Top match third vs. fourth?
Top match in La Liga – but with not really top match character. When Atletico Madrid, third in the table, meet Sevilla FC, fourth in the table, only the Andalusians will have anything to play for. Atletico are guaranteed a place in the Champions League. And a lot would have to happen for Sevilla to lose it as well.
Sevilla currently have a five-point lead over city rivals Real Betis, who are lurking in 5th place. But just one point from Sevilla FC in their remaining two games is enough for Lopetegui’s team to wrap up the top flight (assuming Betis win both of their remaining games) – because they have won the direct comparison with Betis in the event of a points tie.
Sevilla will therefore still be aiming for that one necessary point on Sunday at the Wanda Metropolitano. With Atletico Madrid vs. Sevilla, the odds on the draw are therefore certainly only a little surprising, as they average just 2.95. That is very low odds for the draw.
Atletico Madrid – Statistics & current form
Both teams are trundling towards the end of the season and trudging a little towards the finish. Atletico have already achieved this goal, namely the qualification for the top flight, due to two wins in a row. First in the city derby against a not exactly top-motivated Real Madrid (1:0), then finally on Wednesday with a 2:0 away win at FC Elche.
Before that, however, CL qualification had been in jeopardy as Atletico failed to win three of its four games – and even failed to score a goal in each. So the corner was turned just in time to avoid the final against Sevilla.
Atletico Madrid: Interesting odds on second best home team in the league
A particularly exhilarating or sportingly convincing top match should therefore truly not be expected, even Sevilla FC has run out of steam far too much recently for that (more on this in the Sevilla FC section). At least Atletico can now play more freely, after all the Rojiblancos have nothing to lose. Given their home strength – Atletico are the second best home team in La Liga (12 wins, 4 draws, 2 defeats) – we can imagine a home win forecast for Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla.
The odds on Atletico Madrid vs. Sevilla are certainly interesting, as they average 2.35. However, the main reason for a possible home win tip would be the very weak form curve of the guests from Andalusia.
Predicted line-up of Atletico Madrid:
Oblak – Vrsaljko, Savic, Gimenez, Reinildo – Kondogbia, Koke, Llorente, Carrasco – Griezmann, Cunha
Last matches played by Atletico Madrid:
La Liga
12/05/2022 – Elche 0 – 2 Atletico Madrid
09/05/2022 – Atletico Madrid 1 – 0 Real Madrid
01/05/2022 – Athletic Bilbao 2 – 0 Atletico Madrid
20/04/2022 – Atletico Madrid 0 – 0 Granada
17/04/2022 – Atletico Madrid 2 – 1 Espanyol
Sevilla – Statistics & current form
As mentioned, Sevilla is completely running out of steam in the final spurt. Only two of the last ten games were won! There have been six draws, most recently Sevilla have drawn three in a row. And they were even lucky, because in the 1-1 draw at Villarreal they only scored the equaliser in the 5th minute of injury time.
However, Sevilla completely disappointed at home against relegation candidates, showing themselves toothless and uninspired and also somehow tired after a strenuous season. The Lopetegui team couldn’t come up with much against the basement children Cadiz (1:1) and Mallorca (0:0), and in the end there were even a few whistles and the displeasure of their own fans, who are becoming increasingly restless because of their often poor performances of late.
Sevilla’s performance leaves much to be desired
As I said, Sevilla are dragging themselves towards the finish line, which is only one point away, and then the club will have reached the top flight. In view of recent performances, however, it is anything but certain that Sevilla will get the necessary point at the Wanda Metropolitano.
Rather, a defeat at the second-best home team looms, with Atletico Madrid vs. Sevilla this tip is not exactly far-fetched for us. Although the two teams are separated by just one place and one point in the table, the visitors are surprisingly the clear underdogs, as the betting odds for Atletico Madrid vs. For the victory of the guests from Andalusia is offered in the peak 3.70.
Predicted Sevilla line-up:
Bono – Navas, Koundé, Carlos, Acuña – Jordan, Rakitic, Gomez – Ocampos, Mir, Tecatito
Last matches played by Sevilla:
La Liga
12/05/2022 – Sevilla FC 0 – 0 Mallorca
08/05/2022 – Villarreal FC 1 – 1 Sevilla FC
30/04/2022 – Sevilla FC 1 – 1 Cadiz
21/04/2022 – Levante 2 – 3 Sevilla FC
18/04/2022 – Sevilla FC 2 – 3 Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid – Sevilla Tip
Whoever is hoping for turbulent games with racy goalmouth scenes and plenty of goals could be disappointed with Atletico against Sevilla. Both clubs are at best dutifully picking up the last few points needed for CL participation and are anyway rather known for their attritional defensive play. That’s especially true of Sevilla this season, who have the best defence in La Liga, conceding just 29 goals. But also offensively, what Sevilla offer is sometimes very mediocre. In the last ten games, there have been three 0-0 draws.
Atletico Madrid are difficult to break down at the Wanda Metropolitano, are not only the second best home team, but have also only allowed 15 home goals. So there are a few reasons to bet on both to score no or under 2.5 goals, for example. The combo of under 2.5 goals and both to score no brings 2s odds on Atletico Madrid against Sevilla.
We can expect a gruelling battle in this match, which could end in a 0-0, 1-0 or 1-1 score. So, as we expect a close game, outcome in the three-way quite uncertain, our preferred tip for Atletico vs Sevilla is: It’s still a draw at half-time. But possibly also at the end.
