Can the Rossoneri still turn it around?

On Tuesday evening at 6:45 p.m., a possible opponent in the last 16 from either Arsenal FC or Inter Milan will be determined at San Siro. The prospect of a potential Derby della Madonnina in the Champions League should certainly inspire the Rossoneri. However, if AC Milan’s tip for a home win against Feyenoord Rotterdam does not work out, it would be over. After all, the Dutch team won the first leg 1-0 and therefore only need a draw.

Even a Milan home win by a goal difference would only lead to extra time. The pressure is correspondingly high on the Rossoneri, who have not always performed well with their backs to the wall. The Lombards have only advanced in the Champions League when losing the first leg in only one of the last five cases. However, when AC Milan play against Feyenoord Rotterdam, it must also be taken into account in the prediction that the Dutch team have lost five of their previous six away games in Italy (one win).
The fact that, in addition to goalkeeper Justin Bijlow, six other players are currently out of action, while question marks remain over two other key players, is certainly problematic for the stadium club. The team is likely to line up pretty much by itself. On the other hand, Feyenoord have not conceded a goal in three consecutive competitive games and can come to San Siro with the clear mission of parking the bus in their own box.

So there is not much to suggest that this will be a high-scoring match, especially since the Rossoneri have lacked penetration time and again. A bet on the two clubs drawing at half-time offers great value. We can find odds of 2.50 for this on the Bet365 app.

AC Milan – Statistics & current form

A lot has changed for the better at AC Milan since Sérgio Conceição took over as coach at the turn of the year. However, the Rossoneri are still not really stable. They are still only seventh in Serie A, and after last Wednesday’s 1-0 defeat, they face a huge task in the Champions League knockout stage.

In four of the last five cases, “Il Diavolo” was unable to turn around a first-leg defeat in the knockout round of the Champions League. In fact, the Lombards have lost two consecutive games in the competition recently and could now lose three Champions League games in a row for the first time since October 2021.

AC Milan are hoping for the home advantage

However, the most recent home record at least suggests that the tip for AC Milan to win at home against Feyenoord Rotterdam will come true. The 19-time Italian champions have won their last three Champions League home games and also recorded an important 1-0 win in the dress rehearsal against Hellas Verona on Saturday.

Rafael Leão could now play a key role in this. Not only has the Portuguese goalkeeper been involved in four goals in the Champions League this season (three goals, one assist), but he has also made 33 successful dribbles in the Champions League in 2024/25 – including three in the first leg against Feyenoord.

AC Milan with poor record against Dutch teams

However, the Rossoneri have not only struggled to score goals from time to time, but their record against Dutch teams is also far from impressive. Since a 2-0 win over PSV Eindhoven in April 2025, the Lombards have not won any of their eight Champions League matches against Dutch clubs (four draws, four defeats).

Given that the first leg last Wednesday only reached an overall expected goals value of 1.06 – the second lowest in a Champions League match in the 2024/25 season – it will certainly be anything but easy for “Il Diavolo” to turn things around.

Predicted AC Milan line-up:

Feyenoord – statistics & current form

Feyenoord Rotterdam has already won the competition once before, in 1970, when it was still called the European Cup. However, the stadium club has not made it past the round of 16 in the premier competition since 1974/75.

Accordingly, hopes are high that the narrow 1-0 home win from last Wednesday will somehow be brought home. A draw would be enough to see them through. However, none of the club’s previous six away games in Italy have ended in a draw (one win, five defeats).

Will Feyenoord Rotterdam keep a clean sheet again?

The tense personnel situation is particularly unfortunate for the “Club aan de Maas”. Up to nine players are currently unavailable to interim coach Pascal Bosschaart, which means that the team is to some extent selecting itself. However, in the only two competitive matches so far under the successor to Brian Priske, the stadium club once again kept a clean sheet.

In principle, the team from the Dutch port city can be expected to put in a very strong defensive performance in San Siro despite their full injury list. Rotterdam also kept a clean sheet in two of their last three Champions League games – as often as in the 22 games they played in the competition before that.

The situation speaks for Feyenoord Rotterdam

Nevertheless, the betting odds for AC Milan against Feyenoord Rotterdam with Paysafecard naturally speak against the Dutch team. Bet365 even offers odds of 7.50 for tip 2. On the one hand, this is due to the meager away record, as Feyenoord have only won three of their last 17 Champions League away games (three draws, eleven defeats).

On the other hand, however, this also reflects the fact that the stadium club does not need an away win at all, but can live with the draw perfectly well. And after all, of the last four Champions League away games, the Dutch have only lost a single game in the end (two wins, one draw)…

Provisional line-up of Feyenoord Rotterdam:

AC Milan – Feyenoord Rotterdam Head to head record

Head to head: 1 – 0 – 2

A total of three international competitive matches have taken place between the two teams so far, and Feyenoord Rotterdam lead the way with two wins. The Dutch side eliminated the Rossoneri in the 1969/70 European Champion Clubs’ Cup, but were also beaten 1-0 away at San Siro in that game.

AC Milan – Feyenoord Rotterdam betting tip

For our taste, the betting odds of the best betting providers were a bit too one-sided in favor of AC Milan against Feyenoord Rotterdam, with the Rossoneri, who have won their last three Champions League home games, but have not always performed optimally with their backs to the wall. Il Diavolo have only progressed from the last five knockout games in the Champions League after losing the first leg.

The Dutch have also been very secure defensively of late. Not only has Feyenoord kept a clean sheet in each of its last three competitive matches, but the stadium club has also kept a clean sheet in two of its last three Champions League games. Accordingly, the forecast for a rather low-scoring second leg is consistent with AC Milan against Feyenoord Rotterdam.

We specifically recommend betting on the draw between the two teams at half-time. Bet365 offers odds of 2.50 for this, which we cautiously suggest with two units.