Liverpool’s form fits better than Alexander-Arnold’s pants

Not at 1:30pm on a Saturday again… That’s what the fans and the Liverpool Football Club officials must have thought when they scheduled their away game at Selhurst Park with Crystal Palace. On the one hand, because the Reds were only in action on Wednesday evening and so less than 72 hours later will be called upon again away from home at national level. On the other hand, against the backdrop of a curious statistic, as the Reds have only won one of the last seven Premier League games away from home that kicked off at the aforementioned time on Saturdays

So does the Eagles’ home game against the runners-up from the Beatles’ city have the potential to surprise? We will get to the bottom of this question in the following paragraphs. However, if we look at the odds on the three-way market, there is not much to suggest that Crystal Palace and Liverpool could end up with a point for the hosts from London. The charges of veteran coach Roy Hodgson have been far too weak for that in recent weeks

Apart from that, his counterpart Jürgen Klopp has a realistic chance of taking over the top spot in the English top flight next weekend as part of matchday 16. If the Crystal Palace v Liverpool clash goes to the wire and Arsenal lose at Aston Villa in the evening’s top match, the Reds will be the new Premier League leaders.

Crystal Palace – statistics & current form

For Crystal Palace Football Club, staying in the mid-table of the Premier League table has become part of good form. The Eagles have been running, or rather flying, behind the percentage points they need to perhaps knock a little higher up the table for several years now. In the current season, the capital city club may even have to be careful not to be dragged even further into the relegation maelstrom.

The current 16 points are enough for 14th place in the table. Although a nine-point lead over the relegation zone reads relatively comfortable at the moment, the development of coach Roy Hodgson’s team is not necessarily going in the right direction. To make matters worse, the home game against LFC is followed by matches against Manchester City, Brighton, Chelsea, Brentford and Arsenal. There is therefore the threat of a longer continuation of the negative streak, which could have a lasting detrimental effect on the mood around Selhurst Park

There is no need to fear the Palace attack

From the Londoners’ point of view, it would have been all the more important to secure a three-pointer at home to Bournemouth on Wednesday night. However, Crystal Palace lost 2-0 to the in-form Cherries, leaving them with just one point from their last four league games. Since the beginning of October, no other club in the English top flight has won fewer games than Crystal Palace from the Thames. In the same period, only bottom-placed Sheffield United have scored fewer goals than Palace.

Generally speaking, the club’s far too harmless offense is one of the biggest problems within the team. The Eagles, who statistically have the second weakest attack with just 14 goals, have failed to score in every third Premier League match. Hodgson’s side have failed to score in three of their seven home games, including the 1-0 defeat to leaders Arsenal. If you want to take this worrying output as an opportunity to bet on the home side not scoring again on Saturday, you can find top betting odds of 2.40 between Crystal Palace and Liverpool at Interwetten.

Predicted line-up for Crystal Palace:

Liverpool – stats & current form

When the typical Liverpool critics in England complain that Trent Alexander-Arnold wears his trousers too low and shows off his buttocks in public, it is clear that coach Jürgen Klopp’s team currently offers little to attack in sporting terms. In fact, the Reds are currently one of the most in-form teams in England’s top flight. Compared to the previous season, the 2019 Champions League winners look much more mature and have a more balanced game. The consistency of their results speaks volumes in this regard.

So far this season, LFC has only lost one match at national level. In the 2-1 defeat at Tottenham, however, everything that could go wrong did, from incorrect refereeing decisions to a sending-off. This shows just how difficult it is to beat the Premier League runners-up at the moment. Five of the last seven league matches have been victorious, with ten points coming from the last four games. The only draw came in an extremely respectable 1-1 draw at reigning champions Manchester City.

Liverpool and their improvable record in London

To reinforce the above adulation, it is worth noting that the Merseyside outfit have lost just one of their last 26 (!) PL games. Since April, LFC have picked up nine more points than any other team in the top flight. During the week, the title contenders did not show any weakness in their visit to Sheffield United, were very stable defensively and ultimately deserved to win 2-0. We can imagine a similar course of play for next Saturday, which is why the odds for the double result HT2/FT2 are in the top tip table ahead of the Crystal Palace and Liverpool match.

A little caution should be exercised from a statistical point of view, however, as Liverpool have only won four of their last 15 PL away games in London (seven draws, four defeats). It should also be added that the Reds under Jürgen Klopp have never scored fewer points on average at any other kick-off time than 1:30pm. However, we do not see this fact as an influential factor, especially since there is a serious difference in terms of quality and form next weekend, which favors the Crystal Palace vs.

Predicted Liverpool line-up:

Crystal Palace – Liverpool head-to-head comparison / H2H record

Crystal Palace have not beaten Liverpool in twelve Premier League games. Ten of these twelve matches have been losses for the capital side. The other two draws came last season, when the Eagles fought for a 0-0 draw at home and even took a point at Anfield Road (1-1). Before that, however, the Reds celebrated ten league wins in a row. In eight cases, the under 4.5 would have proved to be true. It is unlikely that five or more goals will be scored on Saturday either

Crystal Palace – Liverpool betting tip

LFC have never lost at Selhurst Park since Jürgen Klopp took the reins at the iconic club from the Beatles’ city. The German coach has even won twelve of his 16 personal duels with the Eagles (two draws, two defeats). There are no major doubts that win no. 13 will be added this weekend.

While the Londoners have picked up just one point from their last four matches and have one of the least dangerous attacking lines in the league, having failed to score in three of their seven home games, the Reds are currently very stable. Ten points from the last four matches, five wins from the last seven PL games and an impressive record against their upcoming opponents can be cited as arguments for the favorites to win the treble.

Since we still assume that the host’s deep defense will cause the visitors a few problems and at the same time have to note that LFC’s victories in the current league season have been the exception rather than the rule, we push the bet on the away win between Crystal Palace and Liverpool in connection with a maximum of four goals in the course of the game.