Blues with one foot in the semi-finals!
Chelsea ensured a clear balance of power with their 3-0 win over Ajax last week, setting the stage for a place in the semi-finals of the Women’s Champions League. Even in the event of a defeat – provided the CFC do not lose by three goals to one – the Londoners will qualify for the next round in the regular season.
Ajax’s women’s soccer team, on the other hand, are under pressure to win. Even before the break, the visitors will have to risk a lot to realize their comeback after the bitter defeat in the first leg. The bookmakers are offering odds of up to 1.20 for a Chelsea vs Ajax Amsterdam women’s bet on the Dutch team
Ajax have never won a competitive match against teams from England. It is therefore understandable that “de Godendochters” will approach Wednesday’s game against Chelsea as comparatively clear underdogs.
In the first leg, Ajax were woefully outclassed against the Blues and even got away with a 3-0 defeat. While the CFC played with an xG value of 2.93, Ajax only had odds of 0.34 for expected goals. It is quite possible that Chelsea will also dominate the second leg and secure another clear victory against Ajax
Chelsea – Statistics & current form
Chelsea are on course for the Champions League title. The Blues have had a brilliant season so far. The CFC are top of the Premier League table. Internationally, however, the Londoners already have one foot in the semi-finals of the Champions League. Chelsea beat Ajax 3-0 on home soil in the quarter-final first leg.
The second leg now awaits in London. Although Chelsea are no longer under pressure to win after their clear victory in the first leg, the Londoners are unlikely to rotate much. The CFC have won seven of their last eight competitive matches at home. Only against Manchester City have they lost at Stamford Bridge during this period.
Given their current form – Chelsea have won their last six matches in a row – it stands to reason that they will be looking to build on their recent record against Ajax. The Londoners should not find it too difficult to secure their semi-final ticket with another win. An offensive spectacle is by no means out of the question
The Blues’ defensive bulwark is hard to crack
After all, the upcoming opponent will have to risk a lot to realize the comeback after last week’s 3-0 defeat. If the Blues exploit this space in their attacking play, it is only a matter of time before the CFC score against Ajax for the first time. By the way: In the first leg, the Blues scored two goals before the break.
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Sam Kerr has been the Blues’ top scorer in the Champions League so far. So far, the 30-year-old has scored five goals and provided one assist in the current competition. Despite missing the Blues’ top scorer, she scored three goals against Ajax last week. Kerr, Bright, Nouwen, Mjelde and Fishel will also be unavailable this week.
Predicted Chelsea line-up:
Hampton – Perisset, Carter, Buchanan, Charles – Cuthbert, Leupolz – James, Nusken, Reiten – Ramirez
Ajax Amsterdam Women – Statistics & current form
Ajax have little chance of reaching the semi-finals of the Champions League. A comeback against Chelsea can be ruled out. Instead, the only question that remains in this fixture is the overall result with which the Dutch side will bow out of the competition. The quarter-final was already a new milestone in the Ajax women’s CL history.
Prior to that, “de Godendotchers” had already caused a sensation in the group stage. In a tough group against Bayern, PSG and AS Roma, Ajax came second in the group. Every home game was won, including the 1:0 victory against the women’s soccer team of FC Bayern Munich.
The clear defeat against Chelsea was therefore all the more surprising. Ajax warmed up for the second leg against the Blues last weekend, winning 3:2 against PEC Zwolle despite rotation. It was the 14th win of the season for “de Godendotchers”. With a record of 14-3-1, Ajax are still only second in the Dutch top flight
Does Ajax’s weakness on the road continue?
Internationally, Ajax have not won a single away game in the group stage of the Champions League. Their record against group opponents such as Bayern, PSG and AS Roma is 0-1-2, and it is quite possible that this negative trend will continue against Chelsea. The Ajax women have hardly impressed against English opponents anyway and are still winless.
In three H2hs against Premier League clubs, Ajax have a record of 0-1-2. In these three encounters, they have conceded a total of six goals, three of which came last week against the Blues from London. A clean sheet can therefore be ruled out for the upcoming match.
Hoekstra and Leuchter are tied at the top of the Ajax women’s internal goalscoring charts with two goals. Both players already started in the first leg and will probably start again in a 4-3-3.
Ajax Amsterdam Women’s expected line-up:
Van Eijk – Keijzer, Spitse, De Sanders, De Klonia – N Noordam, Van Gool, Sabajo – Grant, Jansen, Leuchter
Chelsea – Ajax Amsterdam Women Head-to-head / H2H result
The two clubs met for the first time ever last week. The CFC women’s soccer team won the opening clash with a 3-0 win at Ajax and thus leads the direct comparison with a record of 1-0-0
Chelsea – Ajax Amsterdam women’s tip
Ajax have their backs to the wall. The Dutch can only qualify for the next round of the Champions League with a small soccer miracle. Considering how strong Chelsea have been in recent weeks, however, this scenario can be ruled out. After all, the Blues have won their last six competitive matches.
The CFC have even gone five games without conceding a goal. It can therefore be ruled out that Ajax will still reach the semi-finals with a big win in London. Rather, the question is how much risk the visitors will take. It is possible that the result will be even higher than last week
We are leaning towards a comfortable win for the hosts and place our betting tip on “HT/FT: 1/1” for Chelsea v Ajax Amsterdam Ladies. Betting on a half-time/final score bet in favor of the Blues already paid off last week. We use five units for this.
