Does Bayern celebrate their sixth win in the group stage?
The sixth and final group matchday in the UEFA Champions League is on the agenda. Some decisions have already been made, including in FC Bayern München’s group.
Before the match between Bayern and Inter Milan, the betting odds indicate a clear favourite role for the record champion. The host has won all five group games and is in good shape.
But Bayern are already sure to win their group and Inter Milan are already sure to finish second. So both teams will rotate a bit. In any case, this has no effect on the Bayern vs. Inter Milan prediction yet.
Bayern – Statistics & current form
After a difficult period before the last international fixture, things are looking very good for FC Bayern at the moment. The club is back on track in the Bundesliga, winning 6-2 against Mainz 05 at the weekend, and everything is also going according to plan in the top flight. Five games, 15 points, only two goals conceded: The hosts are already assured of winning their group before the last matchday. Nevertheless, a win is needed against Inter Milan.
Bayern’s series in the Champions League is outstanding, the record champion has now won twelve times in a row in the group phase. For coach Julian Nagelsmann, of course, it should continue like this, even if he will certainly rotate a little. Kimmich and Goretzka played almost all the time recently, de Ligt felt something on his muscle at the weekend and Mane has also reeled off a lot of minutes recently. Time for the second row to show itself.
FC Bayern have now not lost nine games in a row, winning eight of them. The team looked increasingly stable in the Bundesliga, especially in the last few weeks from the Freiburg game onwards. 23 goals scored in the last six games speak a clear language.
Bayern currently difficult to stop
When players like Tel come off the bench and score promptly like they did at the weekend, it becomes all the more difficult for opponents to adjust to FC Bayern. Another statistic is in favour of the hosts in this match, five times in a row Bayern won a home match against a team from Italy.
The high flexibility with which Bayern currently plays and the increasingly variable occupation of the offensive spaces is what makes this team so strong at the moment. In 42 of the last 43 home games in the Champions League, they scored, often more than once. This time, too, there could be a lot of offensive action and goals. The rotation could favour that.
Based on the current omens and statistics, our prediction before the Bayern vs. Inter Milan match is that the hosts will not lose the game while scoring more than 2.5 goals.
Predicted Bayern line-up:
Ulreich – Mazraoui, Pavard, Upamecano, Stanisic – Sabitzer, Gravenberch, Musiala, Tel, Coman – Choupo-Moting
Last matches played by Bayern:
Bundesliga
29/10/2022 – Bayern Munich 6 – 2 Mainz 05
Champions League Grp. C
27/10/2022 – FC Barcelona 0 – 3 Bayern Munich
Bundesliga
22/10/2022 – Hoffenheim 0 – 2 Bayern Munich
DFB Cup
20/10/2022 – Augsburg 2 – 5 Bayern Munich
Bundesliga
17/10/2022 – Bayern Munich 5 – 0 SC Freiburg
Inter Milan – Statistics & current form
Inter Milan went into this tough group in the Champions League aiming to qualify for the last 16. Above all, the four points from the two games against FC Barcelona helped the Nerazzurri achieve this goal. Barcelona can no longer catch up with the Italians. Inter no longer have a chance of finishing first. So this match could also be used for some rotation.
At the weekend, Inter didn’t break a sweat, but still won 3:0 against Sampdoria. It is games like this that give the Inzaghi team, which has lost some of its self-confidence through mediocre performances, back its belief in its own strength. They find themselves at the top of Serie A, although Napoli are already eight points away.
There is often a lot going on at Inter Milan matches this season. 57 goals have already been scored when the Italians have played this season. With 17 games played, the average is more than three goals per game. So it can be spectacular again this time.
Good offence, defence with question marks
This shows two things: Inter’s offense is at a good level, but the defense just isn’t always. That is one of the main reasons why the visitors are not at the top in Italy. Last season and also in the championship year, the defence allowed less. They also conceded two goals in the first leg and three in the draw at Camp Nou.
In Munich, however, the Nerazzurri have often looked good in recent years, not losing three times in a row. In general, the team has produced good away statistics recently in the top flight. For the first time since 2005, the Nerazzurri could go unbeaten away from home four times in a row in this competition. But that will not be easy. Due to the fact that both will try a little bit and both are already qualified, our value tip before the Bayern vs. Inter Milan match is that more than 3.5 goals will be scored.
Predicted Inter Milan line-up:
Onana – Acerbi, Bastoni, D’Ambrosio – Darmian, Asllani, Barella, Calhanoglu, Gosens – Correa, Lukaku
Last matches played by Inter Milan:
Serie A
30/10/2022 – Inter Milan 3 – 0 Sampdoria Genoa
Champions League Grp. C
26/10/2022 – Inter Milan 4 – 0 Viktoria Plzen
Series A
23/10/2022 – AC Florence 3 – 4 Inter Milan
16/10/2022 – Inter Milan 2 – 0 Salernitana
Champions League Grp. C
13/10/2022 – FC Barcelona 3 – 3 Inter Milan
Bayern – Inter Milan Direct Comparison / H2H Balance
Nine matches have been played between the two clubs so far. Both managed to win four games, once both parted with a draw. Two of the last three duels went to FC Bayern, including the first leg, which was won with 2:0
Bayern – Inter Milan tip
Bayern have extremely many qualities and are playing an excellent season so far with only minor wobbles. Especially internationally everything looks very good, five wins in a row, twelve wins in group matches in a row besides.
Since everything is already decided in this group, there is no need to play with the utmost consistency. However, the distribution of roles does not change much, so before the game Bayern vs. Inter Milan our tip is that the hosts do not lose and more than 2.5 goals fall.
