Will ACM’s losing streak against Atalanta Bergamo continue?
AC Milan are languishing in no man’s land in the table and, with six games to go before the end of the season, have no realistic hopes of finishing among the top four teams in the league. In the worst-case scenario, the Rossoneri will even miss out on international competition – at least that has been the conclusion in recent weeks. Our AC Milan vs. Atalanta Bergamo tip does not rule out another setback for the Milanese on matchday 33 of Serie A.
Atalanta Bergamo ended their losing streak on the last matchday, picking up three points in the Italian top flight after three consecutive defeats. “La Dea” won 2-0 at home against FC Bologna, picking up important points in the race for a Champions League spot. Bologna is, after all, a direct competitor in the battle for a place in Europe’s premier competition.
AC Milan – Statistics & current form
AC Milan picked up three points against Udinese Calcio on the last matchday after two consecutive league games without a win. The Rossoneri not only scored four goals, but also kept a clean sheet against their league rivals from Udine. At home, they now face Atalanta Bergamo in the 33rd matchday of the season.
Although the Milanese have had to cope with a few setbacks in recent weeks, the best bookmakers see the ninth-placed team as slight favorites in the Lombardy showdown. Betting odds of 2.55 are currently available for an AC Milan vs. Atalanta Bergamo tip on the hosts.
AC Milan’s home record in the current league season is 7-7-2. The Rossoneri have only lost their league games against Lazio Rome and SSC Napoli in front of their home crowd. However, AC Milan have only won two of their last five home games in the league. It is therefore risky to bet on the home side in Sunday’s clash between ACM and Atalanta.
Will AC Milan carry the momentum from the Udinese match into this game?
It’s not just the Red and Blacks’ recent form that argues against a prediction in favor of the hosts. AC Milan have also fallen short of expectations in their head-to-head encounters recently. The Rossoneri have lost three of their last four competitive games against Atalanta Bergamo. There was also a draw between the two clubs during this period.
AC Milan last celebrated a victory (2-0) against Atalanta BC in February 2023. Since then, the Red and Blacks have a record of 0-1-3, including defeat in the first match of the 2024/25 season against their league rivals from Bergamo.
At least six players will miss Sunday’s game against Atalanta due to injury. Compared to the team that picked up three points in Udine last time out, no major changes are expected at AC Milan.
Atalanta Bergamo – Statistics & current form
Atalanta Bergamo is on course for the Champions League next season. The Nerazzurri recently secured their place in Europe’s premier competition with a win over FC Bologna. They celebrated a comfortable victory in the six-point game against FCB, extending their lead over fifth place to four points.
Nevertheless, Atalanta BC still needs to win every game if it is to finish the season in the top four. With six matchdays to go, each of the remaining games in the second half of the season is now a must-win, especially as pursuers such as Bologna, Lazio Rome, and AS Rome are hot on the heels of the third-placed team.
Last week, Gian Piero Gasperini’s team ended their mini-crisis in the Italian top flight and picked up three important points after three consecutive defeats. Away in Milan, Atalanta BC are now aiming to pick up more points and improve their impressive away record.
Atalanta BC is the strongest away team in Serie A
Atalanta Bergamo has already picked up 33 points in 16 away games in the current league season. Statistically speaking, “La Dea” is therefore the strongest away team in Italy’s top flight. Atalanta Bergamo has won two of its last five competitive games on the road against AC Milan. Atalanta is unbeaten in its last two away games at ACM (1-1-0).
In the current league competition, Gian Piero Gasperini’s team has scored 34 goals in 16 away games, averaging more than two goals per away game. A high-scoring match is therefore not out of the question in the showdown in Lombardy. AC Milan also has enough offensive power to make this happen.
Gian Piero Gasperini will have to do without at least five players in this match. Compared to the team that won against FC Bologna at home last time out, no major changes are expected for the third-placed team. In the first half of the season, Atalanta BC beat AC Milan 2-1 – a good omen ahead of the return fixture?
AC Milan – Atalanta Bergamo Head-to-head record / H2H record
In the last 137 meetings between the two clubs, AC Milan leads the head-to-head record against Atalanta Bergamo. The Milanese have won 61 of these 137 matches. However, ACM has failed to win any of the last four head-to-head encounters. Atalanta Bergamo leads the head-to-head record in these four meetings with a record of 3-1-0.
In the first half of the current season, Atalanta Bergamo won 2-1. Anyone who wants to venture a prediction of over 2.5 goals in the second leg between AC Milan and Atalanta Bergamo will get decent odds in the 1.60 range.
AC Milan – Atalanta Bergamo Tip
Atalanta Bergamo are in the race for a Champions League spot and need a win. The Nerazzurri from Bergamo picked up three important points in their league clash with FC Bologna on the last matchday, extending their lead over fifth place. Gian Piero Gasperini’s side are now aiming for more points against AC Milan.
Sunday’s opponents from Milan are having a weak league season and are currently fighting for a place in international competition. Mathematically, they still have a chance of making a comeback, but they will need a lot of help to do so. The home game against Atalanta Bergamo is already a “do or die” game given their current gap to the Champions League places.
We expect a high-scoring match and are placing our AC Milan vs. Atalanta Bergamo bet at odds of 1.63 on over 2.5 goals in the game. Alternatively, bets can also be placed on a win for Atalanta BC. After all, the visitors are the strongest away team in the league. We are putting five units on our prediction of at least three goals in the game.
