Will the Commanders remain cannon fodder?
The Dolphins are coming to the nation’s capital, but they probably won’t just come swimming in for petting, but to take Washington. Set the stage for our Commanders vs. Dolphins betting tip in NFL Week 13.
In general, FedExField is also a place where visiting teams can feel comfortable. The Commanders have lost all of their last four home games, some of them by quite a margin
Now, however, they fired defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio last week and head coach Ron Rivera is taking over the defensive playcalling himself. At least their defense should be a little better than in previous weeks.
However, that could be to the detriment of their offensive production, which suggests a rather destructive game on Sunday. Thus, our prediction for Washington vs. Miami is a Dolphins win, but it should be more hard-fought than many expect
Kick-off of this rather unequal duel is on Sunday evening at 19:00 in Washington. The game can be watched live on ENDZN on DAZN.
Washington Commanders – Statistics & current form
In the end, Jack Del Rio, the Commanders’ defensive coordinator, got caught – and it was long overdue. At 29.2, the Commanders conceded by far the most points of any team and that’s not just down to the departures of Sweat and Young.
As if that wasn’t bad enough, Washington also ranks last in the league in turnover ratio at -9. A change was therefore urgently needed and Head Coach Ron Rivera is now in the hot seat.
Rivera coaches for his future
Because Rivera has also taken over the Commanders’ defense in the course of his dismissal from his head coaching job, which now creates the following scenario. If the Commanders continue to be so weak defensively, Rivera will be the next candidate to be fired.
If they improve defensively, he will at least have a chance to be hired as a defensive coordinator again next season. These conditions strongly suggest that the entire focus for Sunday will be on the defense.
Low scoring game?
So if Washington is putting so much emphasis on defense, that should have an impact on overall scoring. If a score like 25-35 was likely before the layoff, it’s more like 14-24 now.
We definitely expect both teams to score in that range on Sunday, which makes Comamnders vs Dolphins picks on general under scoring as well as under 31 Dolphins points interesting.
Key Players:
- QB: Sam Howell
- RB: Brian Robinson
- WR: Terry McLaurin
- TE: Logan Thomas
- K: Joey Slye
Miami Dolphins – Statistics & current form
The Germany game in Frankfurt was probably just a blip for the Dolphins. Before that they were strong on the road and after that they have their opponents under control again. Washington should now also be doable.
It’s always a little less pleasant to play against a team with a new coach, but the Fins shouldn’t be too concerned about that. If they bring their offensive power to the field to some extent, they will win the game
Is Hill hot again?
Above all, Tyreek Hill should be hard to catch for the Commanders. Even against the strong Jets defense, he recently scored over 100 yards and a touchdown. It was Hill’s tenth TD of the season – in just eleven games.
That gives us another top bet on the schedule. For Washington vs. Miami, a bet on a touchdown by Tyreek Hill is almost indispensable – especially if the odds remain at a good 1.85 (Betano) as they have been so far.
Victory margin uncertain
It seems likely that the Dolphins will win the game. However, it is uncertain whether the current nine to ten-point lead will really come about in the end. Because if the Commanders are aiming for a low-scoring game, then a ten-point difference is already a lot.
We would therefore tend to avoid handicap bets, especially as the Fins often concede points towards the end of their games. Alternatively, however, there are half-time/final result bets or a touchdown bet on Raheem Mostert, who has already scored 13 touchdowns. Exciting Commanders vs Dolphins betting odds are also available for this.
Key Players:
- QB: Tua Tagovailoa
- RB: Raheem Mostert
- WR: Tyreek Hill
- WR: Jaylen Waddle
- K: Jason Sanders
Washington Commanders – Miami Dolphins head-to-head comparison / H2H record
In recent years, this matchup has rarely gone clearly in favor of one team. Four of the last five games have been decided by one score or less. Miami has won three of the last five meetings, Washington two.
The Commanders will surely want to make it such a low-scoring game again, which makes betting on many points unplayable – despite Washington’s extremely weak defense.
If you don’t want to bet on a Hill TD, we also recommend the under 31 Fins points odds for Commanders vs Dolphins. These should be difficult to achieve due to the conditions
Washington Commanders – Miami Dolphins betting tip
It’s a somewhat strange duel that awaits us on Sunday. The numbers (best offense by yards meets weakest defense by points) actually speak for a clear Dolphins victory.
However, the coaching change at Washington could have such a big impact on their tactical approach that we are selecting a different betting option here. Thus, for Commanders vs. Dolphins, a bet on a rushing touchdown by Raheem Mostert is our recommended approach.
Alternatively, TD bets on Tyreek Hill are also possible. He alternates with Mostert for touchdowns at regular intervals. Both player bets are definitely more playable than huge handicap bets.
