Are the Blues back in the fight for Europe?

A Premier League table still distorted by numerous catch-up games could take on a little more clarity when Chelsea FC take on city rivals Tottenham Hotspur on Wednesday night. Both teams have so far fallen short of their own expectations. If Chelsea’s bet on the home team to win against Tottenham doesn’t work out, the Blues will slowly but surely have to get used to the idea of another year without European competition

With just 48 points from 33 league games, the Pensioners are currently ninth in the table. However, a three-pointer would bring Chelsea to within two points of seventh place, which could at least be enough for the Conference League. In principle, Chelsea’s prediction of a win for the Blues against Tottenham is also correct. After all, Spurs have only won one of their last 33 away games at Stamford Bridge in league action – in April 2018 under current Chelsea coach Mauricio Pochettino.

At the right time, Chelsea FC have also regained their long-missed home strength. The Blues have won seven of their last nine home games (one draw, one defeat). This has also been accompanied by a certain joy of scoring goals. An impressive 29 goals have been scored in the last ten Premier League home games – an average of 2.9 goals per game.

In view of the fact that Spurs were anything but safe and recently conceded a total of seven goals against Newcastle (0:4) and Arsenal (2:3), we think it is very reasonable to bet on the Blues scoring over 1.5 goals. A win bet on Chelsea FC is also conceivable, although we recommend hedging with a “Draw No Bet”. Odds of 1.60 are available for this at Happybet.

Chelsea – Statistics & current form

The downward spiral that began at Chelsea FC following their second Champions League win in the summer of 2021 continues into the 2023/24 season. After the Pensioners only finished in a completely disappointing twelfth place in the final table last summer, Mauricio Pochettino’s first year in charge has also been rather disappointing so far.

Even in an adjusted table, the Blues finished in single figures on just four of the 35 match days, although they were able to regain this position at just the right time on the home straight of the season. The train to Europe has not yet left the station

Chelsea make a strong final spurt?

After a strong run of eight consecutive competitive matches without defeat (five wins, three draws), Chelsea have recently gone three consecutive competitive matches without a win (one draw, two defeats). Not only did the Blues lose the prestigious derby at Arsenal FC 5-0, but they also lost 1-0 at Manchester City in the FA Cup semi-final.

And yet, if Pochettino’s side manage to get the best possible result from their remaining five games, sixth or seventh place, which could be enough for the Europa League or Conference League, would still be within reach.

Chelsea score often but are vulnerable defensively

It is therefore vital for the Pensioners that Chelsea’s bet on a home win against Tottenham in the London derby pays off. There are, after all, two balance sheets that speak in favor of this. On the one hand, the Blues have only lost one of their last 33 home league games against Spurs. And on the other hand, they are generally on the way back to their old home strength.

Chelsea FC have won seven of their last nine home games at Stamford Bridge (one draw, one defeat) and have also been very prolific scorers of late. The Pensioners have scored an impressive 29 goals in their last ten Premier League home games, which was, however, sorely needed. The 59 goals already conceded is the highest Chelsea have ever conceded in the Premier League after 33 games…

Predicted Chelsea line-up:

Tottenham – Statistics & current form

Tottenham Hotspur Football Club also had a lot to make up for after finishing eighth in the final table of the 2022/23 season. The Lilywhites were certainly strong under new coach Ange Postecoglou. For long stretches of the current season, the team from the north London borough of Haringey were on course for the Champions League.

However, with five games left to play, the current fifth-placed side are seven points off fourth place, where Aston Villa sit with two games in hand. If Spurs win their two catch-up games, it would only be one point. In principle, therefore, the top flight would still be within reach even if the fifth starting place this summer goes to the Bundesliga and not the Premier League

Tottenham concede too many goals

However, according to our sports betting odds comparison for Chelsea vs Tottenham, the odds speak against an away win for Postecoglou’s side, who have clearly been in trouble of late. Spurs have lost their last two Premier League games in a row against Newcastle (0:4) and Arsenal (2:3), conceding a staggering seven goals in the process.

Not only have Spurs conceded at least one goal in each of their last six league games, but they have lost three times in that period and conceded at least three goals in the process, which is not a good way to cope with the attack-minded Blues.

Tottenham bring a lot of goal threat to Stamford Bridge

The north Londoners’ away record makes matters worse. Tottenham have lost two of their last three Premier League away games (one draw) and have already conceded 28 goals in 16 league games away from home in the 2023/24 season.

However, the Lilywhites at least exude plenty of attacking threat themselves, as evidenced by their 31 away goals, the fourth-best tally in the Premier League. In fact, Spurs have only failed to score twice in their last 34 Premier League away games, which means things could well heat up at Stamford Bridge.

Predicted Tottenham line-up:

Chelsea – Tottenham head-to-head comparison / H2H result

Head to head: 78 – 42 – 56

A total of 176 meetings have taken place between the two teams so far and Chelsea FC lead the head-to-head in this London derby with 78 wins. The Blues won the first leg 4-1 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium and have won six of their last eight competitive games against the Lilywhites (one draw, one defeat).

Chelsea – Tottenham betting tip

All in all, our prediction for Chelsea v Tottenham tends towards a home win for the Blues, who have recently regained some of their lost home strength. Moreover, the train to Europe has not yet departed without the Pensioners, who, however, must not leave too much to chance. A city rival that has conceded seven goals in its last two league games and is winless away from home three times in a row (one draw, two defeats) is just what they need

Because the Blues have scored a whopping 29 goals in their last ten Premier League home games at Stamford Bridge, we think it makes the most sense to bet on the hosts scoring over 1.5 goals.

For the Pensioners to score at least two goals in the London derby, betting odds of 1.58 are available on Chelsea v Tottenham, which we’re playing at five out of ten units at Bwin.