After two draws, can Arsenal get back on track?

Arsenal is still in first place in the English Premier League, but the gap to Manchester City shrank significantly recently. The last two games ended in draws. The Gunners need to get back on track, but a home game is just what they need.

The bookmakers’ Arsenal vs. Southampton prediction is clearly in favor of the hosts. Arsenal, of course, has offensive and individual advantages, moreover, plays at home. In addition, the Gunners have anger in the belly, which can also play a role in this match.

It should be important for the Gunners not to allow too much. In each of the last two games, there was a 2-0 lead that wasn’t enough. Our Arsenal vs Southampton tip before the game is that the Gunners will win and Southampton will not score.

Arsenal – statistics & current form

Arsenal is playing a fantastic season, even if their chances to win the title have decreased a bit recently. The Gunners have only drawn twice in a row, at Liverpool and at West Ham. The bitter part is that Arteta’s eleven squandered 2-0 twice in a row. This could have an impact on morale. Because the clash with Manchester City is coming up right after this game, the reaction against the Saints will be enormously important.

Overall, Arsenal FC’s season is still absolutely brilliant. The home side have won 23 of their 31 Premier League games, and 74 goals is an outstanding figure. Most importantly, there have been only three defeats, a single one of them at the Emirates Stadium. There have also been 42 goals scored in 15 games here. The problem is that the trend is going somewhat in the wrong direction and it has recently become clear that players like Zinchenko and Saliba cannot be replaced. The squad is not that ready yet.

Despite all this, Arsenal has only lost one of eleven games in recent weeks. That’s not even after 90 minutes. The Gunners have won seven of those games. So to speak of a crisis would be completely wrong, the biggest problem is that Manchester City, the rival in the title fight, is an absolute machine.

Arsenal: Saints are welcome at home

None of Arsenal’s 23 Premier League home games against Southampton have been lost. That means the Saints are something of a favorite opponent when it comes to a head-to-head clash at the Emirates. Moreover, Arsenal has won four home matches in a row, scoring 15 goals in the process. All these are statistics that are absolutely encouraging.

It would be important to play to zero in the league again. The hosts have failed to do so four times in a row, conceding six goals. Only once in the last six games in the Premier League was the “0”. Arteta will therefore try to control the game from the start.

In the end, there is a lot to be said for Arsenal. The Gunners will also put a lot of emphasis on control. Therefore, before the Arsenal vs Southampton match, our prediction is that the home side will win and the visitors will not score.

Last matches played by Arsenal:

Premier League

• 16/04/2023 – West Ham 2 – 2 Arsenal FC
• 09/04/2023 – Liverpool FC 2 – 2 Arsenal FC
• 01/04/2023 – Arsenal FC 4 – 1 Leeds
• 19/03/2023 – Arsenal FC 4 – 1 Crystal Palace

Europa League Final Stage

• 17/03/2023 – Arsenal FC (3)1 – 1(5) Sporting CP

Southampton – statistics & current form

At Southampton FC, hopes of staying in the league are slowly fading again. This had briefly risen after the appointment of coach Ruben Selles, after a positive influence was visible. However, the 2-0 defeat against Crystal Palace manifested the last place in the table for the Saints. The offense is still too harmless and the defense too vulnerable.

The team has suffered 20 defeats so far. Ten of them came in away games. Only nine goals have been scored here, which again clearly speaks in favor of our forecast. However, Southampton have won four of their six matches away from home this season. The team has conceded 53 goals, which is not good either.

Most recently, there were again three defeats in a row in the league, six games without a win. The team obviously doesn’t really believe that it can still turn the switch. Too often, too much is missing.

Southampton: little encouragement

The record against Arsenal and especially away at Arsenal is poor, but the Saints are after all one of three teams, along with Newcastle and Manchester City, who have yet to lose to Arsenal this season. That’s only a minimal encouragement, though, as the first leg was at home and at a completely different stage of the season.

Now the Saints have the pressure and absolutely have to collect points, also because other candidates fighting against relegation are currently in a little better shape and are developing solidly. In addition, Southampton must fear that Arsenal has anger in the belly. That’s why before the Arsenal vs Southampton match, our value tip is that the hosts will win with more than two goals difference.

Last matches played by Southampton:

Premier League

• 15/04/2023 – Southampton 0 – 2 Crystal Palace
• 08/04/2023 – Southampton 1 – 4 Manchester City
• 02/04/2023 – West Ham 1 – 0 Southampton
• 18/03/2023 – Southampton 3 – 3 Tottenham
• 16/03/2023 – Southampton 0 – 2 Brentford

Arsenal – Southampton Direct comparison / H2H balance

Arsenal likes to play against Southampton, especially at home. 53 games the Gunners won in direct comparison in total, 23 games went to the Saints. However, Southampton have gone unbeaten against this opponent twice recently, albeit twice at home.

Arsenal – Southampton Tip

Arsenal are the heavy favorites ahead of the match against Southampton. However, the Gunners have squandered a 2-0 advantage twice recently. That shouldn’t happen again, because every point counts in the title fight with Manchester City. What’s more, the direct duel is on the agenda next week.

The Saints are anything but good away from home, especially offensively. That’s why our tip before the Arsenal vs. Southampton match is that the hosts will win the game and the visitors will not score.