Do the Reds keep BVB at bay?
After the two draws against Leverkusen and Hoffenheim (both 1-1), FC Bayern’s lead over Borussia Dortmund shrank to four points. The Reds failed to win four of their nine games in the second half of the season, making the battle for the championship a bit more exciting again. Accordingly, this home match against the Eisernen is interesting.
Never before has the FCB lost a must-win match against the Köpenicker, who for their part do not arrive in too much form. The Berliners could win only one of their last six league games (one draw, four defeats). Therefore, in the run-up to the duel between Bayern and Union Berlin, the odds are very clearly in the direction of the home side.
This home match will certainly not be a foregone conclusion for Bayern, who have only won three of their last seven competitive matches (three draws, one defeat). After all, the FCB scored exactly one goal in each of its last three competitive games. Accordingly, we see a lot of value in Bayern against Union Berlin in the tip on the Asian handicap of +1.5 on the guests.
This includes not only any surprising point win by the Ironmen, but also a victory by the German record champion with a maximum difference of one goal.
Bayern – statistics & current form
Although FC Bayern München had to accept strange setbacks in the first half of the season every now and then, for example when there was the spectacular 0:5 in the DFB Pokal against Borussia Mönchengladbach.
The bottom line, however, was that the Reds picked up 43 out of a possible 51 points and, with a large lead over their pursuers, reliably headed towards their 32nd national championship and their tenth title in a row.
More winless games in the second half of the season than in the entire first half
In the second half of the season, however, the Munich team has now gone winless in four of the nine games it has played (two draws and two defeats each) – which is already one game more than in the entire first half of the season. As a result, the lead over second place has shrunk to four points, which has brought renewed suspense into the question of the champions.
Nevertheless, it would be presumptuous to speak of a crisis at the German record champion. In fact, only one of the last ten competitive games has been lost. Moreover, the FCB secured its place in the round of the top eight teams in the Champions League eighth finals with a 7-1 victory over Salzburg in the second leg.
In the second leg of the Champions League eighth finals, the FCB secured its place in the round of the top eight teams in the Champions League eighth finals with a 7-1 victory over Salzburg in the second leg of the Champions League eighth finals.
Only one goal in the last three league games
It remains to be said, however, that the offensive engine in the league has stalled somewhat of late. For the first time in seven years (2015 under Pep Guardiola), there could now theoretically be four consecutive league games on record in which the Munich team scored a maximum of one goal of its own.
Accordingly, there is a lot of value to be found in the betting on Bayern against Union Berlin that the Reds will win by a maximum of one goal difference, while in view of the sometimes shaky second half of the season, another loss of points cannot be categorically ruled out. The Asian handicap of +1.5 on the guests covers all these eventualities.
Predicted lineup of Bayern:
Neuer – Hernández – Upamecano – Pavard – Kimmich – Musiala – Coman – Sané – Müller – Gnabry – Lewandowski
Last matches played by Bayern:
Bundesliga
03/12 2022 – Hoffenheim 1 – 1 Bayern Munich
Champions League Final
03/08 2022 – Bayern Munich 7 – 1 RB Salzburg
Bundesliga
03/05 2022 – Bayern Munich 1 – 1 Bayer Leverkusen
02/26 2022 – Eintracht Frankfurt 0 – 1 Bayern Munich
02/20 2022 – Bayern Munich 4 – 1 Greuther Fürth
Union Berlin – Statistics & current form
1. FC Union Berlin also presented itself much stronger in the Hinrunde, as the Eisernen took 27 points and lost only four games in total. On the penultimate matchday, meanwhile, the capital club caught its fourth defeat in a 1-0 loss at Wolfsburg on just the eighth matchday of the second leg.
This meant that the club, which for a long time had a really good starting position in the fight for the European starting places, recently slipped to eighth place. The Köpenickers are already six points off sixth place.
Only four points and four goals from the last six league games
In particular in recent weeks, the Eisernen have lost their first-round form in the process. The Berliners picked up just four points out of a possible 18 from their last six league games (one win, one draw, four defeats), scoring just four goals of their own.
In four of the last six league games, the Köpenicker even remained entirely without a goal of their own, making further European nights after the international debut in this year’s edition of the Conference League a distant memory.
Only city rivals Hertha have been out of form of late
With an away win in Munich, Urs Fischer’s men could suddenly get back on track and renew their claim to Europe. However, with only city rivals Hertha BSC currently having taken fewer points from their last six league games, the Eisern are only outsiders to the title.
Predicted lineup of Union Berlin:
Luthe – Baumgartl – Knoche – Jaeckel – Oczipka – Trimmel – Khedira – Haraguchi – Möhwald – Becker – Awoniyi
Last matches played by Union Berlin:
Bundesliga
03/12 2022 – Union Berlin 1 – 1 VfB Stuttgart
03/05 2022 – VfL Wolfsburg 1 – 0 Union Berlin
DFB Cup
03/01 2022 – Union Berlin 2 – 1 St. Pauli
Bundesliga
02/26 2022 – Union Berlin 3 – 1 Mainz 05
02/19 2022 – Arminia Bielefeld 1 – 0 Union Berlin
Bayern – Union Berlin Direct comparison / H2H balance
Head to head: 3 – 2 – 0
There have only been five competitive matches between the two teams so far and Bayern are still unbeaten against the Ironmen. In the first leg, the Reds celebrated a 5-2 away win at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei. The two duels before that – including the last FCB home game – both ended in a 1-1 draw.
Bayern – Union Berlin tip
In Bayern against Union Berlin, the forecast goes in principle of course clearly to the German record champion and current table leader. Too often, however, the Reds have looked vulnerable in the second half of the season, which brought not only the 1:2 home defeat against Gladbach, but also the 2:4 away defeat in Bochum. Moreover, because in the last three league games only one own goal was scored, the tip on the home win against the Köpenicker is anything but a foregone conclusion.
A lot of value is created by the Asian handicap, which allows for many eventualities. A +1.5 on the visitors covers any point win for Berlin, but also a minimalist home win for the Reds with a one-goal difference.
