Will Atletico Madrid remain unbeaten at home?
With three consecutive games without a win, Atlético Madrid seem to be in a bit of a crisis. After a lucky equalizer in stoppage time in the league match against city rivals Real, two defeats have recently followed for the men of starting coach Diego Simeone. In the Copa del Rey quarter-finals, the capital club qualified for the next round with a narrow 1:0 win against record Europa League champions Sevilla FC. In the semi-finals, there will be back-and-forth matches. There, the Rojiblancos faced Athletic Bilbao in front of their home crowd, who ultimately prevailed 1:0 with an outstanding defensive performance and thus gained an advantage for the second leg.
However, the Rojiblancos also suffered their first defeat in league action after four recent promising performances. The 1-0 defeat against Sevilla FC on matchday 24 narrowed the gap to fifth place in the table, which does not qualify them for the next Champions League season. The team led by world champion Antoine Griezmann is now just two points ahead of fifth-placed Athletic Bilbao. Atlético must get back on the road to success as quickly as possible to maintain or perhaps even increase the gap
After all, a team that is playing well above expectations is coming to the Metropolitano to face newly promoted UD Las Palmas. With three wins from their last five La Liga games, Atletico should be warned not to underestimate the supposed underdogs in this encounter. However, the bookmakers’ Atlético Madrid v Las Palmas predictions make the home team the clear favorites. Given Madrid’s current form, we won’t be getting carried away with a clear home win
Atletico Madrid – statistics & current form
With the loss of star striker Álvaro Morata, Atlético have suffered a major setback. With 13 goals and one assist in 22 games this season, he is largely responsible for the fact that Diego Simeone’s team are back in a Champions League place. However, they will have to make do without their top scorer in the coming weeks. Fortunately, with Memphis Depay and Antoine Griezmann, they have significantly more top players who can fill this gap.
Our recommendation for the match between Atlético and Las Palmas is to bet on goalscorer Griezmann, as he has often proven his scoring qualities with his set pieces and as a penalty taker. As is so often the case, Atlético Madrid have been very consistent in the current La Liga season. Currently in fourth place in the overall table, they have a goal difference of 45:26, reflecting a balanced performance in both offense and defense. The Rojiblancos are particularly dominant at their own stadium, the Metropolitano.
Can Atletico get back on track?
In first place in the home table, they have won eleven of 13 games, drawn one and lost none. With 27 goals scored in front of their home crowd, they have once again underlined their strength at home. Their away record, on the other hand, looks very different. They are in eighth place with 14 points from twelve games. Nevertheless, they will use the home game as an opportunity to prevent a major crisis. Atlético Madrid have picked up 10 points in their last five games and are still in contention for the coveted Champions League qualification spots.
Another interesting statistic is that Atlético Madrid have scored in both halves of four of their last six competitive matches. In our Atletico v Las Palmas prediction, we look at this statistic and recommend odds of 1.65 that a goal will be scored in both halves. Given the offensive power of the Rojiblancos, this bet seems more than interesting.
Predicted line-up of Atletico Madrid:
Las Palmas – Statistics & current form
The surprise promotion contender this season can’t seem to get out of its high. Eighth place in the overall table once again underlines the fact that they can keep up with all teams this season and could even earn a place in the international competition if they continue to improve their performance. However, this is probably still a long way off, as Las Palmas are only three points off the Europa Conference League qualification places, but will be facing Atlético Madrid, an opponent that you would not really expect to score points against in advance.
However, anything is possible in soccer, so Las Palmas are certainly capable of upsetting the big heavyweights. Although their record against the Big Four looks anything but good, they did manage to win their only match against Atlético Madrid in the preliminary round. This should still be fresh in their minds, so they have nothing to hide
Does Las Palmas prove to be an Atletico scare?
With the 2:1 victory in the first leg, Las Palmas seem to have continued to build on their performances. With 35 points from 24 games, the Amarillos are in a remarkable eighth place, and that as a promoted team. With a goal difference of 25:20, they can’t really cause a sensation in offense, but they still have the second-best defensive line in the entire league with no less than 20 goals conceded.
If we believe in a sensational win for Las Palmas, we recommend the new customer bonus from Bwin. In the match between Atletico and Las Palmas, top odds of 6.50 are offered for an away win. This should be clearly noticeable on your betting slip if you are thinking about using the bonus for this bet. Las Palmas are unbeaten for two games in a row and will be keen to continue their run.
Predicted Las Palmas line-up:
Atletico Madrid – Las Palmas head-to-head comparison / H2H result
If you take a closer look at the direct comparison, there is no doubt that Atletico are clearly ahead. This is also reflected in the Atletico vs Las Palmas odds. Out of the last ten meetings, Atletico have won a total of eight games and conceded two to Las Palmas. This season in particular, they have not managed to steal any points from the promoted team at their stadium. Saturday’s second leg between these two teams is also likely to be a top-level match. Although the betting odds for Atletico v Las Palmas suggest otherwise, we think it will be more than exciting. It is interesting to note that the last five encounters have always ended with at least three goals in the match
Atletico Madrid – Las Palmas betting tip
Atletico will have a lot to think about after their two recent defeats, because another defeat could be fatal if they want to have a say on the highest international stage with the Champions League next year.
In the match between Atletico and Las Palmas, a bet on goals in both halves should be considered. Although Las Palmas have proven their ability to keep a clean sheet in the first 45 minutes on several occasions this season, they can expect an offensive power from Madrid, who are always capable of scoring goals. We approach this tip with six units played. Betano also show their decent odds here and contribute 1.65 odds for this one.