the Darmstadt v Wolfsburg match is also a good bet for more than 2.5 goals. Only one of the Wolves’ seven away games and only two of the promoted team’s equally many home games have ended with fewer than three goals
Darmstadt have already squandered a lot of points
An additional shortcoming of the hosts is that they do not manage leads well. Darmstadt have scored the first goal of a game five times this season, but only two of these games have ended in wins (2-2-1).
Only Cologne, Mainz and Bochum undercut the resulting win rate of 40 percent. In addition, the team’s own taker qualities are in need of improvement. In the eight Bundesliga games in which Darmstadt conceded the first goal of a match, they failed to pick up a single point!
Predicted Darmstadt line-up:
Wolfsburg – Statistics & current form
While the home side are very weak at home, the same can be said for the away performances of the visitors. Wolfsburg are on three points after seven away games – the club’s worst away record in Bundesliga history at this point in time.
The 2015 cup winners also have to cope with a painful loss. Captain Maximilian Arnold will not be able to play due to a card suspension. In the four matches last season in which he was absent, VfL only won once (25 percent)
In contrast, the win rate in the 44 league games since the start of last season with him on board is 39%, which quickly makes it clear how important he is to Kovac’s squad. In view of this, the betting tip and odds for a home win or draw in the clash between Darmstadt and Wolfsburg are also worth a recommendation
VfL have been lacking consistency for some time
The visitors’ fundamentally shaky form also speaks for this. In the form table for the past ten rounds of matches, Wolfsburg only occupy penultimate place and have even picked up one point fewer than their upcoming opponents.
There is now hardly any sign of the initial momentum from the start of the season with three wins and one defeat. For this reason, as mentioned at the beginning, the question of the coach in Wolfsburg has long been asked more and more loudly.
Predicted Wolfsburg line-up:
Darmstadt – Wolfsburg head-to-head comparison / H2H result
Darmstadt have played Wolfsburg four times at home in professional matches and lost only once (2-1-1). The only defeat came in October 2015 in the Bundesliga. The hosts also conceded just two goals in the four games against the 2009 German champions.
Darmstadt – Wolfsburg betting tip
The betting tip for the showdown between Darmstadt and Wolfsburg is that most of the goals will be scored in the second half. Both teams go into the match knocked out and have considerable defensive deficits.
These are particularly evident in the second half of the match. Darmstadt conceded the most goals in the league (25) and a total of 68% of their goals conceded after the break. This is the highest proportionate figure in this regard, but the hosts are immediately followed by their upcoming opponents
16 of the 25 goals conceded by last season’s eighth-placed team were in the second half (64%). In view of this starting position, goals in the second half of this crisis duel at Böllenfalltor are highly likely.
Especially as both teams will be playing to win: The home side want to seize the moment and take advantage of the visitors’ lack of form. The Wolves, on the other hand, would like to at least somewhat alleviate their crisis with three recent defeats in the league and in the cup with a three-pointer, with the unconvincing bottom of the table naturally also being a suitable opponent for them