Will the Brazilian crisis continue?

A World Cup final round without Brazil is virtually unimaginable for all soccer fans. The “Seleção” has actually taken part in every World Cup to date and is even the record champion with five triumphs. However, the footballers from Sugar Loaf Mountain are currently in serious danger of not being able to take part in the 2026 World Cup in the USA, Canada and Mexico.

In the CONMEBOL qualifiers in South America, which comprise ten national teams, the star ensemble is currently only in sixth place. If a bet on the host nation between Brazil and Ecuador fails to materialize again on Friday night, it would be the next major setback for Vini Junior, Rodrygo, Endrick and co.

However, the opponents should not be underestimated. In order to make a suitable prediction about the outcome of the match between Brazil and Ecuador, it must also be taken into account that “La Tri” are currently even ahead of the Brazilians in the rankings. With only one defeat in six games, the Ecuadorians have also proven that they are hard to beat

If you still trust in the immense individual quality of the home side and at the same time assume that the record world champions will continue their impressive home record against their upcoming opponents, you can dust off odds of 1.42 on a home win ahead of the Brazil v Ecuador match. The top odds can be found at the betting provider NEObet.

Brazil – Statistics & current form

The Brazilian national soccer team is undoubtedly going through one of the most difficult phases in its history. The last major title at intercontinental level was over 20 years ago, and the Copa America has only been won three times so far this millennium. Most recently, they regularly had to congratulate their hated arch-rivals from Argentina on their great successes

The Brazilians still can’t get their horsepower on the pitch

2024/25 The threat of a super-GAU in the form of missing out on the 2026 World Cup may even be looming. At the very least, the current situation in the CONMEBOL qualifying table paints a far from satisfactory picture. After six match days, national coach Dorival Junior’s team have just seven points to their name. Although the current sixth place would be enough for a World Cup ticket, the lead over the relegation places is a measly two points. Caution is called for. Especially in light of the fact that the men from the Sugarloaf Mountain have so far failed to achieve much.

In the 2024 calendar year, only three of eight international matches were won in regular time. In the Copa America, for example, Vini Jr. and his colleagues were eliminated in the quarter-finals after a penalty shoot-out against Uruguay. In the last four qualifying matches, they have only managed a single point. Three times in a row, the “Seleção” left the pitch as losers.

The biggest problem remains the far too harmless offense. In the eight international matches in 2024 mentioned above, they scored a maximum of one goal in five of them. In qualifying, they scored eight goals in six matches, although five of these eight goals came in the opening win against Bolivia. Despite remarkable and prominent individual players, the cogs are not really clicking into place, which is why we do not expect a shooting match on Saturday night. More exciting are the odds on a combined home win between Brazil and Ecuador with a maximum of three goals in the course of the match

Predicted Brazil line-up:
Alisson – Danilo, Militao, Gabriel, Arana – Andre, Guimaraes, Paqueta – Rodrygo, Vinicius, Endrick

Ecuador – Statistics & current form

Like the Brazilian team, the Ecuadorian national team also failed to reach the quarter-finals of the Copa America in the summer. After a penalty shoot-out, “La Tri” narrowly lost out to the world champions and eventual Copa champions from Argentina after a tough battle. This performance alone in the knockout game against Messi and Co. impressively underlined that the world number 27 can be a very unpleasant opponent

Beccacece should lift Ecuador to a new level

However, this impression has already been gained in the World Cup qualifiers in South America so far, as only the opening game against Argentina on the first matchday was lost – again by a wafer-thin margin – with 0:1. This was followed by a whopping eleven points from the remaining five matches, which would have placed the tri-colored team fourth in the table. However, due to a deduction of three points for an infringement of the rules in the previous qualifying match, they are only in fifth place. Therefore, ahead of the match between Brazil and Ecuador, we can venture to predict that the men from the west coast of the continent are even better than their position in the table suggests.

Nevertheless, we are deliberately refraining from betting on the visitors, arguing primarily that Enner Valencia and his colleagues have had a new head coach since the beginning of August. Argentinian Sebastián Beccacece has taken over from Spaniard Felix Sanches and will therefore take on the leading role at a national team for the first time.

He once assisted Jorge Sampaoli with the Argentinian national team and subsequently coached clubs in his home country and most recently Elche in Spain’s second division. It remains to be seen whether he will give the players the right match plan on his debut. We think Ecuador will have a good away game, but are ultimately convinced that the Brazilians, who are under pressure, will come out on top.

Predicted Ecuador line-up:
Galindez – Preciado, Hincapie, Pacho, Estupinan – Caicedo, Franco, Gruezo – Paez, Sarmiento, Valencia

Brazil – Ecuador head-to-head / H2H result

Head-to-head plays a role that should not be underestimated in this pairing. On Friday night, the teams will face each other for the 13th time in South American World Cup qualifying. The Brazilians have left the pitch victorious seven times (three draws, two defeats). At home, the “Seleção” are still unbeaten in the qualifiers against Ecuador. Six games, six wins and 15:2 goals speak for themselves. Incidentally, “La Tri” have never won in Brazil in 16 attempts in all competitions (one draw, 15 defeats).

Brazil – Ecuador betting tip

With a total market value of 931 million, the Brazilian selection is one of the most expensive national teams in the world. The record world champions are definitely not lacking in individual quality. Nevertheless, the latest results leave a lot to be desired. At the latest after the quarter-final exit in the Copa America and the weak start to the South American World Cup qualifiers, the “Seleção” can be accused of a tangible crisis.

This makes the upcoming qualifying match all the more important, as the sixth-placed team is in danger of slipping to a place that no longer qualifies them for the World Cup on Friday night. However, at least the most popular bookmakers believe in the star ensemble from Sugarloaf Mountain and are offering lower odds on a home win ahead of the Brazil v Ecuador clash

We agree with this assessment and combine a home win with a maximum of three goals in the course of the match in our Brazil vs Ecuador betting tip. It is quite possible that “La Tri” will be able to keep the match open for a long time, but it would be a huge surprise – also in view of the history – if a point were to emerge in the end. After all, Ecuador have lost 15 out of 16 international matches in Brazil, and in the World Cup qualifiers they lost six out of six matches. For our combined bet, we receive a 1.98 at NEObet, which we play with five units as a stake