Will the Eagles remain without a win for the eleventh time?

The table of the English Premier League currently still shows a distorted picture, because the number of games varies in many places. Some catch-up games are therefore still on the schedule, two of which are this week on Wednesday evening.

So there is not only football in the premier league, but also in the motherland of football. At the AMEX Stadium, the betting on the home side is heavily favoured between Brighton and Crystal Palace.

Roberto de Zerbi’s Seagulls face a mammoth schedule in the coming weeks, with a total of three games still to be played. All the more remarkable is the fact that the team is currently in seventh place and can even flirt with the top flight after losing points.

There is still a long way to go, but if Brighton’s prediction for a home win against Crystal Palace is correct, the team would draw level with Liverpool – with one game less. The current betting odds for the home win are at a 1.50.

Brighton – Statistics & current form

Whether Graham Potter is questioning whether his move to Chelsea was actually the right decision? Quite possibly, as the Seagulls continue to play big and remain ahead of the ex-coach’s neo-club in the table.

Moreover, Brighton have played two games less than the Blues and can actually dream of qualifying for the international competitions. 39 points after 24 matchdays are already six points more than at the same time last season. The 45 goals scored are already the best tally in a single season since promotion in 2017/18.

Brighton are emerging as a home power

At the start of the season, the Seagulls owed their very good position in the table in particular to performances away from home. The team only managed to win three of the first eight home games at the AMEX Satdium. In the last few weeks, Roberto de Zerbi’s team developed more and more into a true home power. Three of the last four home games were won and goalkeeper Robert Sanchez kept his box clean in all victories. The only exception was the narrow 1-0 defeat against promoted Fulham.

With just eleven goals conceded in twelve home games, the Seagulls concede on average less than one goal per home game. A very strong rate, which makes betting against the offensively harmless Eagles from the London district particularly interesting. Between Brighton and Crystal Palace, the odds for betting that both teams will not score are highly interesting. The direct comparison, which is highlighted below, does not change this. Brighton in 2022/23 cannot be compared to the team from the last few years.

In outstanding form is world champion Alexis Mac Allister. Having scored six goals in his first 63 Premier League games, the Gaucho is Brighton’s top scorer this term with seven goals in 21 games. He has been successful in each of the last two games (against Leeds and West Ham).

Last matches played by Brighton:

Premier League
11/03/2023 – Leeds 2 – 2 Brighton

04/03/2023 – Brighton 4 – 0 West Ham

FA Cup
01/03/2023 – Stoke 0 – 1 Brighton

Premier League
18/02/2023 – Brighton 0 – 1 Fulham

11/02/2023 – Crystal Palace 1 – 1 Brighton

Crystal Palace – Statistics & current form

Surprisingly, head coach Patrick Vieira’s Eagles failed to record a win in their tenth Premier League game of 2023. The narrow 1-0 defeat at the hands of reigning champions Manchester City was a narrow one, especially as the Skyblues could only manage a penalty goal from superstar Erling Braut Haaland. Defensively, the Eagles put up a great fight but could not reward themselves.

Going forward, the capital side were once again non-existent. The game against Manchester City set an unflattering Premier League record. Crystal Palace became the first team since the data was collected (2003/04) to go three consecutive Premier League games without a single shot on target. In their ten league games this calendar year, they have scored just three meagre goals.

Under 2.5 away from home very likely

Few goals have almost become a trademark at Crystal Palace anyway. Under veteran coach Roy Hodgson, the old-fashioned style of play was well known, but with Patrick Vieira, fans were hoping for more modern football. The transformation Brighton went through in the last few years was also supposed to happen with the Eagles. However, there is no sign of it this season. So far Crystal Palace have scored 21 goals in 26 league games, their worst goal haul since the 2013/14 season (18 goals).

Especially in away games, fans should keep their hands off betting on an over 2.5. On average, exactly two goals were scored (goal difference 9:15) and only a third of the twelve away games ended with an over 2.5. If the 4-2 defeat in the first leg at Manchester City is excluded, there were only 18 goals in eleven games. If you are considering a home win against Crystal Palace, you should consider the addition of “nil” and get betting odds of well over 2.00.

Last matches played by Crystal Palace:

Premier League
12/03/2023 – Crystal Palace 0 – 1 Manchester City

04/03/2023 – Aston Villa 1 – 0 Crystal Palace

26/02/2023 – Crystal Palace 0 – 0 Liverpool FC

18/02/2023 – Brentford 1 – 1 Crystal Palace

11/02/2023 – Crystal Palace 1 – 1 Brighton

Brighton – Crystal Palace Direct Comparison / H2H Balance

Based on the direct comparison between Brighton and Crystal Palace, betting on a point win for the visitors from the capital offers great value. The Eagles have very good memories of the recent games against the Seagulls from Brighton. For seven Premier League games now, Brighton have been waiting for a full success against Crystal Palace (five draws, two defeats).

In addition, Brighton have conceded at least one goal in each of their last ten games in the English football top flight. However, these figures should be taken with a grain of salt, as Brighton are playing much stronger in 2022/23 than they have in recent years. The first leg on 11 February ended in a 1-1 draw.

Brighton – Crystal Palace Tip

In the catch-up match of matchday eight, the direct comparison is not really relevant, because for Wednesday night’s clash, the clear favourite role for the hosts is completely justified despite the winless series (seven games against Crystal Palace without a win). The visitors are on a downward slide and are getting closer and closer to the threatening relegation zone. Due to the non-existent offensive (three games without a goal), there is also no improvement in sight – there are quite a few arguments for betting on the home side when it comes to Brighton against Crystal Palace.

The Seagulls have taken a huge step forward, especially offensively, and have already scored more goals after 24 league games than they have after 38 in recent years. The confidence is huge, the form is right and Roberto de Zerbi’s team has also found its home strength again.

As a result, five units are recommended for Brighton against Crystal Palace at odds of up to 2.25 on the handicap win. The Seagulls have won four of their six home matches by at least two goals