Will Deportivo Alavés surprise Atlético?
In the battle to avoid relegation, Deportivo Alavés faces a crucial league match against Atlético Madrid this week. The Basques have home advantage in the 34th round of La Liga and are favored against the Madrid side. Our Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid tip does not rule out a surprise win for the home side.
In their last four league games, the Basque club, which is threatened with relegation, has only suffered one defeat. That league defeat came against Real Madrid, although Deportivo Alavés had realistic chances of picking up points despite being a man down. Since then, there has been a draw against Sevilla and a win in the Basque derby against Real Sociedad.
Alaves – Statistics & current form
Deportivo Alavés is fighting to stay in La Liga. With five matchdays to go before the end of the season, the Basque club is still in the safety zone. However, their lead over the relegation places is only two points, which is very slim. This makes Saturday’s game against the Madrid side all the more important. Even a single point would be of immense importance in the current table situation.
It therefore remains to be seen how much risk the Basques will take in the league duel against Atlético Madrid. In the first match of the season between the two clubs, the Madrid side secured a narrow victory. Atlético won 2-1 against the Basques in front of their home crowd.
Nevertheless, the “Babazorros” are going into the showdown against the third-placed team with their heads held high. In the last two head-to-head matches at home, Alavés has won two in a row against Atlético Madrid. Anyone who wants to back Alavés against Atlético Madrid this time around can get betting odds of around 3.80 and can also use the AdmiralBet new customer bonus.
Will Alavés improve their poor home record?
At home, the Blue and Whites have a record of 5-4-7 after 16 league games, scoring only twelve goals in that period. Two of those five wins came in their last four home games. Deportivo Alavés celebrated home wins against clubs such as Villarreal and Real Sociedad. The Basques also kept a clean sheet in both games.
If the Blue and Whites carry the momentum from their last two league games into this match, it is not out of the question that Alavés will keep Atlético Madrid’s offense in check. The “Babazorros” have not conceded a single goal in their last two home games against Atlético Madrid.
Head coach Eduardo Coudet has no serious personnel concerns and can draw on almost a full squad for the upcoming match. No major changes are expected in Alavés’ starting lineup compared to the last game.
Atlético Madrid – Statistics & current form
Atlético Madrid is winding down the season. Mathematically, there is still a chance of winning the Spanish top flight, but given the current gap, this is nothing more than wishful thinking. The Madrid side can look forward to the 2024/25 season and, with five games to go, are no longer under pressure to win.
Last week, however, they celebrated a clear victory against Rayo Vallecano. The Rojiblancos scored three goals in the league clash against the eleventh-placed team, securing their twelfth home win in La Liga 2024/25. At home, Atlético Madrid now has a record of 12-4-1 and a goal difference of 34:14.
Away from home, however, Atlético Madrid has won only seven of its 16 league games. The Red and Whites have won only one of their last four away games in the league. During this period, Atlético has a record of 1-1-2, including defeats against Getafe and Las Palmas.
Will Atlético’s negative trend continue on foreign soil?
It is quite possible that Diego Simeone’s team will also fail in the Basque Country. The head-to-head record in the last league matches at Deportivo Alavés does not favor the visitors. However, those who still see the visitors coming out on top in the Alavés vs. Atlético Madrid prediction can more than double their stake if their tip is successful.
Diego Simeone has no personnel worries to contend with. Nevertheless, it is uncertain which starting eleven the visitors will field in the Basque Country, as Simeone has the opportunity to rotate his squad given the current league situation.
Julian Alvarez (15 goals) and Alexander Sörloth (13 goals) lead the Madrid side’s internal scoring charts and are also likely to be in contention for goals against Deportivo Alavés if Diego Simeone once again fields the two star strikers up front in a 4-4-2 formation. Bets on this can also be placed via the Bet365 new customer bonus, among others.
Alaves – Atletico Madrid Head-to-head record / H2H record
In the last 31 meetings between the two clubs, Atlético Madrid leads the head-to-head record with a record of 19-5-7. The Red and Whites picked up one of those 19 wins in the first half of the current season. Atlético celebrated a 2-1 victory at home in the first match of the season. However, a defeat away to Alavés cannot be ruled out.
The Basques have won their last two home games against the Madrid side. Alavés also kept a clean sheet in both of those encounters.
Alaves – Atletico Madrid Tip
Deportivo Alavés needs every point in its fight to avoid relegation. With five matchdays to go before the end of the season, the Basque club has climbed out of the relegation zone and now wants to extend its lead over its rivals in the relegation battle. However, it faces a difficult task at home. On Saturday, the third-placed team from Madrid visits CD Alavés.
Judging by the visitors’ recent results on the road and the two clubs’ most recent head-to-head encounters in the Basque Country, it is by no means unreasonable to predict a win for the home side in the upcoming match. The “Babazorros” have lost only one of their last four league games.
We therefore do not rule out the Basques picking up points in the upcoming encounter. Our tip between Alaves and Atletico Madrid is for a home win at odds of 3.80. We are putting three out of ten possible units on our prediction. Bet-at-home offers some of the best odds for this.
