City code cracked: will the Skyblues lose again?
Pep Guardiola is despairing. With the defeat in the city derby against United, Manchester City went ten competitive games without a win for the tenth time in the last 11. Saturday, the Sky Blues from Manchester could face their next setback. On matchday 17, City will be guests at Aston Villa in Birmingham. As our Aston Villa vs. Manchester City betting tip shows, we tend to predict a point win for the hosts and thus once again not a win for the league king.
The Villans are an unpleasant opponent at home. In eight league games at home, the AVFC have only lost once. Most recently, Aston Villa even went seven games unbeaten at Villa Park, recording a record of 4-3-0. It is quite possible that Aston Villa will continue to struggle against the stumbling Skyblues.
Aston Villa – Statistics & current form
Aston Villa successfully qualified for the 2024/25 Champions League last season. Internationally, the AVFC did not make a bad impression in the current season and statistically speaking is one of the best teams in the Champions League. In the Premier League, however, the Villans are lagging behind the high expectations.
The team of head coach Unai Emery is only in seventh place after 16 league games with a record of 7-4-5. One of the five defeats came for the Villans last time out against Nottingham. Although the AVFC led 1-0 until the 87th minute of play, they actually lost to the Tricky Trees.
It was the fourth consecutive away defeat for Aston Villa. At home, however, the record looks much better. Since the home defeat to the Gunners from London, Emery’s team have not lost any of the last seven league games at Villa Park. Villa have a record of 4-3-0 in these seven encounters. Most recently, there were two consecutive home wins for the AVFC.
Surprise Aston Villa against City?
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The defensive performance will set the tone here. With 25 goals conceded in 16 match days, the AVFC’s defense has not made the best impression so far. At least one goal against is therefore also likely in the Saturday game against Manchester City. The most recent home record against the Skyblues is encouraging.
Aston Villa have not lost a single league game against Manchester City at Villa Park in three years. The last time City visited Birmingham, Aston Villa ran out 1-0 winners. Unai Emery has to manage the upcoming match against the Skyblues without three players in his squad due to injury. There are no other personnel concerns at Aston Villa.
Manchester City – Statistics & current form
Manchester City, as it lives and breathes. Once the flagship of the Premier League, the Skyblues now seem to have lost their shine. Pep Guardiola’s system is manageable for the competition – at least that is the interim conclusion after the Skyblues’ ongoing crisis. City have only won a single game in their last 11 matches.
Since beating Nottingham in the 14th matchday of the Premier League, however, the Cityzens have only managed a meager record of 0-1-2. One of these two defeats was suffered by Manchester City last week against Manchester United – despite home advantage, mind you.
It was also the third game in a row in which Manchester City conceded two goals in a game. It is quite possible that the defensive weaknesses will also be felt against Aston Villa. A high-scoring game is quite likely. Bets on it already paid off in the last league duel between Aston Villa and Manchester City.
City fights away weakness
The assessment of the bookmakers without tax is particularly surprising. If you take a look at the odds for the guests at Aston Villa against Manchester City, you will see that odds in the 2.00 range are currently being offered. In the current form of the Skyblues, betting on them involves a lot of risk. However, if you still want to bet on it, you can use a free bet without a deposit.
Manchester City have not won a single competitive game away from home since October 2024. The Sky Blues have since then recorded a record of 0-1-6. In each match, Pep Guardiola’s team have conceded at least twice. It is quite possible that the negative trend will continue against Aston Villa.
Pep Guardiola has at least four players out of action through injury for this match against the AVFC. Compared to the team that last faced Manchester United, no major changes are expected for the Skyblues.
Aston Villa – Manchester City Head to head / H2H record
In the last 181 meetings between the two clubs, Manchester City lead the direct comparison against Aston Villa with a record of 81-42-58. Since September 2013, the Cityzens have only lost once to the AVFC. In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, City have a record of 14-2-1 against Aston Villa.
The last time they lost was last season. Manchester City lost the match 1-0 at Villa Park – a good omen for the AVFC ahead of Saturday’s game?
Aston Villa – Manchester City Tip
Aston Villa will not hide from the ailing Skyblues from Manchester. Although the AVFC had to cope with some tough setbacks in the 2024/25 season, Unai Emery’s team is nevertheless playing a commanding season. The Villans have been particularly convincing in their home games.
At home, Aston Villa have lost only one of eight matches in the current league competition. With a record of 4-3-1, the AVFC is one of the strongest home teams in the league and will therefore go into the upcoming match against Manchester City with confidence. The sky blues are not only in a slump but are also struggling against their ongoing away weakness.
We think the hosts from Birmingham can do a lot and do not rule out a surprise on Saturday. Our Aston Villa vs. Manchester City tip aims at odds of 2.05 on a goal for the hosts in the first half. This betting option is available at Betano, among others. We bet four units.
