Will the Monegasques be eliminated in Lisbon?

Benfica Lisbon set the course for advancing to the last 16 of the Champions League with their victory in Monaco. The Portuguese prevailed 1-0 on foreign soil and are also favored in the second leg at home. Our Benfica Lisbon vs. Monaco betting tip is for a victory by the home side. After all, the Monegasques will have to risk a lot to make a comeback in Lisbon.

In the run-up to the upcoming encounter, the principality club built up their self-confidence again and warmed up with a 7-1 win against FC Nantes. The red-and-whites scored a total of seven goals in this game, steamrolling over the canaries. If they continue from there, Monaco can be trusted to do well in Lisbon as well.

The hosts have won each of their last five competitive matches, however. Although they are not under pressure to win, it cannot be ruled out that the winning streak will continue. SLB has never lost a home game against clubs from the French top flight. Accordingly, the prediction in favor of Bruno Lage’s team is that Benfica Lisbon will beat Monaco.

Benfica Lisbon – Statistics & current form

Benfica are in great form ahead of the second leg of the Champions League tie. The Portuguese celebrated a victory against surprise team Santa Clara last weekend, claiming their fifth competitive victory in a row. As part of this winning streak, they beat Monaco (1-0) to set the course for the round of 16.

The second leg is now set to take place at home. Benfica are favorites and should not have too much trouble this time either. In the first leg, the Portuguese record champions had an xG value of 2.17 and largely held the Monaco offense – xG value of just 0.39 – at bay.

It therefore makes sense to place a bet on the home side for Benfica Lisbon vs. Monaco. In their last 17 home games against French clubs, Benfica have recorded a record of 12-5-0 and are therefore brimming with confidence ahead of the second leg against Monaco. Betting on a home win for Benfica can also be placed at NEO.Bet, among others.

Is Benfica working on the weak home record in the CL?

With a win, the eagles from Lisbon can also improve their weak home record in the premier class. In their last eight home games in the Champions League, Benfica have only won one (1-2-5). The Portuguese have already played four home games in the current competition. In these four encounters, Benfica have a record of 1-1-2 and have scored a total of nine goals.

It is quite possible that the goal quota will be underpinned in the upcoming match against Monaco. Betting on this is an obvious choice. In their last four home games, Benfica have already scored 14 goals, including four goals in the home game against FC Barcelona (4-5). An offensive spectacle cannot be ruled out against the Monegasques either.

Bruno Lage will have to do without eight players in the squad for the match against the visitors from Monaco. In addition to seven players out with injuries, former Monaco player Florentino is also serving a suspension and will not be available for selection this week. Compared to the team that played in the ASM last week, only minimal changes are expected.

Provisional line-up of Benfica Lisbon:

Monaco – statistics & current form

AS Monaco are under pressure to win after losing to Benfica in the first leg. The red and whites must win the away game at the Portuguese record champions to at least force extra time in the second leg. Only a win with a lead of at least two goals will see them advance directly to the last 16 of the Champions League.

After losing two competitive games in a row, Monaco got a clear win against FC Nantes last weekend, shooting the frustration out of their system. The Monegasques beat FCN by 7-1 and thus secured their starting place in the Champions League in Ligue 1. In particular, winter signing Mika Biereth has settled in well and, after his hat-trick, has scored seven goals in seven games for Monaco.

The plan is to build on the strong weekend performance in Lisbon. However, the red and whites have never won a European Cup game at a Portuguese club. In five away games, Monaco have a record of 0-1-4. It is quite possible that the record will worsen with another defeat against Benfica.

Will Monaco’s away misery continue?

Monaco have not won a single competitive game away from home this calendar year. In their last six away games, Monaco have a record of 0-2-4. They have lost three straight games away from home. Adi Hütter’s team have conceded a total of nine goals in these three matches. It is therefore unrealistic to expect a clean sheet against Benfica. Especially considering that with captain Denis Zakaria, center-back Moatasem Al-Musrati and defenders Christian Mawissa and Vanderson, almost the entire Monaco defense is missing through yellow or red suspensions.

ASM’s defense was already overwhelmed by the visitors from Portugal in the first leg. Monaco even got off lucky with only conceding one goal, which means they still have a realistic chance of a comeback. In the last four head-to-head meetings, the principality club has not won against Benfica Lisbon and has even lost three of those four encounters.

If you still think Monaco will win against Benfica Lisbon, you can use a free bet with no deposit required to minimize your own risk. As mentioned, Adi Hütter has to do without many key players against the Portuguese. In addition to the players mentioned above, Aleksandr Golovin, Wlfried Singo, George Ilenikhena and Folarin Balogun are also out due to injury. This means that at least eight players with an estimated market value of around 128 million euros are potentially unavailable in the squad.

Provisional Monaco line-up:

Benfica Lisbon – Monaco Head to Head / H2H record

The two clubs have met four times in the past on the international stage. In these four encounters, Benfica lead the direct comparison with a record of 3-1-0, including last week’s victory in Monaco. In November 2014, the two clubs last met in Lisbon. At that time, Benfica won 1-0 against AS Monaco.

Benfica Lisbon – Monaco Tip

Benfica Lisbon celebrated an important victory in Monaco (1-0), thus setting the course for the next round. Even a draw is enough for the Portuguese record champions in the second leg to make it to the intermediate round of the Champions League in 2024/25. Monaco, on the other hand, will be under pressure to win in the upcoming encounter in Lisbon.

Judging by their results in their last competitive games away from home, the away game in the second leg is by no means convenient. The Monegasques have not won any of their last six away games and only have a miserable record of 0-2-4. In the last two away games, they have even conceded seven times.

We are therefore leaning towards another victory for Benfica Lisbon. The Portuguese should not have too much trouble against the Monaco team, who are weak away from home, and should also win the second leg. For our betting tip between Benfica Lisbon and Monaco, good odds can be found at Bet365 on the hosts, and we are betting five out of ten possible units.