Will the Gunners remain untouchable away from home?

While Arsenal FC celebrated a 1-0 win over Manchester City before the international break and impressively extended their own unbeaten streak (six wins, two draws), Chelsea FC are once again in a dismal state. The Blues are only eleventh in the Premier League. Therefore, the betting on a win for the home team against Arsenal is not under a very favorable star.

Not only have the Blues lost all of their last three Premier League home games against the Gunners, but they also go into this London derby with an extremely desolate home record overall. The Pensioners have only won one of their last eleven Premier League games at Stamford Bridge (five draws, five defeats). Consequently, when it comes to Chelsea vs Arsenal, our prediction goes for an away win for the Gunners.

Anyway, the North Londoners are an absolute force in London derbies as well as away. Arsenal have not lost any of their last 15 London city duels in the Premier League (eleven wins, four draws) and have won all three of their away games in the 2023/24 Premier League season without conceding a goal. In general, the Gunners have already kept four White Vests and conceded just six goals in total – both are league bests.

Accordingly, it is coherent to bet with the double chance X2 on the point win of the North Londoners, which can be combined very coherently with a bet on under 3.5 goals. After all, a goal festival is not to be expected.

Chelsea – Statistics & current form

In the summer of 2021, Chelsea FC under Thomas Tuchel still won the UEFA Champions League for the second time in the club’s history. Since the exit of Roman Abramovich and the entry of the Clearlake Capital Group around Todd Boehly, however, the club from the London district of Fulham has gradually advanced to a crisis club.

Most recently, the coach’s chair has been a veritable hot seat, which can be vividly illustrated by looking at the most recent derbies against the Gunners. Mauricio Pochettino, for example, is a fourth different coach on the bench in the fourth derby in a row against Arsenal after Thomas Tuchel, Graham Potter and Frank Lampard.

Won only one of last eleven Premier League home games

In any case, the situation at the Thames has not improved despite all the coaching changes and high investments in the bloated squad. After eight match days, in which only eleven of a possible 24 points were scored, Chelsea occupies a sobering eleventh place in the table and continues to find itself in a dismal no-man’s land.

Particularly striking is the home weakness of the Pensioners, who could win only one of their last eleven home games in the Premier League at home Stamford Bridge (five draws, five losses).

Two important signs of life before the international break

Consequently, the odds are now also against a home win for the Blues against Arsenal, who have also suffered three home defeats in a row against the Gunners in the Premier League recently.

After all, the two-time Champions League winners are not going into this match completely without momentum. After a period of weakness with three consecutive league games without a win (one draw, two defeats) and without a goal, there were most recently two wins in a row before the international break with 6:1 goals.

Predicted Chelsea lineup:

Arsenal – statistics & current form

Arsenal FC managed in comparison to the struggling city rivals after a few changeable years recently consistency on the bench and let Mikel Arteta continue to work, although the season goals were mostly missed. The club from the Holloway district of Islington in North London was rewarded for this last season.

For much of the 2022/23 season, the Gunners were in the thick of the championship battle, but ultimately had to settle for runners-up, five points behind Manchester City, despite winning 26 of their 38 league matches.

After complicated years, a real top club again

But once again, those in charge stuck to their chosen course, landing big-name reinforcements like Declan Rice, Kai Havertz and Jurrien Timber. The result was a strong start to the season, with the Gunners picking up 20 points out of a possible 24.

The Gunners even beat reigning triple winners Manchester City 1-0 at home in the Emirates Stadium before the international break, thus once again keeping a clean sheet. Arteta’s side have conceded goals in just four of their eight league games in the 2023/24 season – the best record in the league.

Won all three of their away games in the 2023/24 season when scoring 6-0

All in all, the north Londoners’ defense is not topped by any other club. Arsenal have conceded just six goals in eight league games so far, making them the best defense in the Premier League. The betting on Arteta’s side to win a point against Arsenal is therefore very reasonable.

After all, Arsenal also won five of the last six Premier League duels against the Blues and presented themselves absolutely untouchable in the 2023/24 season, especially away from home. The Gunners have not only won all three Premier League away games, but won them without conceding a goal while scoring 6:0. Accordingly, city rivals Chelsea, who are weak at home, will have to dress warmly.

Predicted Arsenal lineup:

Chelsea – Arsenal Direct comparison / H2H balance

Head to head: 66 – 58 – 83

There have been a total of 207 meetings between the two London showpiece clubs so far and the Gunners lead the head-to-head comparison with 83 wins. Arsenal have lost just one of their last eight competitive games against the Blues (six wins, one draw) and have also prevailed in five of their last six Premier League meetings (one defeat).

Chelsea – Arsenal Tip

Overall, when it comes to Chelsea vs Arsenal, our prediction goes to the guests from the north of London, who are unbeaten in 15 London derbies in the Premier League (eleven wins, four draws). Moreover, while the Gunners have won all three of their Premier League away games in the 2023/24 season by 6-0 goals, the Blues have just one win on record from their last eleven Premier League home games (five draws, five defeats). Thus, there is not much to suggest a home win for the Pensioners.

In addition, the defensive strength of the visitors is important for the forecast, who have remained completely without conceding a goal away from home and come to Stamford Bridge with the best defense in the Premier League. Very coherent, therefore, is the combined bet on the double chance X2 at under 3.5 goals.