Colombia want revenge for losing the Copa final
Almost two months after the Copa America final, Colombia will play Argentina again late on Tuesday evening. After the world champions narrowly came out on top in the final of the South American championship with a 1:0 win after extra time, “Los Cafeteros” will be out for revenge in front of their home crowd in the World Cup qualifiers. In the following paragraphs, we analyze whether the desire for revenge alone is enough to bet on the hosts between Colombia and Argentina
The fact is that two of the absolute top teams in CONMEBOL qualifying face each other. The Gauchos lead the standings and have the best chance of securing their ticket to the 2026 World Cup in the USA, Canada and Mexico early on. The same applies to the Colombians, who are the only team still unbeaten after seven matchdays. This is one of the reasons why it is undoubtedly risky to make a prediction on the three-way market ahead of the Colombia v Argentina game
This is also underlined by the Colombia vs Argentina odds, which make it clear that there is no clear favorite in the direct duel. The winning odds are almost identical, and only 3.00 is offered at the top for a points-split.
It is also noticeable that the bookmakers licensed in Germany expect a very low-scoring encounter. If you still want to bet against the trend, you will find attractive quotes in the Bet-at-home app. As a new customer, you can also take advantage of the typical welcome bonus of up to 100 euros on your first deposit.
Colombia – statistics & current form
The Colombian national soccer team has made great progress in the last two years. While “Los Cafeteros” still failed to qualify for the 2022 World Cup in Qatar, everything currently indicates that the South Americans, who have climbed to ninth place in the FIFA world rankings, will easily be able to get their ticket for the next edition in 2026
Colombia only know bankruptcies after 90 minutes from hearsay
After seven matchdays, Argentinian coach Nestor Lorenzo’s side have a solid 13 points, seven points more than the seventh-placed team. In third place, the Colombians are also the only team not to have lost any of the seven matches mentioned above.
In addition to three wins, there have been four draws. The coffee farmers also had to settle for a 1-1 draw in Peru in the first competitive match of this international break. Since draws are not a rarity in South American qualifying anyway, it might be a sensible approach to put the odds for the next points-split between Colombia and Argentina on the betting slip. At Bet365, we found the top odds of 3.00, which can be played with the Bet365 promotion code, for example.
In general, you should be careful when betting against the Colombians. In 27 international matches under the management of the aforementioned Nestor Lorenzo, who took over after the team failed to qualify for the 2022 World Cup, “Los Cafeteros” have only suffered one defeat – after extra time in the Copa America final. It was also the only one of the eleven matches so far in the 2024 soccer year in which Luis Diaz and Co. did not score a goal. With four goals conceded, the world’s ninth-ranked team also have a strong defense, which curiously enough conceded 75% of all goals in the World Cup qualifiers at home. A bad omen for Tuesday?
Predicted Colombia line-up:
Vargas; Munoz, Lucumi, Mina, Mojica; Rios, Lerma, Arias; James, Duran, Diaz
Argentina – Statistics & current form
The Argentinian senior national team has won everything there is to win for a South American selection in the past three years. In December 2022, the Gauchos – led by Lionel Messi – were crowned the new world champions in Qatar, followed by a successful title defense in the Copa America a few weeks ago. Under Lionel Scaloni, the Albiceleste have become the measure of all things in world soccer
Even without Messi, Argentina have plenty to offer offensively
A look at the results in the 2024 calendar year further underlines the dominance of the world number one. If you add in the two wins on penalties in the Copa America quarter-final against Ecuador and after extra time in the final against Colombia, the Scaloni have eleven wins from eleven matches this year. The Albiceleste also lead the standings in World Cup qualifying with 18 out of a possible 21 points. All six victories were achieved including the clean sheet.
The Argentinians also lived up to their role as favorites on Thursday night. After a goalless first half, the Gauchos won 3:0 at home against Chile, with two of the three goals coming in the closing stages. Although Lionel Messi is currently unavailable due to injury, the attack still has outstanding quality.
Lautaro Martinez and Julian Alvarez, as well as the central midfield of Mac Allister and Enzo Fernandez, have a strong goal threat and are always good for goals. With this in mind, a prediction of more goals than expected between Colombia and Argentina can by no means be ruled out. Winamax, for example, is offering 2.10 for both teams to score at least once.
Predicted line-up for Argentina:
E Martinez; Molina, Otamendi, Romero, Li Martinez; De Paul, Mac Allister, Enzo Fernandez, Lo Celso; Alvarez, La Martinez
Colombia – Argentina head-to-head / H2H result
This is the 42nd time the two teams have faced each other in an international match. Argentina lead the head-to-head with 21 wins, ten draws and nine defeats. The Gauchos also won eleven of the 18 meetings in the South American World Cup qualifiers. However, their last head-to-head clash was in the summer, when the Argentinians won the Copa America final against “Los Cafeteros” thanks to a 112th-minute goal from Lautaro Martinez. Colombia’s last success, meanwhile, dates back to 2019
Colombia – Argentina betting tip
We are looking forward to an absolute top match in the CONMEBOL zone on Tuesday evening in Baranquilla. Third-placed Colombia will face leaders Argentina. Just two months ago, the two teams from South America, who are certainly in the best form at the moment, faced off in the Copa America final. At the time, the world champions, who were spoiled for success, came out on top.
While no goals were scored after 90 minutes in the aforementioned title match, we are now convinced that this will change in the qualifying match. Although both teams have strong defensive lines, as the teams will have no problems in the further course of the match to punch their ticket for the 2026 World Cup, we expect a little more risk in the offensive actions than in the aforementioned Copa America final
Since the Colombia vs. Argentina betting odds on goals during the match are extremely high, but we see the existing quality of the offensive departments, we tend to bet that at least one goal will be scored in both halves. Ahead of the top match between Colombia and Argentina, this bet brings a solid 2.15 at Bet-at-home at the top
