Find the Bucs back on track?
Buccaneers vs. Giants – this has often been an unprecedented offensive spectacle in recent years. 59.5 points have been averaged in these clashes over the last decade, but we expect a slightly different game on Sunday.
Tampa in particular will try to finally get their defence tight on Monday. 32.5 points allowed over the past two games is almost catastrophic by their standards. Luckily for them, it’s now back to scoring at home
Not only are they 4-0 winners there this season, but they’ve also outscored their opponents by an average of 22 points. So the Giants will have a huge task ahead of them.
However, since New York has also been in good form recently, we do not expect such a blowout success. So it’s not that easy to predict Tampa vs. New York, although one thing should be clear: The Bucs should crack the 30-point mark again in this home game.
Kickoff of the exciting Monday Night Game is on Tuesday night at 02:15. The game can be watched live on DAZN.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Statistics & current form
The reigning champions are stumbling a bit and lost their last two games quite clearly by their standards. Especially defensively they were not very convincing and there was not much to see of last year’s hammer defence.
An average of 32.5 points conceded is almost a revelation, even if one has to take into account that almost their entire secondary is currently out. Murphy-Bunting, Robinson, Davis and Sherman – they will all be missing on Monday as well.
How do the Bucs get a handle on their secondary?
So the question for the Monday Night Game is how they will compensate for all these absences. In terms of personnel, that will probably be difficult, so a tactical adjustment will have to be made. Longer offensive drives are only one alternative.
This means that we might see more running game on Monday than usual. The longer their own offence is on the field, the less their defence has to do. That argues against another high scoring game in this matchup.
Because as nice as the big plays over 80 yards are to watch, they would be rather counterproductive in their current situation. Another defensive adjustment would be to consistently pull the safeties back as a hedge. Especially against Daniel Jones a promising option.
Reaction from the Buccaneers is to be expected
All in all, we definitely expect Tampa to be more focused than they have been in previous games. They are averaging 40.5 points at home, so they should surpass the 30-point mark in their fifth home game of the season.
Thus, Buccaneers vs. Giants odds on Bucs Over 30.5 are a nice betting option. We would rather avoid betting on a win for the champions with the set handicap of -11, as they have not performed consistently enough for that lately.
Key Players:
QB: Tom Brady
RB: Ronald Jones
WR: Mike Evans
WR: Antonio Brown
K: Ryan Succop
New York Giants – Statistics & current form
The Giants are slowly getting into the swing of things. After two wins in a row, it’s a bad time to travel to the bruised Buccaneers, who often dominate their opponents at home.
Still, there is a chance that New York will be able to keep up in this game. After all, they only lost to the Kansas City Chiefs by three points – and the Chiefs are only slightly weaker.
Do the Giants reach a low scoring game?
One thing is for sure: If the Giants allow a high scoring game to develop, their chances of success drop drastically. Tampa puts up an average of 40.5 points at home, and the Giants themselves have yet to even break the 30-point mark.
So their only chance lies in a low-scoring game. While that doesn’t seem impossible against a rattled Bucs offense (as Washington proved the previous week), the evidence suggests not.
Golloday, Slayton, Toney – who will be the go-to guy?
One of the biggest questions in the Giants offense is who will be their primary receiver. That’s where it seemed to come down to tight end Evan Engram as Jones’ primary target in recent weeks. But which of the wide receivers could now be used more on Monday?
We expect Kenny Golloday to be used more, which should minimise the receptions for Slayton and Toney. For Bucs vs. Giants, a bet on Kadarius Toney’s under 41.5 reception yards is an absolute secret tip, as he has only surpassed this number twice this season.
Key Players:
QB: Daniel Jones
RB: Saquon Barkley
WR: Kenny Golloday
TE: Evan Ingram
K: Graham Gano
Tampa Bay Buccaneers – New York Giants Head-to-head comparison / H2H record
We’ve already hinted that this matchup has always promised plenty of points in previous years. 59.5 total points averaged since 2012, that’s a real board. However, that number should not be reached on Monday for a variety of reasons.
For one, the Giants simply don’t have the offense for it this season, putting up an average of just 19.9 points. For another, we’ve already mentioned that Tampa could rely more on the running game, which should also put a crimp in a high total score.
So with Tampa Bay against New York, the betting odds on a lot of Bucs points are worth considering, but our betting recommendation is different. Kadarius Toney averaged just 23.7 yards in his past three games. There again, he shouldn’t be able to top the 41.5 he’s scheduled for on Monday.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers – New York Giants Tip
Do we get to see a high scoring game or not? There are numerous betting options hanging on this question for us. However, since this is absolutely written in the stars, we have looked around for another alternative as our No. 1 recommendation.
One thing that stands out is that Giants wide receiver Kadarius Toney is set for 41.5 yards, although he has only surpassed that number twice this season. So for us, Bucs vs Giants, the odds on Toney going under 41.5 yards are clearly to be taken advantage of.
For those who still prefer to bet on wins, we also recommend a Bucs + Over points combo bet. As the betting providers do not set the figure too high at 49.5 points, this figure could nevertheless be easily exceeded.