Will Arsenal pass their Champions League dress rehearsal?

On Wednesday, Arsenal and Crystal Palace will face each other in the English top flight. The roles seem to be clearly defined in advance, as the Gunners are well on their way to securing second place in the league, while the visitors find themselves in mid-table in the Premier League. For this reason, the Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace odds from German bookmakers clearly favor a home win. But how likely is a home win in this match really?

We will answer these questions at the end of our Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace prediction and take a closer look at both teams first. We start with the home and away records and already come to a preliminary conclusion. The Gunners are very difficult to beat at home and have lost only one of their 16 home games. On the other hand, the visitors have won only six of their 16 away games and are therefore not particularly strong on the road. Clear point for the home side.

A comparison of form paints a very similar picture, as the hosts are unbeaten in eleven competitive games, while the visitors have won only one of their last five games and are therefore in a bit of a slump. So this point also goes to the Gunners. At first glance, there is a lot to be said for an Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace tip in favor of a home win. So it’s no wonder that the top odds for a home win are only 1.44. The odds can be found at Betano.

Arsenal – Statistics & current form

Arsenal can be absolutely satisfied with their season so far, as 66 points from 33 games means that they are virtually certain of qualifying for the Champions League. In addition, Mikel Arteta’s team is well on its way to securing the runners-up spot once again. But it gets even better, because the Gunners are also in the semi-finals of the Champions League and thus still have a chance to win the biggest title in club football. The first leg against Paris Saint-Germain on April 29, 2025, is therefore a top priority. We would not be surprised if one or two superstars, such as Bukayo Saka, are rested for the game against Crystal Palace.

Arsenal will score a goal

With 61 goals in 33 league games (Ø 1.85), the hosts have one of the best attacks in the Premier League. In fact, only three teams have scored more: Liverpool, Manchester City, and Newcastle United. In addition, Mikel Arteta’s team has only failed to score five times, meaning they have found the net in 85% of their games. At home, the rate is even better at 87%. One player stands out in particular in attack, and that is Bukayo Saka. The England international has already missed 21 games due to injury, but has still managed to score 25 points in 30 games – incredible!

Arsenal are tough to beat

Things are not only going well offensively, but also defensively. That’s almost an understatement, because with only 27 goals conceded in 33 games (Ø 0.82), the Gunners even have the best defense in the English top flight. In addition, the home side have kept twelve clean sheets, conceding a goal in only 64% of their league games. At the Emirates Stadium, the rate is even better at 62%. A clean sheet against Crystal Palace is therefore not so unlikely. However, they have not managed to do so in the last two encounters (5-1 & 3-2).

Crystal Palace – Statistics & current form

Crystal Palace can be absolutely satisfied with their performances so far. Oliver Glasner’s team has picked up 44 points from their first 33 league games and is currently in twelfth place. Twelfth place? That may not sound particularly impressive at first, but appearances can be deceiving. Given that Arsenal, Chelsea, Newcastle, and Aston Villa are still in contention for national or international titles, even eighth or ninth place could be enough to qualify for one of the three European competitions. With only five points separating them from eighth place, the Eagles still have a chance to cap off their season. In addition, the visitors are also in the semifinals of the FA Cup.

Crystal Palace can make an impact in attack

In a league-wide comparison, the Eagles’ offense is only in 14th place, scoring just 41 goals (average 1.24) in 33 league games. Nevertheless, Oliver Glasner’s team found the back of the net in 74% of their games and only failed to score eight times. That’s certainly not an outstanding statistic, but it’s not bad either. Away from home, the rate is even slightly better at 81%. One player in particular stands out, and that is Jean-Philippe Mateta. The French center forward has scored 16 goals and provided three assists in 39 competitive games this season. He is virtually Palace’s life insurance policy.

Crystal Palace also solid defensively

With 45 goals conceded in 33 PL games (average 1.36), the visitors are only tenth in the league, but they rarely concede many goals. In addition, Oliver Glasner’s team has kept a clean sheet ten times (30%), putting them on a par with Manchester City. Away from home, the rate is even better at 38%. However, we don’t expect a clean sheet against one of the best attacking teams in the Premier League, as the defense simply lacks the individual quality to achieve this.

Arsenal – Crystal Palace Head-to-head record / H2H record

Arsenal not only has the upper hand in terms of form, home and away records, but also in the analysis of the two teams. But how do they compare head-to-head? The H2H comparison paints the same picture, with the Gunners winning 35 of the 57 encounters, while the Eagles have only managed six wins, winning just 11% of all meetings. In addition, the visitors have been waiting for a point for six games and last picked up something from a game in 2022. The Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace betting odds therefore clearly favor a home win, and with good reason.

Arsenal – Crystal Palace Tip

The game against Palace is a dress rehearsal for the home side ahead of their important Champions League first leg against Paris Saint-Germain. Even if one or two key players are rested, a defeat would be anything but helpful. Despite Arsenal’s comfortable position in the league, we therefore recommend betting on a home win in combination with over 1.5 goals in the game. However, the visitors will not give up without a fight, as the Eagles still have a lot to play for this season.

If you want to stay away from a win bet in this game, we recommend the Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace odds for over 2.5 goals. This is because this recommendation would have easily led to success in four of the last five matches, with an average of 4.40 goals per game. So if you want to take a big risk, you could even bet a small amount on the line of 3.5 or 4.5.