Aston Villa must postpone the CL party for the time being

Jürgen Klopp will only have two more games on the sidelines of his Liverpool Football Club. Then an extremely successful era that began in 2015 and was characterized by various titles will come to an end. It is already clear that no further trophy will be added. In general, the two remaining matches are primarily of a statistical and, above all, emotional nature. The train towards the championship has left the station, but the ticket for the upcoming Champions League season has already been secured. Nevertheless, Virgil van Dijk and Co. naturally want to give their departing coach a fitting farewell. A three-pointer in the last away game at Villa Park is therefore firmly on the cards

The chances are probably not bad at all, as Unai Emery’s home side go into their last home match of the PL season with a huge disappointment in their luggage. In the semi-finals of the Conference League, the Villans were completely unsurprisingly defeated by Olympiakos Piraeus. The English side only returned from Greece on Friday, meaning it was virtually impossible to prepare for the game in the best possible way. This is one of the reasons why the significantly lower odds are offered for the bet between Aston Villa and Liverpool on the three-goal win

Before we go deeper into the analysis and finally make a prediction on the outcome of the match between Aston Villa and Liverpool, it should be mentioned that no other pairing in Premier League history has seen more away wins than between these two clubs. If it is still too risky to place a bet on the three-way market, you can alternatively use Oddset’s betting configurator to create your own match combination. As a new customer, you also have the opportunity to benefit from the Oddset welcome bonus of up to 100 euros on your first deposit

Aston Villa – Statistics & current form

When those responsible at Aston Villa Football Club draw a line under this season in a week’s time, pride and satisfaction will prevail over their outstanding performance at league level. Despite the strong second half of last season and seventh place in the final standings in 2022/23, very few fans would have believed that their favorite team would even be able to break through the phalanx of the absolute top teams in the English top flight. But that is exactly what the men from Birmingham have managed to do.

With two matches remaining, they are still fourth in the table. They are four points ahead of Tottenham. In other words, if Aston Villa’s prediction of a home win against Liverpool comes true on Monday evening, the hosts would be in fourth place and thus automatically qualify for the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League group stage. Even in the event of a defeat, however, not much should happen under normal circumstances, as Spurs still have to play Manchester City as direct opponents during the week, have a worse goal difference and would therefore need two wins to keep their chances alive

How Aston Villa coped with their Conference League exit

Although the desire to do one’s homework and party afterwards is logically very pronounced, we have our doubts that the odds on a three-pointer for the home side in Aston Villa’s clash against Liverpool will go through. On the one hand, this is due to the double burden of the away trip to Greece, the physical and mental effort and the mental breakdown after the sobering defeat on Thursday evening, which should by no means be underestimated.

On the other hand, it should be mentioned that Emery’s team have weakened time and again in recent weeks. They have lost four of their last six games in all competitions. Among others, AVFC also lost at Brighton last weekend and had to settle for a 2-2 draw at home to Chelsea the week before.

They have also conceded at least two goals in four of those six matches. The Villans have lost momentum and squandered the flow of their interim winning streak. Added to this is the aforementioned fatigue, which in no way makes the task on Monday evening any easier. In our eyes, it is therefore justified for Ollie Watkins and Co. to be treated as underdogs against the third-placed team in the table. Speaking of Watkins: Only against Brighton has Watkins scored more goals in the Premier League than against LFC. The tall attacker currently has 19 goals for the season. If he manages another goal, he will be the highest Villa scorer in the top flight since Peter White well over 40 years ago!

Aston Villa’s expected line-up:

Liverpool – Statistics & current form

In mid-March, the loyal supporters of Liverpool Football Club were still dreaming of four titles this season. In the end, however, the Reds “only” won the English League Cup. In the FA Cup, LFC fell dramatically to Manchester United, in the Europa League, finalist Atalanta Bergamo were a size too big and in the three-way battle for the Premier League championship, Liverpool were unable to keep pace with Manchester City and Arsenal.

However, it seems as if the Reds professionals have already put the mourning period over missed opportunities behind them. Last weekend in particular, coach Jürgen Klopp’s side bounced back impressively with a 4-2 home win against Tottenham, underlining that they are not willing to give up on the final games of the season due to their lack of relevance in the table. Instead, the men from the city of the Beatles have set themselves the internal goal of giving their coach the farewell he deserves after nine years

In May, the Reds rarely get anything going

We are therefore expecting a highly motivated visiting team, who have only lost their last away game of the season once in the last eight seasons under the German coach (5-2-1). Another positive aspect is that the Scousers are genuine May experts. In the fifth month of the year, Liverpool have lost just one of their last 26 (!) PL matches. The Reds have lost none of their last 18 meetings in the merry month. Whether this is just a curious numbers game or perhaps something that affects the players’ minds in some way is for everyone to decide.

Although the third-placed side from Merseyside have only won one of their last four PL away games, we are confident that Monday will be their 24th win of the season. It is quite possible that Mo Salah, who is also likely to be on a farewell tour and will move to Saudi Arabia in the summer, could become an important factor in the game. The right winger was in sparkling form against Tottenham the previous week (one goal, one assist) and will be keen to add to his record-breaking attacking output at Villa Park. Attractive odds for Salah to score between Aston Villa and Liverpool can be played in the Sunmaker App.

Predicted Liverpool line-up:

Aston Villa – Liverpool head-to-head / H2H record

This encounter is one of the evergreen matches in English soccer. This is the 189th time the two traditional clubs have faced each other in the top flight. Liverpool lead the way with 93 wins, Aston Villa have 56 victories, while 40 games have ended in draws. In the recent past, however, the pendulum has mostly swung in favor of the visitors, who have won ten of the last twelve head-to-head meetings (10-1-1). LFC have not won more away games against any other club in the Premier League than Aston Villa Football Club

Aston Villa – Liverpool betting tip

The penultimate league game for Aston Villa Football Club and LFC is on Monday evening. While third place is set in stone for the visitors from the city of the Beatles, the Villans are also in a comfortable position in the battle for a CL ticket. One point from two matches is enough to secure fourth place in the final standings. Looking ahead to the direct duel between Emery and Klopp, however, we are somewhat skeptical about the host’s chances.

Although the Villans are having a great season, in which they have celebrated many surprising victories and have been virtually unbeatable for long stretches, especially at home, the air seems to have finally gone out of them after their elimination from the Conference League. After many consecutive English weeks and in view of last Thursday’s away trip to Piraeus, we think it is likely that the home side’s battery is simply flat. We are therefore pushing the odds on an away win for the Reds between Aston Villa and Liverpool

If you agree with this assessment, you can get 1.75 at Bet3000 on a three-goal win for Klopp’s charges. Those who do not feel comfortable betting on the three-way market can alternatively switch to the goal market.