Will the home strength of the Colchoneros prevail?

Atletico Madrid’s home strength is not only notorious, but can also be clearly demonstrated in figures. The Rojiblancos have picked up 40 out of a possible 42 points at home this season. During the week, the Colchoneros also turned the game around against Italian high-flyers Inter Milan in the Champions League and booked their place in the quarter-finals. Accordingly, the betting tip for Atletico Madrid v Barcelona is that Diego Simeone’s side will also defeat the reigning Catalan champions

However, FCB are the only club from the Spanish top flight to have remained unbeaten away from home in the 2023/24 season (seven wins, six draws). The Blaugrana not only won the first leg against the Rojiblancos, but also their last visit to the Estadio Metropolitano by the narrow margin of 1-0, which is why Atletico Madrid’s prediction of the Colchoneros’ first home defeat of the current season against Barcelona is not categorically ruled out.

It is striking that Atletico Madrid once again have their strengths in defense, as evidenced by the fact that they have only conceded 31 goals in La Liga (third-best figure). It should therefore not be too high-scoring, especially as the once mighty Blaugrana have scored 24 away goals in 13 games, but have only scored one goal in their last three visits to the Colchoneros. In fact, in 18 of the Rojiblancos’ last 19 home games against FC Barcelona, they have scored a maximum of three goals.

We therefore see the greatest value in the bet that a maximum of three goals will also be scored in the Spanish capital on Sunday evening. If, on the other hand, you are betting on the Colchoneros’ home strength, you can combine the double chance 1X with a small goal bet as an alternative, or bet on the Asian handicap of +0.25 on the home side at ODDSET sports betting at odds of 1.58.

Atletico Madrid – Statistics & current form

Atletico Madrid had big plans for the new season after two title-less years in a row. However, the Colchoneros are not only 14 points behind city rivals Real Madrid in the championship, but also missed out on a place in the Copa del Rey final against Athletic Bilbao.

That leaves the Rojiblancos with only the Champions League to play for, where they came from 1-0 down to beat Italian high-flyers Inter Milan 2-1 in extra time on Wednesday evening before the Madrilenians booked their place in the quarter-finals in a penalty shoot-out.

Atletico Madrid are the absolute home power in La Liga

At the same time, they could have done much better in La Liga if Atletico Madrid had been anywhere near as strong away from home as they were at home. Diego Simeone’s side remained unbeaten in 14 La Liga home games at the Estadio Metropolitano, picking up 40 out of a possible 42 points.

Their only two points came in a 3-3 draw at home to Getafe, when they were outnumbered for almost an hour due to an early sending-off for Stefan Savic. Away from home, on the other hand, Atletico have only managed four wins in 14 La Liga games in the 2023/24 season

Atletico Madrid are not carrying much momentum

Because of the home advantage, the betting tip for Atletico Madrid against Barcelona is now also under a fundamentally good star. After all, the Colchoneros have won two of their last three home games against the Blaugrana.

Nevertheless, it must be said that the capital side are not currently in top form. In fact, the Madrilenians have won just two of their last six competitive games (one draw, three defeats), with last Saturday’s 2-0 defeat at Cadiz putting a further damper on their fight for a Champions League place. With a lead of just two points over fifth place, Atleti’s current fourth place is on shaky ground.

Predicted Atletico Madrid line-up:

Barcelona – Statistics & current form

Last summer, FC Barcelona celebrated winning the 27th national championship in the club’s history. However, the first championship title in four years was marred by the fact that the Catalans failed to progress beyond the group stage of the Champions League for the second time in a row.

Above all, the Blaugrana wanted to improve drastically at international level for the new season, and FCB have so far succeeded in doing so. Barca not only reached the round of 16 for the first time since 2020/21, but also eliminated Italian champions Napoli with an aggregate score of 4:2.

Barcelona were hard to beat in away games

For the team of outgoing head coach Xavi, the Champions League also represents the last remaining chance to win a title in the 2023/24 season. Barca failed remarkably early in the Copa del Rey, while they are unlikely to make up the eight-point deficit to Real Madrid in La Liga.

An away win at the home-strong Colchoneros would now be important to somehow stay in the competition. However, the bookmakers’ odds for Atletico Madrid v Barcelona are against the Catalans, who are the only Spanish first division side to remain unbeaten in 13 La Liga away games this season (seven wins, six draws).

Barcelona are very solid defensively

The Blaugrana go into the away game at the Estadio Metropolitano in very good form. Xavi’s side are unbeaten in nine consecutive competitive games (six wins, three draws) since a surprising 5-3 home defeat to Villarreal back in January.

Defensive stability is the club’s main asset. FCB have not conceded a goal in four of their last six league games. The Catalans have currently gone 323 consecutive minutes without conceding a goal in La Liga, which would be half the battle in this visit to Madrid.

Predicted Barcelona line-up:

Atletico Madrid – Barcelona head-to-head comparison / H2H result

Head to head: 76 – 56 – 109

A total of 241 meetings have taken place between the two teams so far and with 109 wins, FC Barcelona clearly lead the direct comparison. The Blaugrana also won the first leg in Catalonia 1-0. However, the Colchoneros have won two of their last three home games against FCB (one defeat).

Atletico Madrid – Barcelona betting tip

Our prediction for Atletico Madrid v Barcelona leans slightly towards a point for the home side, who would extend their incredible home record in La Liga. So far, the Rojiblancos have won 13 of their 14 home games in the 2023/24 season (one draw), making them virtually untouchable at the Estadio Metropolitano. However, the visitors from Catalonia are the only club in the top flight of Spanish soccer to remain completely unbeaten away from home in the league (seven wins, six draws).

Finally, there are too many contingencies involved in the three-way system for our liking, which is why we are switching to the very consistent bet that a maximum of three goals will be scored in this match. After all, there have only been more goals in one of the Rojiblancos’ last 19 home games against the Blaugrana