Will Las Palmas surprise again in the Basque Country?
Bilbao narrowly missed out on a point against Real Madrid last weekend. The goal that sealed the 0-1 defeat came in the third minute of stoppage time. This week, they have the chance to make up for that disappointment in their league clash with UD Las Palmas. However, the Canary Islanders, who are 17th in the table, should not be underestimated. Atlético Madrid were recently surprised by the relegation candidates. Our Athletic Bilbao vs. Las Palmas tip is again for a close result.
In the battle to avoid relegation, the visitors need every point they can get. Las Palmas are just one point above the relegation zone ahead of their upcoming league game against Bilbao. It therefore remains to be seen what attitude the “Amarillos” will take into Wednesday’s game in the Basque Country.
Athletic Bilbao – Statistics & current form
Bilbao dropped important points in the race for a Champions League spot in their league clash with Real Madrid. The Basques conceded a late goal in stoppage time and suffered a bitter defeat on foreign soil. Because fifth-placed Betis Sevilla picked up three points, the gap to sixth place shrank to six points last weekend.
The 33rd matchday in La Liga is now coming up during the week. The Lions will play their league match against UD Las Palmas in front of their home crowd and are the clear favorites with the bookmakers. In the last three direct encounters, bets on Bilbao paid off. Anyone who wants to take a chance on the Basque club in Athletic Bilbao vs. Las Palmas will only get betting odds in the 1.30 range.
Bilbao has not lost a single competitive game at home since January 2025. Across all competitions, the Basques have a record of 6-3-0 in their last nine home games, scoring a total of 22 goals during that period. They will be looking to build on these statistics against Las Palmas. Bilbao have been unbeaten at home against Las Palmas since October 2000.
Will the Basques continue their winning streak against Las Palmas?
In the current league season, Bilbao has a record of 9-6-1 in 16 home games, with a goal difference of 30:10. Only Atlético Madrid has defeated the Lions from the Basque Country at home in La Liga 2024/25. Bilbao has won the last three league matches against Las Palmas and is therefore the expected favorite in the upcoming encounter.
However, an offensive spectacle like in the first match of the season against the Canary Islands club is rather unlikely. In Bilbao’s last seven competitive games, the three-goal mark has only been broken once. Bets on under 2.5 goals are also a good option this time around and can be placed at Vbet Sportsbook, among others.
Head coach Ernesto Valverde has a full squad to choose from for the upcoming match and has no major personnel concerns. With 15 goals to his name, Oihan Sancet is currently the Basque side’s top scorer. Nevertheless, the striker has only been used as a substitute recently, including last weekend against Real Madrid.
Las Palmas – Statistics & current form
Las Palmas struck as the underdog last weekend, picking up three important points in their league clash with Atlético Madrid. The Canary Islands club, which is threatened with relegation, celebrated the winning goal in stoppage time to secure a 1-0 victory over the Madrid side. Prior to that, it had been a largely defensive encounter, with both teams’ xG values below the 1.00 mark.
The “Amarillos” have now picked up three points in La Liga for the second time in a row. Las Palmas are now aiming for their next points haul away in Bilbao. In the first half of the season, the 17th-placed team narrowly missed out on a draw in the first match of the season. If you think the underdog can spring a surprise this time, you can use a free bet with no deposit required on Athletic Bilbao vs. Las Palmas to minimize your risk.
Away from home, UD Las Palmas has lost only one of its last four league games. During this period, Diego Martinez’s team picked up points against Valladolid, Celta Vigo, and Getafe. Only Betis Sevilla managed to edge them out in a narrow away defeat. If they can build on their performances in recent weeks, a close encounter in Bilbao is also a distinct possibility.
Can Las Palmas keep the Basques’ offense at bay?
Last weekend, Martinez’s defense made a particularly positive impression. Against a team like Atlético Madrid, they managed to keep a clean sheet. It was the third match in the last four league games in which UD Las Palmas conceded one or no goals. During this period, only Real Sociedad scored three goals against Las Palmas’ defense.
Las Palmas has scored in two of its last four encounters in Bilbao. The last time the “Amarillos” visited the Lions’ stadium, they suffered a narrow defeat, with the goal that sealed the 0-1 final score coming in stoppage time. It was the second away game in a row in Bilbao in which Las Palmas failed to score.
Diego Martinez will have to do without five players against the Basques. Compared to the team that played against Atlético Madrid last weekend, only minimal changes are expected. Fábio Silva is the top scorer for the Amarillos with ten goals to his name.
Athletic Bilbao – Las Palmas Head-to-head record / H2H record
After 77 encounters, Bilbao leads the head-to-head record against Las Palmas with a record of 37-22-18. The Basques have won each of the last three league matches, including the first leg of the current season. Bilbao won the match in Gran Canaria 3-2 away from home. It was the first time since April 2017 that three goals had been scored in a league match between the two clubs.
In the previous four matches, bets on under 2.5 goals paid off. A bet on this outcome is also an obvious choice this time around. After all, both defenses have made a positive impression recently.
Athletic Bilbao – Las Palmas Tip
Las Palmas picked up three important points in their league match against Atlético Madrid last weekend and are now safe from relegation. However, the 17th-placed team still need every point they can get when they travel to Bilbao. Las Palmas are just one point ahead of their relegation rivals Alavés. Wednesday’s opponents Bilbao are also under pressure.
The Basques are fighting for a place in the Champions League. Last weekend’s defeat saw Bilbao’s lead over their pursuers shrink. Ahead of Wednesday’s match against Las Palmas, Ernesto Valverde’s team are only six points ahead of sixth-placed Betis Sevilla.
