Stumble away from home in Augsburg?

Although not everything has gone smoothly in the new year and only two of the last seven competitive games have been won (three draws, two defeats), RB Leipzig are still in fourth place in the table. The Saxons remain on course for the Champions League. However, if the betting tip of an away win for the Red Bulls against Augsburg does not pan out, VfB Stuttgart could overtake them the following day.

This away game in the WWK Arena is by no means easy for Marco Rose’s team. Especially away from home, very little has happened recently. The Red Bulls have only won one of their last seven Bundesliga away games (two draws, four defeats) and most recently even remained winless against the relegation-threatened teams Bochum (3:3) and Union Berlin (0:0), which certainly influenced our prediction for Augsburg against RB Leipzig.

Although the record clearly speaks for the guests, who have not lost to the FCA in 16 competitive games (11 wins, 5 draws), the form curve sees the Fuggerstadt team ahead. The Bavarian Swabians have not lost any of their last five Bundesliga games (3 wins, 2 draws) and got off to the best start in club history in the second half of the season in the top flight of German football.

Since it is difficult to rule out a possible outcome in the three-way system, we recommend the under bet. After all, there have been no goal festivals at either club recently. At Interwetten, we find quotes of 2.00 for under 2.5 goals.

Augsburg vs. RB Leipzig forecast AI

Sometimes supercomputer BETSiE supports our human betting recommendation. However, we do not always agree with the AI, which at least does not categorically rule out our main recommendation of under 2.5 goals, since the combined expected goals value of 1.02 for FCA and 1.4 for RBL is 2.42 – and thus considers two goals to be more likely than three.

Nevertheless, the xG values calculated for the Augsburg v RB Leipzig game in the AI prediction suggest that both teams will score, which in turn goes against our alternative betting recommendation. However, we do agree with BETSiE on one thing regarding this Friday night game: with clever odds design, there is not even a hint of value in any betting opportunity in the three-way system, which is why the most popular of all betting markets should be avoided.

Augsburg – statistics & current form

FC Augsburg have not lost in any of their last five Bundesliga games (three wins, two draws) and could now, provided that the tip for an away win for the Red Bulls does not work out against RB Leipzig, remain unbeaten in six league games in a row under Jess Thorup (after December 2023).

The eight out of a possible twelve points certify the best start to a Bundesliga second half in the history of the club. In fact, only Bayern have collected more points in the second half of the season (twelve), which shows how good the Bavarian Swabians are currently in form.

Augsburg has been very secure defensively in 2025 so far

The upturn can be explained above all by the fact that the defense has been so convincing recently, because offensively there are still some issues. For example, no other of the 18 Bundesliga clubs created as few big chances in 2024/25 as the FCA (only 34).

However, because just three goals have been scored against them in the last five Bundesliga games, the seven goals scored during this period were still enough for a respectable eleven points.

Predicted Augsburg lineup:

RB Leipzig – Statistics & current form

RB Leipzig may have ended the Champions League group stage with a 1-0 defeat at Sturm Graz, but in the league they only lost seven games and only had one win. Since the Champions League chapter was closed for the 2024/25 season, however, there were at least four out of a possible six points again in the Bundesliga, and thus also a return to fourth place.

Nevertheless, only two wins can be found among the Red Bulls’ last seven competitive games (three draws, two defeats), so they are not in the best of forms. It is all the more surprising that the odds at Augsburg against RB Leipzig are so clearly in favor of the Saxons. Bet-at-home offers quotes of 2.20 for tip 2 and, by the way, currently also has an interesting Bet-at-home voucher code.

RB Leipzig with weak away record

From Leipzig’s point of view, it is very positive to highlight the fact that they have kept two clean sheets in their last two league games. Overall, Marco Rose’s team has kept a clean sheet in ten of the 21 Bundesliga games in the 2024/25 season, which no other team in the league can top.

In two of the last three competitive games, however – both away games, incidentally – the Red Bulls did not score an own goal either. In fact, away performances are a problem. The Saxons have only won one of their last seven Bundesliga away games (two draws, four defeats), which is why the trip to the in-form Fuggerstadt team definitely poses a not insignificant stumbling block.

Predicted Leipzig lineup:

Augsburg v Leipzig head to head / H2H record

Head to head: 3 – 6 – 12

A total of 21 competitive matches have taken place between the two teams so far. After FC Augsburg initially won three of their first five games against RB Leipzig (one draw, one defeat), the Fuggerstadt team then went without a win against the Saxons in 16 consecutive competitive games (five draws, eleven defeats). The Red Bulls won the first leg at home with a clear 4-0 victory.

Augsburg – RB Leipzig Tip

Although the betting odds of the betting providers with a German license are in favor of the guests for Augsburg against RB Leipzig, for whom the “head to head” comparison just outlined speaks in principle, as does a superficial look at the current Bundesliga table. However, it should not be ignored that the Red Bulls have only won one of their last seven away games in the top division of German football (two draws, four defeats). The Fuggerstadt team, on the other hand, started the second half of the season strongly, scoring eleven out of a possible 15 points from their last five league games with only two goals conceded.

But it’s not only FCA that knows how to defend. The Saxons are also very solid defensively, as evidenced by their ten clean sheets (the highest in the league). That’s another reason why we are inclined to predict that there won’t be a goal-filled duel in the WWK Arena when Augsburg face RB Leipzig.

For under 2.5 goals, odds of 2.00 are available for Augsburg against RB Leipzig, which we are playing with three units at Interwetten.